作者codebreaker ( )
看板WindowsPhone
標題[情報] IDC在181天之內就把WP銷售預測調降40%
時間Wed Dec 5 10:20:29 2012
其實這篇是TNW在砲IDC預測做得很爛 看來國外也略懂分析師(哈
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http://tinyurl.com/bc8fw87
在六月的時候IDC他們說
". IDC expects it to be the number 2 OS with more than 19% share in 2016,
assuming Nokia’s foothold in emerging markets is maintained."
2016 - 19%
喔這預測是在wp8發表之前做的，這不公平，讓我們看看IDC最新的發表(昨天出爐)
"Windows Phone will battle with BlackBerry for the number three spot in 2013,
but will gain further clarity in the years that follow. Windows Phone will
build on the progress it made in 2012, with Nokia establishing its presence
and HTC solidly jumping back into the race. Moreover, contributions by
Samsung, ZTE, and Huawei will help grow its footprint. With more vendors
releasing more devices aimed at multiple segments, sales associates will be
better positioned to tell a compelling Windows Phone story and to explain the
value of Windows Phone’s differentiated experience compared to market
leaders Android and iOS."
聽起來一片大好，看看最新的銷售預測
2016 - 11.4%
在181天之內就把銷售預測調降40% IDC 有你的..
如果大家不健忘了話，其實IDC在去年也做了2015的預測
Windows Phone:
2015 - 20.3%
iOS:
2015 - 16.9%
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1F：推 breadf:這幾年變化太快了，這麼多年後的事情實在很難預測 12/05 11:08
2F：推 MrLuna:跟算命一樣 聽聽就好 12/05 12:46
3F：推 breadf:樓上你還敢說喔... 12/05 13:18
4F：推 nolander:二樓大概希望我們也聽聽就好= = 12/05 13:34
5F：推 by0413:手機這種東西變動這個快 能預測對近幾個月就不錯了 12/05 16:18
6F：推 OhMyAlex:有人連廠商被併購都能預測你就知道有多厲害 12/05 17:28