※ [本文转录自 Baseball 看板] 作者: WillWaiting () 站内: Baseball 标题: 时代百大 - Bill James!! 时间: Tue May 2 19:04:58 2006 http://www.time.com/time/magazine/article/0,9171,1187260,00.html Scientists & Thinkers Bill James Baseball's Sultan of Stat(棒球统计的国王) By JOHN HENRY The Red Sox raised a few eyebrows by hiring maverick statistician Bill James in 2002. That was before the team won its first World Series in 86 years. 红袜在2002年雇用maverick的统计学家Bill James 使红袜队开心(?)。 那是在红袜赢得86年来第一个WS之前 When I asked our general manager, Theo Epstein, what he thought about James' impact on the game, he said, "The thing that stands out for me is Bill's humility. 当我问我们的总经理Theo Epstein，James对比赛的影响是怎样的?，他说，" 我想到的是 Bill的谦逊。 He was an outsider, self-publishing invisible truths about baseball while the Establishment ignored him. 当那些已有名声的棒球人忽略他时, 他以一个外界人的身份自己出版了一些 在棒球场上看不到的事实。 Now 25 years later, his ideas have become part of the foundation of baseball strategy. 25 年以後，他的想法已经成为棒球策略的基础的一部分。 But where's Bill? Bill在那里？ Where's the gloating? 幸灾乐祸者呢? Where's the publicist? 评论家在那里？ He's like somebody outlining the Internet in the '80s and watching silently as it comes to pass. 他像是某些人在80年代建构了网际网路但却悄悄的看着他发展。 What we now know as Moneyball and sabermetrics came from James, 56. 现在所知的Moneyball和sabermetrics都是由56岁的Bill James发展出来的。 He taught us, among other things, that individual ballparks have a profound effect on a ballplayer's production, that the largest variable determining how many runs a team will score is how many times the leadoff hitter gets on base, that much of what we perceive as pitching is actually defense. 他告诉我们，不同棒球场对不同球员有深深影响， 另外，有很多的变因决定了一队会得 几分，其中最大的是第一棒站上垒包几次，那跟我们认为投手什谁的因素一样大(实际上 叫防守) What I call Jamesian principles infuse our thinking with a perspective that is objective rather than subjective. D 我所谓的Jamesian Principle用客观而不是主观的观点灌输我们的思想。 What James demands is that we take the time to listen to what the game is telling us over and above what we are predisposed to believe. James需要的是我们要花时间去了解一场比赛要告诉我们的是什麽而不是相信我们已经 有先入为主的想法。 Henry is the principal owner of the Boston Red Sox Henry是红袜的老板 --

※ 发信站: 批踢踢实业坊(ptt.cc) ◆ From: 220.134.3.207 ※ 编辑: WillWaiting 来自: 220.134.3.207 (05/02 20:04) --

※ 发信站: 批踢踢实业坊(ptt.cc) ◆ From: 61.216.49.90 ※ 编辑: WillWaiting 来自: 61.216.49.90 (05/03 01:07) ※ 编辑: WillWaiting 来自: 61.216.49.90 (05/03 01:14)