http://ppt.cc/!yqv Box office preview: Will 'The Final Destination' and 'Halloween II' massacre each other? 絕命終結站4與月光光心慌慌2互相殘殺？ by Adam B. Vary Categories: Box Office, News Your regular box office prognosticator Nicole Sperling is out for the next few weeks, box office fans, so you’re stuck with me for this week’s horror movie showdown. That’s right, we’ve got the unusual spectacle of two slice-and-dice flicks opening this weekend, The Final Destination (actually the fourth film in the series), and Halloween II (the second in director Rob Zombie’s reboot of the durable horror franchise, but technically the ninth Halloween movie total). With the R-rated Inglourious Basterds and District 9 also vying for similar audiences, it looks like it’s gonna be — yep, you knew this was coming — quite a bloody weekend at the box office. Here’s how I see the body count stacking up: 由於原本的票房預測員Nicole Sperling這幾個禮拜有事在身， 所以各位票房迷們，你們這個禮拜就陪我來度過這個恐怖片週末吧！ 是的，本週我們有兩部「殺很大」的新片，他們分別是英文名字看不出來的 「絕命終結站4」與羅伯殭屍再次打造的「月光光心慌慌2：血染萬聖節」 （技術上來說，也可以把他視為該系列的第九集），再加上另外兩部也是R級 的惡棍特工與第九禁區；沒錯，可想而知本週的票房榜將會很血腥。以下是 我的預測 1. The Final Destination — $19 million The three previous films in this making-efficient-mincemeat-of-anonymous- hot-actors franchise have all built on the previous film’s opening weekend, with the last one banking $19.1 million when it opened in Feb. 2006. I do think the steeper competition this time around will suppress the total number of ticket buyers for the film. But New Line Cinema has aggressively promoted the fact that this Final Destination is in 3D, and over half the 3,121 theaters showing the film will be charging the premium ticket price that comes with that unique pleasure. The last horror movie to go 3D — last January’s subtly titled My Bloody Valentine 3D — brought in $21.1 million even though it came in third place, and that was on far fewer 3D screens. 1.絕命終結站4－1千9百萬美金 絕命系列雖然沒有大卡斯坐鎮，但都有不錯的首映票房， 2006年2月的第三集的首周甚至將近兩千萬。儘管我認為這回更激烈的競爭， 將會壓低本週買票的觀眾人數；但是也請注意新線公司強打本片將會在超過 1千5百家有3D設備的戲院上映的事實，因為這種獨一無二的觀影樂趣可以 帶來更多的收入。上一部有配置3D設備的驚悚片，是半年前的「3D血腥情人節」， 儘管他只排名第三，3D戲院也沒有FD4來得多，但還是在首周進帳超過兩千萬 2. Inglourious Basterds — $18 million The big question hovering now over Quentin Tarantino’s WWII opus is whether its impressive $38 million opening weekend exhausted its potential audience, or if the film has the legs to go the distance. Since I’m planning on seeing the film this weekend, and since word-of-mouth on the film has been rather strong, I put the film’s second weekend drop around 52%, for a healthy $18 million weekend, which puts it ahead of… 2.惡棍特工－1千8百萬美金 對於這部昆丁塔倫提諾的二戰鬧劇來說，本週的最大問題在於本片的賣座走勢， 或者說：上週高達3千8百萬的首映成績，會不會反而已經消耗本片的票房潛力。 