作者LoadUp ()
看板Lakers
标题[外电] Scouts Inc. Preview and Predict
时间Sun Apr 27 03:05:02 2008
Scouts Inc. Update: Nuggets vs. Lakers, Game 3
这篇有许多具体的观察及建议,值得参考
来源:http://0rz.tw/db41l
By David Thorpe
Scouts Inc.
Updated: April 25, 2008
When a team loses a game 122-107, it's easy to suggest that it has to tighten
up its defense quite a bit to get a win the next time out. But when you are
dealing with the Denver Nuggets, who break many of the NBA "truisms," you must
always look at their offense first.
当有一只球队以122-107输球时,你很容易就能给出加强防守的建议。但是当你看的是一支
像金块这样打破许多NBA球队准则的球队,你永远都必须先看他们的进攻。
This is the case as we look ahead to Game 3. If Denver hopes to win a game
against the powerful Lakers machine then it first needs to tweak its offense.
这就是我们现在要看第三场的情况。如果丹佛希望能在湖人这支球队手下赢得一场球,那
他们必须为他们的进攻上紧发条。
While not excusing Denver's defense entirely by any means, it is clear that the
Nuggets made excellent improvements from Game 1, especially in their transition
defense.
这完全不是为丹佛的防守找藉口,但丹佛的防守很明显的已经比第一场进步很多,特别是
他们的轮转防守。
Denver forced LA to execute better on offense, giving it far fewer easy looks
by initially matching up better.
丹佛迫使湖人执行更好的进攻,让他们比第一场拿到更少的呛司。
Pau Gasol and Lamar Odom had to work much harder to get shots, and few came
early in the offense.They combined for 53 points in Game 1, but had just 22
(Odom scored only four)in Game 2. For Denver, Mission No. 1 accomplished.
Pau Gasol与Lamar Odom必须更努力才能出手,而且其中很少是在攻击的一开始。他们两
人在第一场合得了53分,但第二场只有22分(Odom只有四分),任务一完成。
But the problem with defending the Lakers, and a big reason they are the No. 1
seed, is that Kobe Bryant is a star who doesn't score 30 points and get five
assists on a great night -- instead he goes for 49 and 10. And he gets easy
looks for players like Luke Walton, who scored 18 points on 11 shots.
但防守湖人的问题,而且是湖人为什麽是第一种子的原因在於,Kobe Bryant这个人没有
在这伟大的夜晚得到30分5助攻,而是49分10助攻。因为有像Luke Walton这样的球员,
他就能有很好的出手视野。Luke只投了11球就得到18分。
Denver hoped to lure Kobe into taking a lot of outside shots by guarding him an
arm and a half's distance away (instead of an arm length or even half a
length), using both Kenyon Martin (strong and big) and J.R. Smith (strong and
quick).
丹佛希望能藉由在一个半手臂长的距离外(而不是一个手臂甚至半个手臂的长度)防守
他,诱使他采取更多的外围跳投。他们用了Kenyon Martin(强壮高大)以及J.R. Smith
(强壮快速)这两种类型来防守他。
But they failed to adjust when he started draining long jumpers and 3s. When
"Mr. 81" gets it going, Denver needs to immediately adjust into a different
mode.
但是当他开启守不住模式,并且跳投三分一直进的时候,金块也没能调整过来。当81先
生开火的时候,丹佛必须立刻调整防守的模式。
Crowding him when he has the ball is the starting point. Kobe has seen, and
beaten, every defense available, but the Nuggets have to try anything they can
to slow him down when he's hot from the field.
从他一开始拿球就要包夹他。Kobe看到并抓住了每次防守的漏洞,但是即使他手感热的发
烫,金块还是必须试着作一切努力让他停下来。
They didn't, and Kobe had 20 in the first quarter.
他们没有,而Kobe在第一节就得了20分。
Throughout the game, Denver tried even more players on him with little success.
Kobe did take lots of perimeter shots, so the Nuggets might be inclined to
defend him the same way initially, hoping he misses more in Denver.
综观整场比赛,丹佛试过用许多球员去守他,但大都成效不彰。Kobe的确采取了很多外围
跳投,所以下场比赛金块还是很可能会对他用同样的防守,并希望他在丹佛会比较不准。
Should he heat up though, expect the Nuggets to drive him towards harder
double-teams and traps. Denver can try to zone up again, tagging Kobe early,
but LA attacks zones extremely well with quality passers like Walton, Gasol and
Odom.
