: Washington Nationals: 76-86 projected 2010 record 华盛顿国民队：2010年预估战绩 76胜-86败 : Why they might win: They're not going to win big, but PECOTA sees a team : that lost 103 games last year finishing just five games under .500. : Stephen Strasburg's first year as a pro could be very similar to Mark : Prior's 2002 season, when he made nine minor league starts, was in the : majors by the end of May, and was immediately the best pitcher on the : staff. 为何他们能赢球：再连两年百败後国民队今年不会死猫跳，PECOTA 预测 今年战绩约能拿到76胜，低於5成胜率5场。Stephen Strasburg 第一年职业成绩会与 Mark Prior 初登板年 非常相像，在投了9场小联盟比赛後，於5月底登上大联盟 ，然後成为投手群中的佼佼者。 : Why they might not win: Because they're still the Nationals and they're : still not very good. This is the team that allowed 874 runs last year, : 100 more than 13 of the 15 other teams in the league. Even with : Strasburg and the addition of Jason Marquis, the end of the rotation is : a nightmare, and the bullpen isn't much better, with new closer Matt : Capps going into the year with a possibility of being the only reliever : with a projected ERA below 4.00. 为何他们还是赢不了：因为他们是华盛顿国民队，体质依旧孱弱。国民队 去年总共丢掉874分，比国联其他13支球队多丢超过 100分。即使今年补进 Strasburg 与 Marquis，後段 轮植及後援依旧是个疑问，新任终结者 Matt Capps 成绩预测自责分率低於4.00，平凡的後援投手。 : Player who could surprise: While righty Garrett Mock got knocked around : for a .308 opponents' batting average and a 5.62 ERA last year, PECOTA : sees a good skill set and solid minor league track record, projecting : him as a big-league average starter with a 4.23 ERA. 最佳惊奇球员：即使去年 Garret Mock (音同 Mark) 被打击率高达0.308， 自责分率5.62，PECOTA 观察到投球技巧逐渐成熟，外加坚实 的小联盟成绩，预测 Mock 会是自责分率4.23，大联盟平均 水准的先发投手。 : Player who could disappoint: PECOTA has no faith in the .351 batting : average center fielder Nyjer Morgan posted for the Nationals last season : after being acquired in a late-June trade; he's projected for a : .283/.348/.385 batting line in 2010. That's not only a below-average : player, but also well off Morgan's career line. 最失望球员：PECOTA 认为去年中交易过来的中外野手 Nyjer Morgan 3成51 打击率是虚幻的。他被预测2010年成绩 2成83/3成48/3成85， 不仅低於一般标准，甚至比生涯平均还低。 --

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