由於我本週就會去看本片，加上口碑比影評想像中還要優秀，我認為惡片本週的 跌幅應該可以控制在52%以內，擁有1千8百萬的健康票房收入，並且可以讓他的 排名超越… 3. Halloween II — $14 million Writer-director Rob Zombie’s first stab at rebooting the grandpappy of the slasher film genre raked in $30.1 million when it opened over the four-day Labor Day weekend in 2007, but that was against no real competition, and juiced by the excitement of infusing moribund anti-hero Michael Myers with some desperately needed new blood. But a Halloween sequel? Been there, slashed that. I’m calculating horror fans looking at a choice between yet another Halloween movie and the chance at watching pretty kids die in three dimensions will go with the latter more than the former. Adding injury to more injury, Halloween II’s distributors, the rather famously cash strapped The Weinstein Co. and Dimension Films, haven ’t been able to flex as much marketing muscle for the project as they might have in their halcyon days. 3.月光光心慌慌2：血染萬聖節－1千4百萬美金 本片的編導羅伯殭屍曾經在兩年前的勞工節假期，成功將這部屠殺經典的 再造版本賺到超過三千萬的首映票房；但那是因為該檔期沒有強勁的競爭對手， 而且影迷對於老派反英雄麥可邁爾斯（月光光心慌慌的殺人狂）注入新生命感到 興奮的緣故。 那麼今年的H2呢？很不幸的，他會是一場災難！我最近在計算恐怖片影迷本週 會選擇另一部萬聖節的電影，還是看帥哥美女用3D銀幕死在觀眾眼前（也就是 絕命4），結果是想看後者的朋友比較多。雪上加霜的是，H2的發行片商， 是目前財務陷入危機的溫斯坦集團與旗下的次元公司，他們已經不像以往全盛 時期一樣，有足夠的預算宣傳這種屠殺片 4. District 9 – $7.5 million I’m thinking this little-sci-fi-movie-that-could might see the first small chink in its insect-like armor thanks to this weekend’s glut of R-rated movie violence, with a third-weekend drop close to 60%. That still would put the film’s total gross close to $90 million, well on its way to becoming one of the summer’s most profitable films. 4.第九禁區－750萬美金 我覺得這部以貌似昆蟲的外星部隊作為主角的小成本科幻驚悚片， 很有可能因為過量的R級暴力電影，讓他有將近六成的跌幅。不過本片仍然 可望將票房累積到9千萬美金，讓他成為今年暑假最能賺錢的電影 5. Taking Woodstock — $7 million Opening in almost 1,400 theaters, director Ang Lee’s first English-language film since Brokeback Mountain will certainly capitalize on nostalgia for the historic three-day music festival. The film’s critical reception, however, has been decidedly mixed-to-negative: A 52% Rotten Tomatoes score does not bode well for the movie’s prospects with a prospective audience that actually still reads, and heeds, movie reviews. 5.胡士托風波－7百萬美金 李安繼斷背山之後的第一部英語片，將會在美國將近1千4百家戲院上映。 然而，這部描述歷史性音樂活動起源新片的評價，卻可說是每況愈下， 目前他在濫番茄網站52%的影評滿意度，對於留意該片情形的影迷來說顯然 不是個好預兆 Also opening in limited release: 本週其他新片 Big Fan — Comedian Patton Oswalt takes on his first dramatic role as a sad-sack New York Giants mega-fan who runs afoul of his favorite player. Big Fan： 諧星派頓奧斯華首度嘗試感傷劇情片，他飾演紐約巨人隊的死忠球迷， 結果卻跟他最喜歡的球星產生衝突 The September Issue — This documentary follows the making of the most important issue for the fashion world’s de-facto bible, Vogue magazine, and the infamous editor — proverbial “ice queen” Anna Wintour — who runs it. 時尚女王的聖經： 這部紀錄片紀錄了時尚界的聖經－Vogur雜誌的製作過程，並且介紹該刊 惡名昭彰的總編輯安娜「冰山女王」溫托如何讓Vogue成為時尚界最重要的刊物 （影壇公認穿著普拉達的惡魔中的主角米蘭達，其實就是在影射溫托） -- 劉大星: 海馬寶寶: 海馬寶寶， 不要亂講話!劉大星! 我覺得我們上任以來的表現還算OK耶! 因為你已經害我被PTT鄉民噓到爆了! ▲ ■ --

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