http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=a20hxdCEo.D4&refer=home China's Inflation Surges to 8.7% as Food Prices Soar March 11 (Bloomberg) -- China's inflation accelerated to the fastest pace in 11 years as the worst snowstorms in half a century disrupted food supplies, adding pressure on the central bank to raise interest rates. Consumer prices climbed 8.7 percent in February from a year earlier after gaining 7.1 percent in January, the statistics bureau said today. That was faster than the 7.9 percent median forecast of 22 economists surveyed by Bloomberg News. .. ... The key one-year lending rate is at a nine-year high of 7.47 percent. The deposit rate is 4.14 percent, less than half the pace of inflation. .. ... ----------------------------------- 禮拜天騎車時小龜提到中國的通膨數據 剛好二月份的通膨調查剛剛公布 受到雪災的影響 繼續攀高至8.7% 一月份也有7.1% 從去年下半年突破6%後就一路上揚 要解決通膨問題 目前普遍使用的方法似乎有兩個 第一是升息 第二是匯率升值 這對中國都是兩難 目前一年期借款利率已高達7.47% 仍無法壓抑通膨 至於匯率的持續升值 則有其限度 主因中國近來受到勞動成本與原物料成本上揚 生產活動有開始趨緩的效果 台商也開始轉移生產重心 人民幣若大幅升值 恐怕會加速生產基地外移的危機 升息看起來可能比較有效 不過這也是兩面刃 同樣會打壓經濟發展 但至少可以緩和實質利率為-4.5%的困境（沒人願意存錢 助長通膨） 在過去十年來 由於中國低價勞動力的侵蝕 所維持的長期低通膨狀況 恐怕也會因中國的通膨高漲而開始反過來對全球進行輸入性通貨膨脹 --

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