https://tinyurl.com/bdzme9tn Keith Smith 2026.4.15 Add reinforcements for a push up the standings 招兵买马 逐鹿中原 Actual Cap Space： -$74.8M Practical Cap Space： -$71.5M Projected Luxury Tax Space： $60.6M 现有合约 (13) Leaky Black (双向合约) Bub Carrington Justin Champagnie (非保障合约) Bilal Coulibaly Anthony Davis Kyshawn George Jaden Hardy Tre Johnson Julian Reese (双向合约) Will Riley Alex Sarr Tristan Vukcevic Cam Whitmore 潜在自由球员 (5) Sharife Cooper (受限双向) Anthony Gill (非受限) D'Angelo Russell (非受限PO) Jamir Watkins (受限TO) Trae Young (非受限PO) 死钱 (0)：无 特例： MLE ($15M) (本球季已使用BAE) 交易特例： Kelly Olynyk ($13.4M) 预计首轮选秀权： 第 1 顺位 续约候选人 Bilal Coulibaly (新秀续约) Anthony Davis (老将续约，自 8 月 6 日起) Jaden Hardy (老将续约，自 10 月 22 日起) Cam Whitmore (新秀续约) Trae Young (老将续约) The Washington Wizards are in an absolutely fascinating spot. They enter the lottery in the top overall spot. That comes after spending the entire season tanking to make sure that they wouldn't convey a top-eight protected first-round pick to the New York Knicks. Mission accomplished. However, unlike most teams that find themselves in position to have a high lottery pick, the Wizards are no longer deep in the rebuilding woods. Washington is positioned to move up the standings in rapid fashion next season. 巫师正处於一个绝赞的位置。他们以第一顺位进入乐透抽签，这是经过一整季摆烂以确保 不会将前八顺位保护的首轮签送给尼克的结果。任务达成。然而，不同於大多数处於高顺 位乐透区的球队，巫师已不再深陷重建泥淖，他们准备在下个球季迅速提升排名。 The Wizards front office has completed the tear-down phase of the roster. They've added considerable young talent over the last few drafts. Then, this season, Washington exercised some “pre-agency” by trading for Trae Young first, then Anthony Davis. The veteran combo of Davis and Young is expected to lead a young, but improving roster into playoff contention next season. As it stands today, this roster is a little shy of the talent that will take, but they've got plenty to work with to build a team that can make at least the Play-In Tournament. 巫师管理层已完成了重建阶段。他们在过去几次选秀中累积大量年轻天赋，今年球季又做 了一些「前置补强」，先是交易得到 Trae Young，随後又换来 Anthony Davis。这对老 将组合将带领这支年轻但持续进步的阵容，在下个球季冲击季後赛。就目前情况来看，这 份名单的才华虽离争冠还差一点，但他们拥有足够的筹码来打造一支至少能打进附加赛的 球队。 Let's start on the sidelines. Brian Keefe took over midway through the 2023-24 season, and has shepherded an extremely young team through two-and-a-half seasons full of losses. In a lot of ways, we still don't really know what Keefe’s calling card is as a coach. No one has said that these recent Wizards teams have been extremely well-prepared, play extremely hard, run great stuff on offense, have great schemes on defense, or…well… really anything positive. That's all somewhat of a reflection on Keefe. But it's important to note that he followed the organization directives to develop the young players, while also staying at the bottom of the standings. Not exactly a great environment to evaluate a coach, but that's where the Wizards are. 让我们先从场边谈起。Brian Keefe 於 2023-24 球季中接手，带领这支年轻球队走过两 个半充满败绩的球季。在许多方面，我们仍不清楚 Keefe 作为教练的招牌特色为何。没 有人认为近期的巫师准备充分、打球拚命、进攻体系优异、防守战术出色，或是……嗯… …任何正面的评价，这某种程度上反映了 Keefe 的执教。但必须指出的是，他遵循球团 指示发展年轻球员又能同时让排名维持在垫底。这并非评估教练的理想要素，但这就是巫 师的现状。 With Davis and Young in the fold, the Wizards are going to try to win games. Has Keefe shown enough to convince the front office, and those two veteran players, that he’s the guy to get the team into playoff contention? It’s hard to say that he has. If the Washington front office has doubts, they’re better off moving on and getting an experienced head coach to run things from the jump. It’s better than making that decision after the season starts, and the team may have lost ground in what should be a much-improved Eastern Conference. Is that rough on Keefe? Absolutely. But the situation has changed in Washington. It’s winning time, and they need a coach who the team feels can take them there. 