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標題[外電] Scouts Inc. Preview and Predict
時間Sun Apr 27 03:05:02 2008
Scouts Inc. Update: Nuggets vs. Lakers, Game 3
這篇有許多具體的觀察及建議,值得參考
來源:http://0rz.tw/db41l
By David Thorpe
Scouts Inc.
Updated: April 25, 2008
When a team loses a game 122-107, it's easy to suggest that it has to tighten
up its defense quite a bit to get a win the next time out. But when you are
dealing with the Denver Nuggets, who break many of the NBA "truisms," you must
always look at their offense first.
當有一隻球隊以122-107輸球時,你很容易就能給出加強防守的建議。但是當你看的是一支
像金塊這樣打破許多NBA球隊準則的球隊,你永遠都必須先看他們的進攻。
This is the case as we look ahead to Game 3. If Denver hopes to win a game
against the powerful Lakers machine then it first needs to tweak its offense.
這就是我們現在要看第三場的情況。如果丹佛希望能在湖人這支球隊手下贏得一場球,那
他們必須為他們的進攻上緊發條。
While not excusing Denver's defense entirely by any means, it is clear that the
Nuggets made excellent improvements from Game 1, especially in their transition
defense.
這完全不是為丹佛的防守找藉口,但丹佛的防守很明顯的已經比第一場進步很多,特別是
他們的輪轉防守。
Denver forced LA to execute better on offense, giving it far fewer easy looks
by initially matching up better.
丹佛迫使湖人執行更好的進攻,讓他們比第一場拿到更少的嗆司。
Pau Gasol and Lamar Odom had to work much harder to get shots, and few came
early in the offense.They combined for 53 points in Game 1, but had just 22
(Odom scored only four)in Game 2. For Denver, Mission No. 1 accomplished.
Pau Gasol與Lamar Odom必須更努力才能出手,而且其中很少是在攻擊的一開始。他們兩
人在第一場合得了53分,但第二場只有22分(Odom只有四分),任務一完成。
But the problem with defending the Lakers, and a big reason they are the No. 1
seed, is that Kobe Bryant is a star who doesn't score 30 points and get five
assists on a great night -- instead he goes for 49 and 10. And he gets easy
looks for players like Luke Walton, who scored 18 points on 11 shots.
但防守湖人的問題,而且是湖人為什麼是第一種子的原因在於,Kobe Bryant這個人沒有
在這偉大的夜晚得到30分5助攻,而是49分10助攻。因為有像Luke Walton這樣的球員,
他就能有很好的出手視野。Luke只投了11球就得到18分。
Denver hoped to lure Kobe into taking a lot of outside shots by guarding him an
arm and a half's distance away (instead of an arm length or even half a
length), using both Kenyon Martin (strong and big) and J.R. Smith (strong and
quick).
丹佛希望能藉由在一個半手臂長的距離外(而不是一個手臂甚至半個手臂的長度)防守
他,誘使他採取更多的外圍跳投。他們用了Kenyon Martin(強壯高大)以及J.R. Smith
(強壯快速)這兩種類型來防守他。
But they failed to adjust when he started draining long jumpers and 3s. When
"Mr. 81" gets it going, Denver needs to immediately adjust into a different
mode.
但是當他開啟守不住模式,並且跳投三分一直進的時候,金塊也沒能調整過來。當81先
生開火的時候,丹佛必須立刻調整防守的模式。
Crowding him when he has the ball is the starting point. Kobe has seen, and
beaten, every defense available, but the Nuggets have to try anything they can
to slow him down when he's hot from the field.
從他一開始拿球就要包夾他。Kobe看到並抓住了每次防守的漏洞,但是即使他手感熱的發
燙,金塊還是必須試著作一切努力讓他停下來。
They didn't, and Kobe had 20 in the first quarter.
他們沒有,而Kobe在第一節就得了20分。
Throughout the game, Denver tried even more players on him with little success.
Kobe did take lots of perimeter shots, so the Nuggets might be inclined to
defend him the same way initially, hoping he misses more in Denver.
綜觀整場比賽,丹佛試過用許多球員去守他,但大都成效不彰。Kobe的確採取了很多外圍
跳投,所以下場比賽金塊還是很可能會對他用同樣的防守,並希望他在丹佛會比較不準。
Should he heat up though, expect the Nuggets to drive him towards harder
double-teams and traps. Denver can try to zone up again, tagging Kobe early,
but LA attacks zones extremely well with quality passers like Walton, Gasol and
Odom.
如果他還是一樣燙,那丹佛應該要對他更嚴密的包夾以及迫使他進入陷阱。丹佛可以試著
區域防守,早點黏住Kobe。但是洛杉磯也很會破區域,因為他們有像Walton,Gasol以及
Odom這些會傳球的好手。
The length those three possess make them able to pass over the top of the
defense. LA is able to surround the zone with good shooters while slicing guys
through the middle or in the short corner when the zone extends to contest the
shooter. There is a reason LA is one of the top three offensive teams in the
NBA, and it's not just because of Kobe.
