※ 引述《polebear (比平凡少一點)》之銘言： : 數字是去年的成績，非預測 : 原文網址：(http://tinyurl.com/bmhsz4) : http://baseballsavant.blogspot.com/2009/01/2009-new-york-yankees-season- : preview.html : 2009 NEW YORK YANKEES SEASON PREVIEW : Friday, January 23, 2009 by Baseball Savant : Another new season, another new set of previews. I'm hoping this season I can : maybe shorten the previews up a little bit so I can write about more teams. I : usually get all the competitive teams in the AL and then a couple in the NL : which sort of disappoints me a bit. This season hopefully I can get them all : in. At least that is what I'm hoping for! 新的球季, 另一串新的球隊預測. 我希望這個球季我可以縮短每隊球隊預測內容 如此我可以分析較多球隊. 通常我會針對美聯所有有競爭力的隊伍做分析, 也會附上一些讓我失望的國聯球隊分析. 希望本球季我可以完成這些球隊的季前分析. : So the 2008 Yankees! It was a horrible disappointment no question. For the : first time since 1994 in the strike shortened season the Yankees did not make : the postseason. If you don't count '94 then this was the first time since : 1993 the Yankees didn't play meaningful games in October. There was a lot of : ink spilled about the demise of the Yankees last season, but I think in : reality the Yankees had two problems that were somewhat magnified given how : well the Rays ended up playing and the machine they call the Boston Red Sox : maintaining their dominance over the rest of the American League. 毫無疑問的, 2008球季對洋基來說簡直糟透了. 自從1994罷工球季後, 洋基第一次 沒有闖進季後賽. 若略過1994球季不算, 這是自1993年以來洋基第一次沒在十月份比賽. 有許多論點談論到上季洋基的失敗, 但我認為實際上洋基有兩個問題. : The first problem with New York was that GM Brian Cashman overplayed his hand : in hoping Chamberlain, Hughes & Kennedy were going to fill in as the starters : in New York. Granted, the Yankees had Chien-Ming Wang, Andy Pettitte and Mike : Mussina in the rotation, but one of the reasons the Yankees passed on Johan : Santana was their unwillingness to part ways with Hughes and/or Kennedy in : the potential deal with the Twins. Instead the Twins went with the Mets and : Santana was pitching in Queens instead of the Bronx. 第一個問題是現金人過度高估Chamberlain, Hughes & Kennedy可以填補先發投手的洞. 就算洋基有王葛格, 小派和穆帥, 但洋基放棄爭取Santana的理由之一就是不願用 Hughes和(或)Kennedy當成交易籌碼. 最後雙城轉而與大都會做交易. : Unfortunately for Yankees Nation, the young pitchers experiement didn't work : out. Ian Kennedy was a disaster at the big league level although he was once : again dominant in AAA posting a 2.35ERA in Scranton over 12 starts, striking : out 72 batters in 69IP while issuing just 17 walks and 4HR. Kennedy also : missed about a month with shoulder problems. Phil Hughes wasn't much better. : Hughes was only slightly better than Kennedy at the major league level : although he posted good peripheral numbers in Scranton. Hughes missed : 3-months with a rib fracture in 2008 which means in the last 2 seasons, : Hughes has been on the DL for 3-months each. In 2007 he had hamstring : problems which sidelined him for a month. 不幸的是, 這群年輕投手的試驗並沒有成功. Kennedy在大聯盟徹底失敗, 雖然他再次 屠宰3A, 在3A的12次先發投了69局三振對手72次, 只送出17次四壞, 只被打4支全壘打. 他也因為肩傷問題離開球場約1個月. Hughes的表現也沒比較好. 他在大聯盟的表現只 比Kennedy好一點, 雖然他在Scranton表現不錯. 2008球季, Hughes因肋骨斷裂休息三 個月, 在最近兩個球季, Hughes每季都進入DL休養三個月. 在2007球季他因為腿筋問題 休養一個月. : Joba was dominant both in the bullpen and out of it, but he missed a month : with his shoulder and was limited to just 100IP. Chien-Ming Wang missed : 4-months with a foot injury and his injury problems are starting to be : somewhat chronic. Losing a month in 2007 because of a hamstring. He missed 2 : months in 2005 with shoulder ailments. Over the last 4 seasons, Wang has had : only 1 healthy one! Joba在牛棚與先發的表現都很優秀, 但他因為肩傷問題休養一個月, 也只投了100局. 王葛格因腳傷錯過四個月, 他的傷病問題也開始不斷出現. 在2007因腿筋拉傷錯過 一個月. 在2005因肩膀病痛錯過兩個月. 過去四個球季王葛格只有一個健康球季. : The Yankees came into 2008 with 6 potential starters (Mussina, Pettitte, : Wang, Hughes, Kennedy & Chamberlain) and 4 of them missed significant time : because of injury or ineffectiveness or both! This of course made New York : reliant upon a cast of characters that included Darrell Rasner, Sidney : Ponson, Carl Pavano and Dan Giese. They even got a start from Kei Igawa. All : told, the Yankees used 13 starting pitchers in 2008 which means the injury : bug was simply killing New York and there was no backup plan at all to : replace all the problems. 2008開打時洋基有六位先發人選, 結果其中四位因為受傷或表現不佳而錯過大半球季. 當然這使得洋基必須依靠Rasner, Ponson, 痛痛人, Giese等人. 甚至連阿宅都曾先發 上場一次. 總計, 洋基在2008球季用了13位先發投手, 這意會著傷兵問題搞慘了洋基, 也沒有任何備用計畫來解決問題. : Mussina & Pettitte did what they could. Mussina finished the year at 20-9 : while Pettitte's 14-14 record belies a lot better peripheral numbers. They : combined for 67 starts between them meaning that New York was quite possibly : a 95-97 win team if they could have gotten ANY help from their starting : pitchers. 穆帥與小派已經盡其所能. 穆帥20勝9敗, 而小派14勝14敗. 他們倆合計先發67場. 如果洋基可以從先發投手群得到任何幫助, 洋基的戰績可能會是95勝67敗 (應該是這樣吧?) --- 這篇文章太長了, 連刪除引用文都好久. 翻到這已經想睡了, 其餘的明後天繼續努力. 金拍謝.... --- --

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