第10个 也是Tier 3的最後一个 Mikel Brown Jr. https://reurl.cc/N2V09q Overview Height: 6 ft. 3 1/2 in. Weight: 190 lbs. Wingspan: 6 ft. 7 1/2 in. Standing reach: 8 ft. 4 1/2 in. Birthday: April 3, 2006 Age: 20.2 Hometown: Orlando, Fla. 总览 身高:6尺3.5寸 体重:190磅 臂展:6尺7.5寸 站立摸高:8尺4.5寸 生日:2006/4/3 年龄:20.3岁 家乡:Orlando, FL Analysis 分析 The pitch with Brown is simple. In today’s NBA, there might not be a more important intersection of skills than shooting and passing ability. Brown has those skills in a big way. He’s a monster 3-point shooter who hits them at volume, and he is a tremendous live-dribble passer who reads the court well and makes good decisions while also being able to separate in ball screens. With those two skills alone, it sets him up for a tremendous amount of success. Brown的卖点很简单。在现今的NBA，没有甚麽能力组合比投篮能力加传球能力更重要。 Brown恰好在这两项能力上都非常突出。他是一名高产量的顶级三分射手，且他同时是一名 能够很好地阅读场上局势，在持球过程中做出正确决定，而且具备利用挡拆创造空间出色 的运球中传球手。光是这两项技能，就足以让他取得巨大的成功。 Brown needs to keep taking steps with his frame, however. On-ball players this skinny who have entered the NBA recently have struggled. The NBA is a man ’s league. There’s no other way to put it. Brown is going to have to keep filling out now that he has grown to 6 feet 4. He is set to be one of the most interesting players to evaluate this cycle. On one hand, I tend to be hard on smaller guards — and despite Brown’s height, he plays like a smaller guard. On the other hand, I tend to value skill, high IQ and shooting ability as much as anything. Brown possesses those skills in an immense quantity for such a young player. 不过，Brown仍然需要持续增强自己的身体条件。近年来，像他这样身材偏瘦的持球型球员 进入NBA後，大多面临不少挑战。NBA是个成年人联盟。没有更委婉的说法。如今已长到6尺 4寸的Brown，仍必须持续增加肌肉与力量。他将会是本届最有趣、也最难评估的球员之一 。一方面，我通常对身材较小的後卫评价较为保守。即便他的身高不矮，他却打得像一名 小後卫。另一方面，我又非常重视技术、篮球智商以及投射能力。而Brown在这几项能力上 的水准，对於如此年轻的球员而言可说是极其出色。 He’s a polarizing prospect for scouts for a reason, and I go back and forth daily on what his future holds. Some days I see him as the best bet outside of the top five in the class, and other days I’m not totally sure I see him as a winning NBA player. 球探圈对他的评价之所以两极化，是有原因的，我自己也几乎每天都在改变对他未来发展 的看法。有些时候，我认为他是本届前五名之外最值得下注的球员；但也有些时候，我并 不完全确定他是否真的会成为一名能够帮助球队赢球的NBA球员。 Strengths 优势 -Brown has grown substantially over the last three years. He went from a clearly undersized lead guard to now having at least average height and length for the position guard. He measured in at 6 feet 3.5 with a 6-foot-7.5 wingspan. Brown在过去三年间有相当明显的成长。他从一名身材明显偏小的控球後卫成长拥有至少符 合後卫平均水准的身高与臂展。他身高6尺3.5寸臂展6尺7.5寸。 -He has developed more bounce and quickness as he has gotten bigger. He’s not the most explosive athlete as a lead guard but has some pop to get where he needs to go, especially off two feet at the rim or off his first step. Has some sudden moves that make you wonder if he could get even more explosive if he adds further muscle, given the trajectory he was on before his freshman year. 随着身材逐渐成长，他的弹跳能力与敏捷性也有所提升。作为一名控球後卫，他并不是最 具爆发力的运动员，但仍具备足够的爆发力去到达自己想去的位置，特别是在篮框附近双 脚起跳时或利用第一步突破时。他偶尔会展现一些非常突然的动作，让人不禁好奇，如果 未来进一步增加肌肉量，根据他大一前的成长曲线，他是否还能获得更多爆发力。 -What makes Brown so special is the potential combination of shooting and passing ability. Has an elite intersection of arguably the two most important skills in the modern NBA. As soon as he gets an outlet pass or grabs a rebound, he immediately gets his eyes up to look for early hit-aheads. Plays quick. Very accurate on his hit-aheads. Always seems to hit guys in stride. Plays a team-friendly game. Brown如此特别的原因，在於他同时拥有出色的投篮能力与传球能力。