http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=a20hxdCEo.D4&refer=home China's Inflation Surges to 8.7% as Food Prices Soar March 11 (Bloomberg) -- China's inflation accelerated to the fastest pace in 11 years as the worst snowstorms in half a century disrupted food supplies, adding pressure on the central bank to raise interest rates. Consumer prices climbed 8.7 percent in February from a year earlier after gaining 7.1 percent in January, the statistics bureau said today. That was faster than the 7.9 percent median forecast of 22 economists surveyed by Bloomberg News. .. ... The key one-year lending rate is at a nine-year high of 7.47 percent. The deposit rate is 4.14 percent, less than half the pace of inflation. .. ... ----------------------------------- 礼拜天骑车时小龟提到中国的通膨数据 刚好二月份的通膨调查刚刚公布 受到雪灾的影响 继续攀高至8.7% 一月份也有7.1% 从去年下半年突破6%後就一路上扬 要解决通膨问题 目前普遍使用的方法似乎有两个 第一是升息 第二是汇率升值 这对中国都是两难 目前一年期借款利率已高达7.47% 仍无法压抑通膨 至於汇率的持续升值 则有其限度 主因中国近来受到劳动成本与原物料成本上扬 生产活动有开始趋缓的效果 台商也开始转移生产重心 人民币若大幅升值 恐怕会加速生产基地外移的危机 升息看起来可能比较有效 不过这也是两面刃 同样会打压经济发展 但至少可以缓和实质利率为-4.5%的困境（没人愿意存钱 助长通膨） 在过去十年来 由於中国低价劳动力的侵蚀 所维持的长期低通膨状况 恐怕也会因中国的通膨高涨而开始反过来对全球进行输入性通货膨胀 --

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