※ [本文轉錄自 Baseball 看板] 作者: WillWaiting () 站內: Baseball 標題: 時代百大 - Bill James!! 時間: Tue May 2 19:04:58 2006 http://www.time.com/time/magazine/article/0,9171,1187260,00.html Scientists & Thinkers Bill James Baseball's Sultan of Stat(棒球統計的國王) By JOHN HENRY The Red Sox raised a few eyebrows by hiring maverick statistician Bill James in 2002. That was before the team won its first World Series in 86 years. 紅襪在2002年僱用maverick的統計學家Bill James 使紅襪隊開心(?)。 那是在紅襪贏得86年來第一個WS之前 When I asked our general manager, Theo Epstein, what he thought about James' impact on the game, he said, "The thing that stands out for me is Bill's humility. 當我問我們的總經理Theo Epstein，James對比賽的影響是怎樣的?，他說，" 我想到的是 Bill的謙遜。 He was an outsider, self-publishing invisible truths about baseball while the Establishment ignored him. 當那些已有名聲的棒球人忽略他時, 他以一個外界人的身份自己出版了一些 在棒球場上看不到的事實。 Now 25 years later, his ideas have become part of the foundation of baseball strategy. 25 年以後，他的想法已經成為棒球策略的基礎的一部分。 But where's Bill? Bill在那裡？ Where's the gloating? 幸災樂禍者呢? Where's the publicist? 評論家在那裡？ He's like somebody outlining the Internet in the '80s and watching silently as it comes to pass. 他像是某些人在80年代建構了網際網路但卻悄悄的看著他發展。 What we now know as Moneyball and sabermetrics came from James, 56. 現在所知的Moneyball和sabermetrics都是由56歲的Bill James發展出來的。 He taught us, among other things, that individual ballparks have a profound effect on a ballplayer's production, that the largest variable determining how many runs a team will score is how many times the leadoff hitter gets on base, that much of what we perceive as pitching is actually defense. 他告訴我們，不同棒球場對不同球員有深深影響， 另外，有很多的變因決定了一隊會得 幾分，其中最大的是第一棒站上壘包幾次，那跟我們認為投手什誰的因素一樣大(實際上 叫防守) What I call Jamesian principles infuse our thinking with a perspective that is objective rather than subjective. D 我所謂的Jamesian Principle用客觀而不是主觀的觀點灌輸我們的思想。 What James demands is that we take the time to listen to what the game is telling us over and above what we are predisposed to believe. James需要的是我們要花時間去了解一場比賽要告訴我們的是什麼而不是相信我們已經 有先入為主的想法。 Henry is the principal owner of the Boston Red Sox Henry是紅襪的老闆 --

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