※ 引述《polebear (比平凡少一点)》之铭言： : 数字是去年的成绩，非预测 : 原文网址：(http://tinyurl.com/bmhsz4) : http://baseballsavant.blogspot.com/2009/01/2009-new-york-yankees-season- : preview.html : 2009 NEW YORK YANKEES SEASON PREVIEW : Friday, January 23, 2009 by Baseball Savant : Another new season, another new set of previews. I'm hoping this season I can : maybe shorten the previews up a little bit so I can write about more teams. I : usually get all the competitive teams in the AL and then a couple in the NL : which sort of disappoints me a bit. This season hopefully I can get them all : in. At least that is what I'm hoping for! 新的球季, 另一串新的球队预测. 我希望这个球季我可以缩短每队球队预测内容 如此我可以分析较多球队. 通常我会针对美联所有有竞争力的队伍做分析, 也会附上一些让我失望的国联球队分析. 希望本球季我可以完成这些球队的季前分析. : So the 2008 Yankees! It was a horrible disappointment no question. For the : first time since 1994 in the strike shortened season the Yankees did not make : the postseason. If you don't count '94 then this was the first time since : 1993 the Yankees didn't play meaningful games in October. There was a lot of : ink spilled about the demise of the Yankees last season, but I think in : reality the Yankees had two problems that were somewhat magnified given how : well the Rays ended up playing and the machine they call the Boston Red Sox : maintaining their dominance over the rest of the American League. 毫无疑问的, 2008球季对洋基来说简直糟透了. 自从1994罢工球季後, 洋基第一次 没有闯进季後赛. 若略过1994球季不算, 这是自1993年以来洋基第一次没在十月份比赛. 有许多论点谈论到上季洋基的失败, 但我认为实际上洋基有两个问题. : The first problem with New York was that GM Brian Cashman overplayed his hand : in hoping Chamberlain, Hughes & Kennedy were going to fill in as the starters : in New York. Granted, the Yankees had Chien-Ming Wang, Andy Pettitte and Mike : Mussina in the rotation, but one of the reasons the Yankees passed on Johan : Santana was their unwillingness to part ways with Hughes and/or Kennedy in : the potential deal with the Twins. Instead the Twins went with the Mets and : Santana was pitching in Queens instead of the Bronx. 第一个问题是现金人过度高估Chamberlain, Hughes & Kennedy可以填补先发投手的洞. 就算洋基有王葛格, 小派和穆帅, 但洋基放弃争取Santana的理由之一就是不愿用 Hughes和(或)Kennedy当成交易筹码. 最後双城转而与大都会做交易. : Unfortunately for Yankees Nation, the young pitchers experiement didn't work : out. Ian Kennedy was a disaster at the big league level although he was once : again dominant in AAA posting a 2.35ERA in Scranton over 12 starts, striking : out 72 batters in 69IP while issuing just 17 walks and 4HR. Kennedy also : missed about a month with shoulder problems. Phil Hughes wasn't much better. : Hughes was only slightly better than Kennedy at the major league level : although he posted good peripheral numbers in Scranton. Hughes missed : 3-months with a rib fracture in 2008 which means in the last 2 seasons, : Hughes has been on the DL for 3-months each. In 2007 he had hamstring : problems which sidelined him for a month. 不幸的是, 这群年轻投手的试验并没有成功. Kennedy在大联盟彻底失败, 虽然他再次 屠宰3A, 在3A的12次先发投了69局三振对手72次, 只送出17次四坏, 只被打4支全垒打. 他也因为肩伤问题离开球场约1个月. Hughes的表现也没比较好. 他在大联盟的表现只 比Kennedy好一点, 虽然他在Scranton表现不错. 2008球季, Hughes因肋骨断裂休息三 个月, 在最近两个球季, Hughes每季都进入DL休养三个月. 在2007球季他因为腿筋问题 休养一个月. : Joba was dominant both in the bullpen and out of it, but he missed a month : with his shoulder and was limited to just 100IP. Chien-Ming Wang missed : 4-months with a foot injury and his injury problems are starting to be : somewhat chronic. Losing a month in 2007 because of a hamstring. He missed 2 : months in 2005 with shoulder ailments. Over the last 4 seasons, Wang has had : only 1 healthy one! Joba在牛棚与先发的表现都很优秀, 但他因为肩伤问题休养一个月, 也只投了100局. 王葛格因脚伤错过四个月, 他的伤病问题也开始不断出现. 在2007因腿筋拉伤错过 一个月. 在2005因肩膀病痛错过两个月. 过去四个球季王葛格只有一个健康球季. : The Yankees came into 2008 with 6 potential starters (Mussina, Pettitte, : Wang, Hughes, Kennedy & Chamberlain) and 4 of them missed significant time : because of injury or ineffectiveness or both! This of course made New York : reliant upon a cast of characters that included Darrell Rasner, Sidney : Ponson, Carl Pavano and Dan Giese. They even got a start from Kei Igawa. All : told, the Yankees used 13 starting pitchers in 2008 which means the injury : bug was simply killing New York and there was no backup plan at all to : replace all the problems. 2008开打时洋基有六位先发人选, 结果其中四位因为受伤或表现不佳而错过大半球季. 当然这使得洋基必须依靠Rasner, Ponson, 痛痛人, Giese等人. 甚至连阿宅都曾先发 上场一次. 总计, 洋基在2008球季用了13位先发投手, 这意会着伤兵问题搞惨了洋基, 也没有任何备用计画来解决问题. : Mussina & Pettitte did what they could. Mussina finished the year at 20-9 : while Pettitte's 14-14 record belies a lot better peripheral numbers. They : combined for 67 starts between them meaning that New York was quite possibly : a 95-97 win team if they could have gotten ANY help from their starting : pitchers. 穆帅与小派已经尽其所能. 穆帅20胜9败, 而小派14胜14败. 他们俩合计先发67场. 如果洋基可以从先发投手群得到任何帮助, 洋基的战绩可能会是95胜67败 (应该是这样吧?) --- 这篇文章太长了, 连删除引用文都好久. 翻到这已经想睡了, 其余的明後天继续努力. 金拍谢.... --- --

※ 发信站: 批踢踢实业坊(ptt.cc) ◆ From: 123.110.246.13