随着 Davis 与 Young 加入，巫师将尝试赢下比赛，Keefe 是否能展现足够的说服力让管 理层及这两位老将相信他就是那个能带领球队冲击季後赛的人？很难说他做到了，而如果 管理层存有疑虑，最好趁现在就做出改变，找一位有经验的总教练从头开始掌舵。这比球 季开打後才做决定更好，届时球队可能已在竞争激烈的东区失去先机。这对 Keefe 来说 很残酷吗？绝对是，但球队的情况已经改变。现在是赢球的时候了，他们需要一位能让球 队感到可以带领他们前进的教练。 As for the roster, the bones of a good team are here. Davis will team with Alex Sarr in a very big, athletic, versatile frontcourt. Sarr took real steps forward in his second year, as he improved in just about every phase of the game. Behind those two are unproven options like Tristan Vukcevic and Julian Reese. Both have flashed potential, but may not be ready for bigger roles just yet. After that, Washington played with a bunch of wings masquerading as bigs at times. More depth is needed here, especially given Davis’ injury history. 至於阵容部分，巫师已经具备一支好球队的骨干。Davis 将与 Alex Sarr 组成极具身材 、运动能力与全能性的前场。Sarr 在第二年取得很大的进步，几乎在比赛的每个阶段都 有所提升。在他们身後是尚未证明自己的後备军，如 Tristan Vukcevic 与 Julian Reese。两人都展现过潜力，但可能还没准备好承担更重要的角色。此外，巫师有时会用 一堆侧翼球员来扛禁区，这里需要更多深度，特别是考虑到 Davis 的伤病史。 Speaking of those wings, this is a pretty deep group of mostly younger options. Kyshawn George looks like a long-term starter. Bilal Coulibaly is still full of mostly unrealized potential. That’s kind of scary, considering he’s extension-eligible this summer. (More on that later!) Will Riley and Jamir Watkins (who should have his team option picked up, unless the Wizards can work out a team-friendly deal), had good rookie seasons. And Justin Champagnie is helpful vet to have around the backend of the rotation. 提到侧翼，这是一个由小鲜肉组成的深厚名单。Kyshawn George 看起来像长期的先发人 选，Bilal Coulibaly 的潜力仍未兑现，考虑到他今年夏天有续约资格，这点有些令人担 忧。Will Riley 与 Jamir Watkins（除非巫师能谈到一份对球队友善的合约，否则应会 执行他的球队选项）都经历了不错的新秀球季。而 Justin Champagnie 则是轮替後端很 有帮助的老将。 In the backcourt, Young was acquired to lead a young, but exciting group. Tre Johnson’s rookie season went about as expected. He showed a ton of offensive potential, including being completely fearless as a shooter/scorer. Bub Carrington has played every game over his first two seasons. Year 2 for Carrington saw him take a leap as a shooter, while he continued to figure out being a lead playmaker on the fly, with everchanging personnel around him. At the very least, this is a nice backcourt trio, as Carrington can play both spots next to either Young or Johnson. Jaden Hardy gives Washington another interesting player for guard depth. In addition, most of the wings can slide down and play in the backcourt. 後场方面，引进 Young 是为了带领这群年轻且令人兴奋的球员。Tre Johnson 的新秀球 季表现符合预期，展现了强大的进攻潜力，作为射手和得分手毫无畏惧。Bub Carrington 在前两个球季全勤，第二年他在投篮上有了成长，同时在身边人员不断变动 的情况下，持续摸索如何成为一名场上指挥官。至少这是一个不错的後场三人组， Carrington 能在 Young 或 Johnson 身边分担两个後卫位置。Jaden Hardy 则为後卫深 度提供了另一个有趣的选择。此外，多数侧翼也能打到後场。 All of the above means Washington can focus on taking the best player available in the draft, no matter where they land. A.J. Dybantsa would give them another wing with size and skills. Darryn Peterson would be another combo guard for the backcourt. Cam Boozer would give the team a legit power forward, who can also play the three in big lineups. If the Wizards slide in the lottery, they’ll be plenty of opportunities to add to the backcourt or to pick up an additional frontcourt player.　Another option, but not a recommended one, is to trade the pick for a win-now veteran. That’s extremely risky, as we haven’t seen how the Wizards will look with Davis and Young leading the way. But Washington should expect some calls, given they are looking to win next season and this draft is deep with top-end talent. 