这两项能力的结合可 以说是现代NBA最重要的技能组合之一，而Brown在这两方面都具备顶级潜力。无论是在接 到第一时间传球或抓到篮板，他总是立刻抬头寻找前场快攻的机会。打得很快。长传精准 。几乎都可以传给前头的队友。他的打法非常团队。 -Brown’s shot opens the rest of his game. At the FIBA Under-19 World Cup last summer, he shot 47.6 percent on 3-point shots (averaging six attempts per game). In six tracked games on Synergy for DME Academy, he shot 37 percent on over 11 3-point attempts per game, many of which were of the completely absurd pull-up variety. Brown has no conscience when it comes to pulling up from distance. We’ll talk about his efficiency in college from that distance in the next section, but when people get excited about Brown’s scoring ability, it has to do with the fact he can pull nearly eight 3-point attempts per game even in college. Brown的投篮能力为他整体进攻打开了更多可能性。去年夏天的FIBA U19世界盃中，他的三 分球命中率高达47.6%(场均出手6次)。而在DME Academy的6场Synergy有追踪的比赛中，他 的三分球命中率为37%，场均出手超过11次三分球，其中许多还是难度极高、近乎不可思议 的持球急停三分。Brown在远距离持球出手方面毫不犹豫。下一部分我们会讨论他在大学层 级的外线效率问题，但当人们对Brown的得分能力感到兴奋时，原因就在於他连在大学依然 可以场均丢接近8颗三分球的事实。 -He feels completely comfortable if he gets even an inch of space to set and fire from 3. If you play him in drop, he’s going to hit you with a couple of pull-up 3s to force you to play more at the level and thus open the backside of the defense. Showed great touch at lower levels and at times this year for Louisville. Can sometimes lean forward on the jumper too far and get his balance out of whack, but the ball comes out of his hand smoothly and with clean touch. 只要获得哪怕一点点空间，Brown就会毫不犹豫地出手三分。如果你采取沉退防守，他就会 用几记持球急停三分惩罚你来迫使你必须往上提防并撬开弱侧的空间。他在较低层级比赛 以及本季效力Louisville期间，都展现过非常出色的投篮手感。有时候他的跳投会因为身 体前倾过多而失去平衡，但球离手的动作相当流畅且手感柔和。 -Also a massive weapon off the catch from 3. If he’s trailing the play in transition, you have to get a body on him within 27 feet of the rim or the ball is going up with a serious chance of going in. And if you decide to help off him when he’s spotting up behind the arc, you’re in deep trouble. Has a bit of a deeper ball dip but gets into rhythm with ease, and the ball comes out of his hand softly. Tends to get them off a one-two step. But everything is in alignment and pure, flowing toward the rim. Relocates well after passing it. Does a good job sinking into open areas that get him open 3s. Genuine threat on and off the ball. 他在接球投三分方面同样是一项极具威胁性的武器。如果他在转换进攻中作为跟进者，那 麽你必须在距离篮框27尺之外就贴住他，否则他很可能直接出手有很高机率投进。而如果 他在三分线外定点等待时，你选择放掉他去协防其他人，那麻烦就大了。他的收球下放幅 度稍微深一些，但他能很轻松地进入投篮节奏，而且出手时手感柔和。他通常会利用一二 步投篮。整个投篮动作的协调性很好且纯净，自然地朝向篮框完成出手。传球之後，他也 很擅长重新跑位。总能找到空档区域，让自己获得空位三分机会。无论持球或无球，他都 是一个真正的威胁。 -Uses the threat of his shot incredibly well to get into the lane. Very flexible athlete with serious wiggle but best at using his change of pace. Plays under control and at a sharp rhythm. Loves to hit defenders with hesitations and inside-out moves. Will play at a slow or fast pace depending on the situation. Can get into the lane, slow down and hit hostage dribbles to draw defenders before deciding to shoot, pass or drive. Very comfortable getting to pull-up midrange jumpers. Can occasionally lean too far forward toward the rim or to his right or left, but by and large, gets his body into alignment and makes shots. 他非常善於利用自己的投篮威胁来切入禁区。是个身体柔软度很好的运动员、动作灵活， 但最厉害的地方还是在於节奏变化。他打球始终保持控制，并且拥有很好的进攻节奏感。 喜欢利用犹豫步及Inside-Out运球来欺骗防守者。他会根据场上情况决定要打快还打慢。 他可以切入禁区後突然减速利用Hostage Dribble吸引住防守者再决定要投、传还是切。他 也擅长持球投中距离跳投。