作者krajicek (回忆比真实精彩)
看板NFL
标题[NFL!] AFC外卡大乱斗
时间Tue Dec 29 14:20:46 2009
http://joenfl.blogs.cbssports.com/mcc/blogs/view/18374161
这篇是CBS的专家计算出来的各种排列组合。基本上AFC现在最有优势的，
就跟我昨天讲的一样，就是NYJ和BAL，就赢球就好，什麽都不用管。
（看不懂为何这两队有主权的，请参阅本版「AFC外卡主动权」这篇）
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以下转录部分内容：我就不多一一解释了，免得越讲越乱XD
BALTIMORE RAVENS
Baltimore clinches a playoff spot:
1) BAL win
NEW YORK JETS
NY Jets clinch a playoff spot:
1) NYJ win
DENVER Broncos
Denver clinches a playoff spot:
1) DEN win + NYJ loss or tie + BAL loss or tie
2) DEN win + NYJ loss or tie + PIT loss or tie
3) DEN win + NYJ loss or tie + HOU win
4) DEN win + BAL loss or tie + PIT loss or tie
5) DEN win + BAL loss or tie + HOU win
6) PIT loss + BAL loss + HOU loss + JAC loss
7) PIT loss + BAL loss + HOU loss + NYJ loss
8) PIT loss + BAL loss + JAC loss + NYJ loss
9) PIT loss + HOU loss + JAC loss + NYJ loss
10) MIA loss or tie + NYJ loss + BAL loss + HOU loss + JAC loss or tie
PITTSBURGH Steelers
Pittsburgh clinches a playoff spot:
1) PIT win + HOU loss or tie + NYJ loss or tie
2) PIT win + HOU loss or tie + BAL loss or tie
3) PIT win + NYJ loss or tie + BAL loss or tie + DEN loss or tie
HOUSTON Texans
Houston clinches a playoff spot:
1) HOU win + NYJ loss or tie + BAL loss or tie
2) HOU win + NYJ loss or tie + DEN loss or tie
3) HOU win + BAL loss or tie + DEN loss or tie
JACKSONVILLE Jaguars
Jacksonville clinches a playoff spot:
1) JAC win + PIT loss + BAL loss + DEN loss + HOU loss
2) JAC win + PIT loss + BAL loss + DEN loss + NYJ loss
3) JAC win + PIT loss + BAL loss + HOU loss + NYJ loss
4) JAC win + PIT loss + DEN loss + HOU loss + NYJ loss
5) JAC win + NYJ loss + DEN loss + HOU loss + BAL loss
MIAMI Dolphins
Miami clinches a playoff spot:
1) MIA win + NYJ loss + BAL loss + HOU loss + JAC loss or tie
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※ 发信站: 批踢踢实业坊(ptt.cc)
◆ From: 220.142.13.59
※ 编辑: krajicek 来自: 220.142.13.59 (12/29 14:22)
1F：推 tlchen:BAL 跟 NYJ 应该也有输球进的机会,只要又要加一堆条件 12/29 14:40
2F：→ krajicek:对啊，我想是作者认为既然赢球就晋级，就省略了吧 12/29 14:42
3F：→ krajicek:BAL应该不能输球，因为PIT跟MIA要强碰 12/29 14:45
4F：推 tlchen:MIA赢PIT,NYJ又输的话,东区变MIA出来,然後其它8-7也都输 12/29 14:48
5F：→ krajicek:对，那可能会比到SOS 12/29 14:49
6F：→ tlchen:那又有不同的 common game 要看 12/29 14:49
7F：→ krajicek:MIA、BAL、DEN三队的Common Games是平手的 12/29 14:50
8F：→ krajicek:所以会再往下比，那就更复杂了，不讨论是对的XD 12/29 14:51
9F：→ krajicek:最後一点已经提到，其他都输的话，MIA会晋级 12/29 14:52
10F：→ tlchen:我猜 MIA 在 8-8 的情况,只怕 DEN,JAC,所以胜利条件没有DEN 12/29 14:52
11F：→ tlchen:若不动用到SOS,则只有六场比赛有关系,应该要有人把 2^6=64 12/29 14:54
12F：→ tlchen:种状况,全部演练一次.顺便知道一下哪种会要用到 SOS 12/29 14:54
14F：推 isaac2104:我家钢人机会好低...今年好惨=_= 12/29 19:26
15F：推 zarcen:steeler仍有希望... 12/29 23:35
16F：推 yellowsand:希望可以出现奇蹟，钢人加油 12/30 00:37
17F：推 bezlin:NE和CIN会帮钢人打条生路吗? 毕竟他们也要让球员休息一下 12/30 11:01
18F：→ krajicek:NE跟CIN外卡周都要出赛，所以17周可能会有所保留 12/30 11:04
19F：→ krajicek:而且CIN即有可能要连续两周对NYJ，重点还是後面那场 12/30 11:06
20F：→ krajicek:不过因为CIN vs NYJ这场是SNF，所以有很充裕的考量空间 12/30 11:08
21F：→ krajicek:如果下午赛事NE赢了，那CIN晚场不管胜负都第四种子 12/30 11:10
22F：→ krajicek:那CIN就没有什麽必须力拚的动机，让主力轮番休息就很可能 12/30 11:11