以上种种意味着巫师可以专注於在选秀中挑选最优秀的球员，无论最终落在第几顺位。 A.J. Dybantsa 能提供另一名具身材与技术的侧翼；Darryn Peterson 会是後场的另一名 双能卫；Cam Boozer 则能为球队带来一名真正的强力前锋，也能在大阵容中出任三号位 。如果巫师在乐透顺位下滑，仍有许多机会加强後场或前场球员。另一个选项（但并不推 荐）是将选秀权交易出去，换回即战力老将。这极具风险，因为我们还没看过巫师在 Davis 与 Young 的带领下会是什麽样子。但考虑到球队寻求下季开始赢球且本届选秀顶 端天赋深厚，他们应该会接到一些电话。 In free agency, there are decisions to be made. Washington was once in range of having $100 million in cap space. That was vaporized when the team traded for Davis and Young. Even though the Wizards didn’t pay a massive price for either All-Star, they do need to get them locked up on long-term deals to make the trades worth it. Young is the more pressing situation. The veteran point guard has a $48.9 million player option for next season that he’s widely expected to decline. Washington could ink Young to an extension before he even gets to free agency (if he declines the option), or they could re-sign him this offseason. It doesn’t seem overly likely that Young is going to test free agency by meeting with other teams, as the cap space teams aren’t great fits for his skillset and/or aren’t ready to spend that kind of money on a veteran. 在自由市场则要做出抉择。巫师曾一度有望拥有 1 亿美元的薪资空间，但在交易得到 Davis 与 Young 之後，这些空间已化为乌有。即便巫师换回这两位明星球员的代价并非 天价，他们仍需用长约锁住两人以确保交易物有所值。Young 的情况更为迫切。这位老将 控卫明年有 $4,890 万美元的球员选项，外界预期他会拒绝。巫师可以在他进入自由市场 前续约（若他拒绝选项），或是在夏天重新换约。但 Young 似乎不太可能去测试市场， 因为拥有空间的球队与他的球风并不契合，或是还没准备好在老将身上花这麽多钱。 However, and this is crucial, that doesn’t mean Washington should just hand Young a max deal and move onto the next decision. Right now, the Wizards have some cap and luxury tax flexibility, because they have players on rookie scale deals. But the clock is ticking on some of those players and they’ll be on new contracts before you know it. Giving Young a max, along with Davis (more in a moment!), makes for a very expensive team when players like Sarr, George, Carrington and Coulibaly are on new deals. The negotiations will probably start with Young looking for a max, because he’s coming off a max deal. Washington doesn’t want to mess around too much, because they did trade for the All-Star point guard to have him long-term. A max contract isn’ t the smart play, but re-signing Young to something like five years, $200 million would be a smart play. The Wizards could even frontload that deal, so it becomes less expensive as the other deals kick in. A deal starting at $47.5 million next season would finish at $32.3 million, which should be plenty large enough for Young to extend off of in the future. 然而（这很关键），这并不代表巫师应该直接送上一份顶薪合约。目前巫师拥有一些薪资 与奢侈税弹性，因为他们有许多新秀合约。但这些球员的时钟正在滴答作响，很快他们就 会进入续约阶段。当 Sarr、George、Carrington 与 Coulibaly 都换新约时，给 Young 和 Davis 顶薪将使球队造价极其昂贵。谈判可能会从 Young 要求顶薪开始，因为他刚结 束一份顶薪合约。巫师应该不想拖太久，因为交易来这位明星控卫就是为了长期拥有他。 给他顶薪并非明智之举，但以五年 2 亿美元左右续约会是聪明的做法。巫师甚至可以考 虑谈递减合约，使球队在其他球员新约生效时降低薪资负担。一份下季从 $4,750 万美元 起跳的合约，最後一年降至 $3,230 万美元，这对 Young 未来的再续约也留有足够空间 。 As for Davis, he’s extension-eligible this summer. That deal would start with the 2027-28 season, when Davis turns 35 years old. Moreso than with Young, age and injury history are factors here. If Davis and his reps are insistent than an extension gets done, and that was the buzz around the trade deadline, Washington should look to do something similar to what we suggested with Young. Start the deal high and have it decline year-to-year. $221 million over four years, starting at the $62.8 million player option Davis would decline, makes sense. If the All-Star big man insists on a straight max extension, the Wizards should hold firm and see how things look into next season. They can always go back to Davis in-season and re-open extension talks then. 