作者krajicek (回憶比真實精彩)
看板NFL
標題[NFL!] AFC外卡大亂鬥
時間Tue Dec 29 14:20:46 2009
http://joenfl.blogs.cbssports.com/mcc/blogs/view/18374161
這篇是CBS的專家計算出來的各種排列組合。基本上AFC現在最有優勢的，
就跟我昨天講的一樣，就是NYJ和BAL，就贏球就好，什麼都不用管。
（看不懂為何這兩隊有主權的，請參閱本版「AFC外卡主動權」這篇）
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以下轉錄部分內容：我就不多一一解釋了，免得越講越亂XD
BALTIMORE RAVENS
Baltimore clinches a playoff spot:
1) BAL win
NEW YORK JETS
NY Jets clinch a playoff spot:
1) NYJ win
DENVER Broncos
Denver clinches a playoff spot:
1) DEN win + NYJ loss or tie + BAL loss or tie
2) DEN win + NYJ loss or tie + PIT loss or tie
3) DEN win + NYJ loss or tie + HOU win
4) DEN win + BAL loss or tie + PIT loss or tie
5) DEN win + BAL loss or tie + HOU win
6) PIT loss + BAL loss + HOU loss + JAC loss
7) PIT loss + BAL loss + HOU loss + NYJ loss
8) PIT loss + BAL loss + JAC loss + NYJ loss
9) PIT loss + HOU loss + JAC loss + NYJ loss
10) MIA loss or tie + NYJ loss + BAL loss + HOU loss + JAC loss or tie
PITTSBURGH Steelers
Pittsburgh clinches a playoff spot:
1) PIT win + HOU loss or tie + NYJ loss or tie
2) PIT win + HOU loss or tie + BAL loss or tie
3) PIT win + NYJ loss or tie + BAL loss or tie + DEN loss or tie
HOUSTON Texans
Houston clinches a playoff spot:
1) HOU win + NYJ loss or tie + BAL loss or tie
2) HOU win + NYJ loss or tie + DEN loss or tie
3) HOU win + BAL loss or tie + DEN loss or tie
JACKSONVILLE Jaguars
Jacksonville clinches a playoff spot:
1) JAC win + PIT loss + BAL loss + DEN loss + HOU loss
2) JAC win + PIT loss + BAL loss + DEN loss + NYJ loss
3) JAC win + PIT loss + BAL loss + HOU loss + NYJ loss
4) JAC win + PIT loss + DEN loss + HOU loss + NYJ loss
5) JAC win + NYJ loss + DEN loss + HOU loss + BAL loss
MIAMI Dolphins
Miami clinches a playoff spot:
1) MIA win + NYJ loss + BAL loss + HOU loss + JAC loss or tie
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◆ From: 220.142.13.59
※ 編輯: krajicek 來自: 220.142.13.59 (12/29 14:22)
1F：推 tlchen:BAL 跟 NYJ 應該也有輸球進的機會,只要又要加一堆條件 12/29 14:40
2F：→ krajicek:對啊，我想是作者認為既然贏球就晉級，就省略了吧 12/29 14:42
3F：→ krajicek:BAL應該不能輸球，因為PIT跟MIA要強碰 12/29 14:45
4F：推 tlchen:MIA贏PIT,NYJ又輸的話,東區變MIA出來,然後其它8-7也都輸 12/29 14:48
5F：→ krajicek:對，那可能會比到SOS 12/29 14:49
6F：→ tlchen:那又有不同的 common game 要看 12/29 14:49
7F：→ krajicek:MIA、BAL、DEN三隊的Common Games是平手的 12/29 14:50
8F：→ krajicek:所以會再往下比，那就更複雜了，不討論是對的XD 12/29 14:51
9F：→ krajicek:最後一點已經提到，其他都輸的話，MIA會晉級 12/29 14:52
10F：→ tlchen:我猜 MIA 在 8-8 的情況,只怕 DEN,JAC,所以勝利條件沒有DEN 12/29 14:52
11F：→ tlchen:若不動用到SOS,則只有六場比賽有關係,應該要有人把 2^6=64 12/29 14:54
12F：→ tlchen:種狀況,全部演練一次.順便知道一下哪種會要用到 SOS 12/29 14:54
14F：推 isaac2104:我家鋼人機會好低...今年好慘=_= 12/29 19:26
15F：推 zarcen:steeler仍有希望... 12/29 23:35
16F：推 yellowsand:希望可以出現奇蹟，鋼人加油 12/30 00:37
17F：推 bezlin:NE和CIN會幫鋼人打條生路嗎? 畢竟他們也要讓球員休息一下 12/30 11:01
18F：→ krajicek:NE跟CIN外卡週都要出賽，所以17週可能會有所保留 12/30 11:04
19F：→ krajicek:而且CIN即有可能要連續兩週對NYJ，重點還是後面那場 12/30 11:06
20F：→ krajicek:不過因為CIN vs NYJ這場是SNF，所以有很充裕的考量空間 12/30 11:08
21F：→ krajicek:如果下午賽事NE贏了，那CIN晚場不管勝負都第四種子 12/30 11:10
22F：→ krajicek:那CIN就沒有什麼必須力拚的動機，讓主力輪番休息就很可能 12/30 11:11