作者codebreaker ( )
看板WindowsPhone
标题[情报] IDC在181天之内就把WP销售预测调降40%
时间Wed Dec 5 10:20:29 2012
其实这篇是TNW在炮IDC预测做得很烂 看来国外也略懂分析师(哈
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http://tinyurl.com/bc8fw87
在六月的时候IDC他们说
". IDC expects it to be the number 2 OS with more than 19% share in 2016,
assuming Nokia’s foothold in emerging markets is maintained."
2016 - 19%
喔这预测是在wp8发表之前做的，这不公平，让我们看看IDC最新的发表(昨天出炉)
"Windows Phone will battle with BlackBerry for the number three spot in 2013,
but will gain further clarity in the years that follow. Windows Phone will
build on the progress it made in 2012, with Nokia establishing its presence
and HTC solidly jumping back into the race. Moreover, contributions by
Samsung, ZTE, and Huawei will help grow its footprint. With more vendors
releasing more devices aimed at multiple segments, sales associates will be
better positioned to tell a compelling Windows Phone story and to explain the
value of Windows Phone’s differentiated experience compared to market
leaders Android and iOS."
听起来一片大好，看看最新的销售预测
2016 - 11.4%
在181天之内就把销售预测调降40% IDC 有你的..
如果大家不健忘了话，其实IDC在去年也做了2015的预测
Windows Phone:
2015 - 20.3%
iOS:
2015 - 16.9%
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1F：推 breadf:这几年变化太快了，这麽多年後的事情实在很难预测 12/05 11:08
2F：推 MrLuna:跟算命一样 听听就好 12/05 12:46
3F：推 breadf:楼上你还敢说喔... 12/05 13:18
4F：推 nolander:二楼大概希望我们也听听就好= = 12/05 13:34
5F：推 by0413:手机这种东西变动这个快 能预测对近几个月就不错了 12/05 16:18
6F：推 OhMyAlex:有人连厂商被并购都能预测你就知道有多厉害 12/05 17:28