至於 Davis，他今年有续约资格，续约将从 2027-28 球季开始，届时 Davis 将满 35 岁 。比起 Young，年龄与伤病史在谈判中更具影响力。如果 Davis 及其团队坚持完成续约 （交易截止日时已有此传闻），巫师应考虑类似 Young 的谈判方案：递减合约。一份四 年 2.21 亿美元、从 Davis 可能拒绝的 $6,280 万美元球员选项年起跳的合约是合理的 。如果这位明星长人坚持要顶薪，巫师应守住立场，观察下个球季的情况再说。他们随时 可以在季中重启谈判。 Bilal Coulibaly and Cam Whitmore are both eligible to sign rookie scale extensions. Whitmore isn’t going to get extended, after he missed most of the season with a venous condition. Whitmore also wasn’t fitting in great prior to having to be shutdown for the season. With a lot of other forwards on the roster, Washington won’t lock into long-term money for Whitmore. Coulibaly is in a far trickier situation. There’s a ton of raw talent there, but his improvement has come very slowly over his first three NBA seasons. Coulibaly is also being pressed by the presence of other young wings on the roster. Unless Washington can get him on a fairly team-friendly extension, they should hold off. At that point, Coulibaly may be best to bet on himself and then to look to get paid the following summer. Bilal Coulibaly 与 Cam Whitmore 都有资格续新秀约。Whitmore 在因静脉疾病缺席大 部分球季後将不会获得续约，且在缺阵前他也没有非常融入。由於阵中还有许多前锋，球 队不会给他长约。Coulibaly 处境则更尴尬。他有天赋，但前三个球季进步非常慢，同时 他也得面临阵中其他年轻侧翼的竞争压力。除非他能以对球队非常友善的价格续约，否则 巫师应该会先观望。Coulibaly 最好选择赌一把，争取在明年夏天拿到大约。 Of the Wizards actual free agents this summer, they only have a couple. We covered Trae Young above. Jamir Watkins can either do a long-term, team-friendly deal this summer or Washington can keep him for $2.1 million then make Watkins a restricted free agent in 2027. D’Angelo Russell is highly likely to opt in for the $5.9 million he’s owed. That’ll make his contract a nice chunk of salary-matching in trade for Washington. Anthony Gill is an unrestricted free agent, and he’s well-liked by the Wizards. If there’s a roster spot, don’t be surprised if Gill is back on a veteran minimum deal. He’s not a free agent, but Washington will bring back Justin Champagnie on his non-guaranteed contract. 今年夏天，球队名单中即将成为自由球员的人并不多。Trae Young 如上所述。Jamir Watkins 可以选择在今夏签下一份长期的友善合约，巫师也或许会以 $210 万美元留他一 年，让他在 2027 年成为受限自由球员。D'Angelo Russell 极有可能执行 $590 万美元 的球员选项，这会使他的合约成为不错的薪资包。Anthony Gill 是非受限自由球员且深 受球队喜爱，如果名单有空缺，看到他底薪回归不必意外。虽然 Justin Champagnie 不 是自由球员，但巫师将带回他那份非保障合约。 If Young is back on something that’s even above $45 million, that should still leave Washington in range of being able to use the full Non-Taxpayer MLE. That’s $15 million in spending power to add another veteran or two to aid in the playoff push. Adding frontcourt and backcourt depth are the priorities. Using the NTMLE would hard-cap the Wizards at the first apron, but that’s not an issue, as they probably aren’t going to exceed the luxury tax next season. 即便 Young 回归的起薪高於 $4,500 万美元，巫师应该仍有全额中产（MLE）可用，可再 签下一两名老将冲击季後赛。增强前场与後场深度是首要任务。使用 MLE 将使巫师锁定 在第一层硬上限，但这不是问题，因为他们下季高机率不会超过税线。 The Washington Wizards front office was refreshingly candid when they took over. They knew this was going to take some time, considering the roster they inherited was bloated with bad contracts and didn’t have much young talent. Three years in, the Wizards are ready to start moving back up. They’ve got the ability to lock in a solid roster this offseason, but Washington has to be careful with how they do so. Otherwise, in a few years, we could end up right back where we were when this current rebuild started. 巫师管理层在接手时展现了令人耳目一新的做法。他们知道这需要时间，因为继承的阵容 满是烂约又缺乏年轻天赋。三年後，巫师已准备好重回上升轨道。他们有能力在夏天固定 下阵容，但必须谨慎行事，否则几年後可能会回到重建起点。 --

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