這三人之間保持的距離,讓他們能夠在防守球員頭上傳球。湖人能夠用射手包圍區域,當
區域為了干擾射手而拉大時,還有人隨時準備溜進中間或是偷龜在角落。這是湖人是聯盟
最會進攻的三支球隊之一的原因,而不只是因為有Kobe。
As mentioned at the outset, it is Denver's offense that needs to heat up in
Game 3, to best give them a chance to win. And its best chance at making that
happen is to pass up 3s and look for drives.
如同前面所提,丹佛必須在第三戰提昇進攻才有機會贏球,而最好的方法就是必須
少投三
分並且
伺機切入。
Despite finishing 19th in the league in 3-point field goal percentage, the
Nuggets were sixth in two-point field goal percentage. And they led the league
in free throws attempted and made.
除了在聯盟三分命中率排名第19以外,金塊的兩分球命中率是聯盟第六,而且在出手及
命中的罰球數都領先全聯盟。
They are extremely difficult to keep from getting to the basket because of
their quickness with the ball, and LA is struggling to defend their ball
screens, much like everyone else has.
他們持球推進的速度飛快,這樣對手很難阻止他們切進籃下。而湖人找不出辦法對付他們
持球的掩護,就像其他隊一樣。
The Lakers used their bigs to "hardhedge" ball screens most of the time, with
the big defender relocating back to his man once the ball was slowed. But Allen
Iverson, Carmelo Anthony and Smith, normally explode past the hedger, creating
easy 5-on-3 scoring opportunities.
湖人通常都用他們的大個去阻擋球的前進,當球慢下來時再輪回原位。但是像Allen
Iverson,Carmelo Anthony以及Smith通常會直接突破,製造五打三的得分機會。
But when Denver chooses to launch 3s early in the possession, and before it
gets into its ball screen action, it takes the pressure off of LA's defenders.
但如果丹佛在進入掩護模式之前就丟三分,那只會讓湖人的防守更輕鬆。
The Nuggets took 36 free throws in Game 2, which seems like a lot, but it's
only five more than what they averaged all season. And their 19 3s (making just
four) is right at their season average. Taking 10 less 3s could result in 10-20
more free throws, and 5-10 more fouls on the Lakers players.
金塊在第二戰有36次罰球的機會。看起來很多,但只比例行賽平均多了五個。他們19次三
分的出手(只命中四球)倒是剛好跟例行賽平均一樣。如果能減少10次三分的出手可能導
致多出10到20次罰球,以及給予湖人球員多出5到10次犯規。
A decidedly better result, most likely, for Denver, which just can't play the
way it normally does to beat this Lakers team (they are 0-5 so far this season
against LA).
對丹佛來說,想以平常在用的辦法打敗湖人是不可能的(他們本季對洛杉磯0勝5敗)。
Although I predicted Denver would win Game 2, I actually felt the Nuggets had
one chance in four to pull it off. Back home in Denver, I'd raise those odds to
just 50-50.
雖然我之前預測丹佛會贏第二戰,但我其實覺得金塊有可能四場就被解決。回到丹佛的主
場,我也只會把他們贏的機率提升到一半。
They count on their home court altitude advantage to work teams over, but LA
has such superior depth compared to most teams.
他們期待利用主場海拔的優勢來改變形勢,但是洛杉磯跟大部分的球隊比起來都深的多。
I expect the Nuggets to focus on getting layups and dunks (instead of a bunch
of 3s) and putting some Lakers in foul trouble. But their body language really
bothered me in Games 1 and 2, both towards the referees and occasionally each
other.
我期待金塊能專注在上籃及灌籃(而不是投一堆三分)然後讓湖人陷入犯規麻煩。但是他
們在第一二戰的肢體動作讓我很困惑,包括對裁判以及對方。
It takes cohesiveness, amongst other things, to beat a team as good as LA. Is
it possible that a 50-win team could lose the first three games of a series?
想要擊敗像洛杉磯這樣好的球隊,必須要在所有事情上團結一致。50勝的球隊就不可能在
第一輪連輸三場?
Yes.
答案是否定的。
PREDICTION: Lakers win Game 3
預測:第三戰湖人贏
雖然他的預測很嘴砲,可是觀察的部份還蠻有參考價值。
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1F:推 bluejason:有看有推! 04/27 03:15
2F:→ Kreen:我都想到過了XD 04/27 03:35
3F:推 vivalasvegas:有看有推+1 04/27 03:54
4F:→ vivalasvegas:第三戰VEGAS賭盤也是看好湖人 04/27 03:55
5F:→ vivalasvegas:Denver地主favor 只讓一分 04/27 03:56
6F:→ ohnaoh:這種時候的文章都會被忽略 因為被比賽文蓋掉了 @@ 04/27 11:38
7F:→ LoadUp:可以把他當Review來看 04/27 13:39