偶尔他在出手时会过度向篮框方向前倾，或是身体偏向左侧或 右侧，但大部分时候，他都能够把身体调整到正确的位置并稳定把球投进。 -Knows how to freeze defenders to open angles. Will do so to snake ball screens to get back to the middle of the court and force more help. Loves to go to a nasty inside-out dribble to stop defenders in their tracks. Has a strong understanding of how to map the court and get to the most dangerous areas. Has a tight enough handle to navigate tight quarters on the court. Can isolate bigs and string them out into switches before attacking them in space. 他很清楚如何冻住防守者。他经常利用这种能力在挡拆後执行蛇形运球回到场中样後再逼 迫对手需要更多人协防。他特别喜欢使用极具杀伤力的Inside-Out运球来将防守者定在原 地。他对於如何阅读球场空间有很强的理解，知道该如何到达最具威胁性的进攻区域。控 球能力也足够扎实，能够在狭小空间中运球。能够在单打时针对长人防守者发动进攻，利 用持球操作迫使对方换防并在大空间攻击他们。 -Brown’s best skill, though, is his passing. He’s an incredibly sharp passer who can make every read in the book off a live dribble. Strangely, for a right-handed player, he is more of a left-hand-dominant live-dribble passer. Can throw them with both, though, and does so easily. Throws cross-corner kickouts with that left hand with ease. Gets velocity on the ball but also has enough control over the ball to throw it with touch. Throws lobs with a nice touch to make it easy for his big to rise and dunk. Brown最好的技能其实是他的传球。他是一名敏锐的传球手，能在运球过程中做出你可以想 得到的所有判读。有趣的是，虽然他是右撇子，但在运球中的传球反而更偏向使用左手。 当然左右手都能轻松传球。他能够轻松用左手送出横跨球场的对角传球。他的传球很快但 同时又有足够的控制并运用手感传球。他的高吊球手感优良让长人可以轻松起飞完成灌篮 。 -Reads the court very quickly and diagnoses what defenders are doing a split second before other players tend to. Has been well-schooled developmentally and also has quick instincts. Understands what the second and third levels of the defense are doing and tends to find the open man. Creative in how he opens angles on his drives outside of screens. Finds fun pass fakes and hesitations to freeze defenders. Dished out 4.7 assists per game at Louisville this season, but it seemed like it should have been more. His passing highlights are better than anyone else’s in the class. 他阅读比赛的速度非常快，能比其他球员提早半拍判断出防守者的意图。他接受过良好的 篮球训练，同时也拥有优秀的直觉。能理解防守第二层与第三层轮转，并常能找到空档中 的队友。挡拆後切入之後的传球角度具有创意。他会利用巧妙的传球假动作及犹豫动作来 定住防守者。本季在Louisville，他场均送出4.7次助攻，但实际看比赛时，你感觉这个数 字应该要更高。就传球嗨赖，他是本届最好的。 -Unsurprisingly in this respect, Brown is tremendous at reading ball screens. Very good at drawing a drop defender toward him before hitting a lob over the top. Will manipulate back-line defenders with his eyes before darting the ball to the dunker spot or the kickout. Loves that cross-corner skip pass off a live dribble. Doesn’t overstay his welcome by overdribbling. Makes early reads and doesn’t hold on to the ball. Keeps the offense in rhythm and in flow. Does an amazing job of opening angles for pocket passes to his rollers to his right and left. Great with short-rolling bigs. 不意外的，Brown阅读挡拆也很出色。他很擅长吸引沉退的防守者向自己靠近然後传出高吊 球越过对方。他也会利用眼神欺骗後线防守者接着迅速将球传给Dunker Spot或是外线的队 友。他非常喜欢在运球过程中送出对角线跨场传球。他不会因为过度运球而拖慢进攻节奏 。他总是能很早完成判读，不会黏球。他能让进攻保持节奏与顺畅。此外，他非常擅长为 顺下的掩护者创造无论左侧还是右侧口袋传球的角度。他与短挡拆的长人搭得很好。 -Because his handle is tight enough and he’s so creative on the ball, he tends to have a natural chemistry with his screeners. Reacts in an instant to how they’re coming up to screen and gets to the mesh point of the screen in creative ways, such as surprise behind-the-back dribbles or crossovers. Then will hit hang dribbles to help defenders get stuck on the screen before pulling up or attacking. In general, his offensive game just flows together, with one move sitting on top of the next one very naturally. 