: Washington Nationals: 76-86 projected 2010 record 華盛頓國民隊：2010年預估戰績 76勝-86敗 : Why they might win: They're not going to win big, but PECOTA sees a team : that lost 103 games last year finishing just five games under .500. : Stephen Strasburg's first year as a pro could be very similar to Mark : Prior's 2002 season, when he made nine minor league starts, was in the : majors by the end of May, and was immediately the best pitcher on the : staff. 為何他們能贏球：再連兩年百敗後國民隊今年不會死貓跳，PECOTA 預測 今年戰績約能拿到76勝，低於5成勝率5場。Stephen Strasburg 第一年職業成績會與 Mark Prior 初登板年 非常相像，在投了9場小聯盟比賽後，於5月底登上大聯盟 ，然後成為投手群中的佼佼者。 : Why they might not win: Because they're still the Nationals and they're : still not very good. This is the team that allowed 874 runs last year, : 100 more than 13 of the 15 other teams in the league. Even with : Strasburg and the addition of Jason Marquis, the end of the rotation is : a nightmare, and the bullpen isn't much better, with new closer Matt : Capps going into the year with a possibility of being the only reliever : with a projected ERA below 4.00. 為何他們還是贏不了：因為他們是華盛頓國民隊，體質依舊孱弱。國民隊 去年總共丟掉874分，比國聯其他13支球隊多丟超過 100分。即使今年補進 Strasburg 與 Marquis，後段 輪植及後援依舊是個疑問，新任終結者 Matt Capps 成績預測自責分率低於4.00，平凡的後援投手。 : Player who could surprise: While righty Garrett Mock got knocked around : for a .308 opponents' batting average and a 5.62 ERA last year, PECOTA : sees a good skill set and solid minor league track record, projecting : him as a big-league average starter with a 4.23 ERA. 最佳驚奇球員：即使去年 Garret Mock (音同 Mark) 被打擊率高達0.308， 自責分率5.62，PECOTA 觀察到投球技巧逐漸成熟，外加堅實 的小聯盟成績，預測 Mock 會是自責分率4.23，大聯盟平均 水準的先發投手。 : Player who could disappoint: PECOTA has no faith in the .351 batting : average center fielder Nyjer Morgan posted for the Nationals last season : after being acquired in a late-June trade; he's projected for a : .283/.348/.385 batting line in 2010. That's not only a below-average : player, but also well off Morgan's career line. 最失望球員：PECOTA 認為去年中交易過來的中外野手 Nyjer Morgan 3成51 打擊率是虛幻的。他被預測2010年成績 2成83/3成48/3成85， 不僅低於一般標準，甚至比生涯平均還低。 --

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