由於他的控球技术足够扎实，而且持球时极具创造力，因此他往往能与掩护者建立很好的 化学效应。他能够瞬间判断队友准备如何上来设掩护，并用各种巧妙的方式切入掩护形成 的接触点，例如突然得背後运球或是变向运球。接着，他又会利用停顿运球让防守者被掩 护卡死，然後直接投篮或继续攻击。总的来说，他的进攻技巧衔接得很顺畅，每一个动作 都像是下一个动作的铺垫，非常自然。 Areas for improvement 需要改进的点 -A lack of strength permeates Brown’s game more than you’d hope. He came in at the combine at 190 pounds, but doesn’t really play that heavily. Needs to fill out his frame with more muscle — that’s arguably his biggest area for improvement. Doesn’t have the power aspect to his game that a player needs to be successful in the highest-leverage moments right now. 他缺乏力量的问题对Brown的影响比你希望得还严重。他在联合试训测出190磅，但他打起 来却不像有这个体重。他需要进一步增加肌肉量来强化他的体型--这可能是他最需要进步 的地方。现阶段他仍没有能在高张力比赛成功的力量条件。 -You see the lack of strength most in his defensive game. Brown is a poor defender. Tends to be contact-averse on defense. Can stay in front of his man because he has quick, fluid feet, but he isn’t strong enough to absorb contact through his chest on drives and tends to get pushed backward. Can’t hold his line. Will need to guard opposing lead guards but will be a magnet for switches early in his career as teams try to get bigger, stronger bodies onto him. There is not much in the way of disruption in his defensive game. 你最能从他的防守端看出力量不足的问题。Brown的防守很差。他在防守时不太愿意身体接 触。虽然凭藉快速且灵活的脚步，他通常能够跟住自己的防守对象，但他的身体力量不足 以在对手切入时用胸口承受碰撞，因此经常被一路往後推。他无法稳固地守住自己的防守 路线。未来他很可能主要负责防守对方的控球後卫，但在生涯初期，他也会成为对手刻意 针对换防的目标，藉此让更高大、更强壮的球员获得对位优势。他在破坏性防守方面也没 有甚麽建树。 -I also don’t love the routes he takes around screens and other actions on defense. He opens his hips too much and gives up the angle. Once that happens, because of the lack of strength, he gets pushed backward too easily. Tends to take bad angles and put himself far behind the eight ball in recovery. Then, once he’s there and chasing the play, he doesn’t have the strength to get out of jail and off an opposing player’s backside in ball screens. Has to get more physical at the point of attack to fight through actions. 我也不喜欢他在防守端绕过掩护以及应对其他战术时所选择的路线。他经常过早打开髋部 并放掉了防守角度。一旦发生这种情况，由於力量不足，他很容易被对手一路往後推。他 往往会选择不理想的防守角度，让自己在补防时陷入极为不利的位置。而当他落後於进攻 者、只能在後方追赶时，他又缺乏足够的力量在挡拆防守中摆脱对手的身体阻挡，重新回 到防守位置。他必须在第一线防守变得更有对抗性才能穿过这些战术。 -Brown is also not a particularly active off-ball defender. Has enough length to potentially be useful on the back line compared to other lead guards but is not out there making scramble rotations with urgency or making active defensive reads. He averaged 1.2 steals this season, but he never really blocks shots. Brown在无球防守方面也不算特别积极。相较於其他控球後卫，他具备足够的身材长度，因 此理论上有机会成为後线协防中有价值的防守者但他并不常以积极的态度进行轮转补防或 做出主动的防守判读。他本季有1.2次抄截但几乎没有火锅。 -Struggles as a finisher. Navigates bodies well in that second level in the midrange area but doesn’t make shots at the rim consistently. Doesn’t seem to use his length to extend to the basket yet and will kind of short-arm the ball. Made just 28 percent of his attempts at the rim at DME in the six tracked games per Synergy, then made only 50 percent of his attempts at the rim at the U-19 World Cup. Upped that number to 59 percent this year at Louisville in half-court settings, but he got there only about twice per game. 作为终结手很挣扎。虽然他在中距离区域的第二层防守之间穿梭时处理得不错，但到了篮 框附近却无法稳定把球放进。目前看起来，他还不太懂得利用自己的身材长度去延伸完成 上篮出手时常常有些缩手。根据Synergy数据，在DME Academy被追踪的6场比赛中，他的篮 下命中率仅有28%。在U19世界盃他也仅有50%的篮下命中率。本季效力Louisville时，这项 数据在半场进攻情境下提升至59%，但平均每场仅出手2次。 -Brown’s gathers toward the rim could use work. Doesn’t always seem to go up with force and can sometimes end up too far away from the basket to score consistently. Has some nifty footwork on the interior that makes you believe this could be an area for improvement as opposed to just a weakness, especially once he gets into a more wide-open NBA. Brown在进攻篮下的收球动作需要进步。他并不总是带着足够的力量起跳，有时候起步位置 距离篮框太远，因此难以稳定完成终结。不过，他在禁区内确实展现出一些相当巧妙的脚 步技巧，这让人相信这部分未来有机会成长，而不只是单纯的弱点，尤其当他进入空间更 开阔的NBA後。 -Even though Brown is sharp and navigates tight areas well, could he end up being more of a perimeter-based player than NBA teams would like to see from a franchise guard? Can he consistently derive high-value shots at the rim as opposed to only from 3? He took very few midrange jumpers this season and only 10 floaters. All told, he took about one shot per game in the midrange this season in half-court settings, per Synergy. He at least got to the line 5.8 times per game, but that was the first time he’s done that consistently in his career. 尽管Brown头脑聪明，也很擅长在狭小空间中穿梭，但他最终会不会成为一名过於依赖外围 进攻的球员，而不是球队理想中的建队型控卫?他是否能够稳定创造高价值的篮下出手机会 ，而不只是依靠三分球得分？本季他几乎不太出手中距离跳投，整季也只出手了10次抛投 。根据Synergy的数据，在半场进攻中，他本季平均每场来自中距离区域的出手大约只有1 次。至少他本季场均能够获得5.8次罚球机会，但这也是他生涯第一次能够持续稳定地制造 如此多的罚球。 -Brown’s decision-making can be extremely suspect. Averaged 3.1 turnovers this season at Louisville, with that number spiking to 3.5 per game in conference play. He makes some wild choices with the ball. Can be out of control, especially when he gets blitzed on the ball. He can also be off target on his passes at times. Will almost always try for the home run swing as opposed to making the simple play. Needs to simplify his game and make the reads that are available more often. Brown的决策能力有时相当令人担忧。本季在Louisville，他场均出现3.1次失误，而在联 盟赛事中更上升到3.5次。他持球时有时会做出一些非常冒险的选择。尤其当防守方对他进 行包夹时，他常常会失控。此外，他的传球有时也会出现偏差。很多时候，他总是倾向尝 试全垒打式的大胆传球，而不是选择最简单稳妥的处理方式。他需要让自己的比赛变得更 简洁一些并更频繁地做出眼前已经存在的判读。 -Brown will probably shoot well from distance, but he made only 34.4 percent of his 3s this season. That largely had to do with his back injury and a lack of consistency. But that showed how shot-dependent his game is. If the jumper isn’t falling, it can be tricky for him to provide serious value. I buy the jumper, though, and this year will probably prove to be an anomaly. He made 38.1 percent of his 3s in conference play once he got back into a rhythm. Brown未来大概仍会是一名优秀的外线射手，但他本季的三分球命中率其实只有34.4%。这 很大程度上与他的背部伤势以及缺乏稳定性有关。不过，这也反映出他有多麽依赖投篮手 感。如果外线投不进，他要在场上很难提供高价值贡献。尽管如此，我仍然相信他的投射 能力且我认为本季的表现更可能只是一个特例。当他重新找回节奏後，在联盟赛事中的三 分球命中率回升到了38.1%。 -Brown doesn’t always separate at an elite level in isolation against players who are big and athletic, like the athletes he’ll face in the NBA. He’s tremendous in ball screens and great at eating up space there. He’s also great at attacking closeouts. But can he consistently break down his man when he doesn’t have the advantage and get paint touches? The best NBA guards and on-ball players are largely capable of doing this. Brown will need to keep growing as a ballhandler and keep getting stronger. Brown在面对那些体型高大且运动能力出色的防守者--也是他未来要在NBA面对的对手--时 ，并不总是能在单打中创造出菁英级的出手空间。他在挡拆进攻中表现极佳，也很擅长利 用挡拆後产生的空间发动攻击。他在攻击Closeout也同样出色。但问题在於，当他没有现 成优势时，是否能够稳定地靠自己突破防守者并获得禁区触球?NBA最顶尖的後卫与持球进 攻者，大多都能做到这些。Brown需要持续精进自己的控球技巧，并进一步增强身体力量。 身家背景 跳过 心得: 这人真的 如同Vecenie讲的 满满穷人版Lamelo Ball的味道 入行前跟刚入行时的优缺点都 是= = 就连嗨赖都很像 只是Lamelo身高更高天赋更高 所以有些东西当时没这麽惨 --

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