如果他还是一样烫,那丹佛应该要对他更严密的包夹以及迫使他进入陷阱。丹佛可以试着
区域防守,早点黏住Kobe。但是洛杉矶也很会破区域,因为他们有像Walton,Gasol以及
Odom这些会传球的好手。
The length those three possess make them able to pass over the top of the
defense. LA is able to surround the zone with good shooters while slicing guys
through the middle or in the short corner when the zone extends to contest the
shooter. There is a reason LA is one of the top three offensive teams in the
NBA, and it's not just because of Kobe.
这三人之间保持的距离,让他们能够在防守球员头上传球。湖人能够用射手包围区域,当
区域为了干扰射手而拉大时,还有人随时准备溜进中间或是偷龟在角落。这是湖人是联盟
最会进攻的三支球队之一的原因,而不只是因为有Kobe。
As mentioned at the outset, it is Denver's offense that needs to heat up in
Game 3, to best give them a chance to win. And its best chance at making that
happen is to pass up 3s and look for drives.
如同前面所提,丹佛必须在第三战提昇进攻才有机会赢球,而最好的方法就是必须
少投三
分并且
伺机切入。
Despite finishing 19th in the league in 3-point field goal percentage, the
Nuggets were sixth in two-point field goal percentage. And they led the league
in free throws attempted and made.
除了在联盟三分命中率排名第19以外,金块的两分球命中率是联盟第六,而且在出手及
命中的罚球数都领先全联盟。
They are extremely difficult to keep from getting to the basket because of
their quickness with the ball, and LA is struggling to defend their ball
screens, much like everyone else has.
他们持球推进的速度飞快,这样对手很难阻止他们切进篮下。而湖人找不出办法对付他们
持球的掩护,就像其他队一样。
The Lakers used their bigs to "hardhedge" ball screens most of the time, with
the big defender relocating back to his man once the ball was slowed. But Allen
Iverson, Carmelo Anthony and Smith, normally explode past the hedger, creating
easy 5-on-3 scoring opportunities.
湖人通常都用他们的大个去阻挡球的前进,当球慢下来时再轮回原位。但是像Allen
Iverson,Carmelo Anthony以及Smith通常会直接突破,制造五打三的得分机会。
But when Denver chooses to launch 3s early in the possession, and before it
gets into its ball screen action, it takes the pressure off of LA's defenders.
但如果丹佛在进入掩护模式之前就丢三分,那只会让湖人的防守更轻松。
The Nuggets took 36 free throws in Game 2, which seems like a lot, but it's
only five more than what they averaged all season. And their 19 3s (making just
four) is right at their season average. Taking 10 less 3s could result in 10-20
more free throws, and 5-10 more fouls on the Lakers players.
金块在第二战有36次罚球的机会。看起来很多,但只比例行赛平均多了五个。他们19次三
分的出手(只命中四球)倒是刚好跟例行赛平均一样。如果能减少10次三分的出手可能导
致多出10到20次罚球,以及给予湖人球员多出5到10次犯规。
A decidedly better result, most likely, for Denver, which just can't play the
way it normally does to beat this Lakers team (they are 0-5 so far this season
against LA).
对丹佛来说,想以平常在用的办法打败湖人是不可能的(他们本季对洛杉矶0胜5败)。
Although I predicted Denver would win Game 2, I actually felt the Nuggets had
one chance in four to pull it off. Back home in Denver, I'd raise those odds to
just 50-50.
虽然我之前预测丹佛会赢第二战,但我其实觉得金块有可能四场就被解决。回到丹佛的主
场,我也只会把他们赢的机率提升到一半。
They count on their home court altitude advantage to work teams over, but LA
has such superior depth compared to most teams.
他们期待利用主场海拔的优势来改变形势,但是洛杉矶跟大部分的球队比起来都深的多。
I expect the Nuggets to focus on getting layups and dunks (instead of a bunch
of 3s) and putting some Lakers in foul trouble. But their body language really
bothered me in Games 1 and 2, both towards the referees and occasionally each
other.
我期待金块能专注在上篮及灌篮(而不是投一堆三分)然後让湖人陷入犯规麻烦。但是他
们在第一二战的肢体动作让我很困惑,包括对裁判以及对方。
It takes cohesiveness, amongst other things, to beat a team as good as LA. Is
it possible that a 50-win team could lose the first three games of a series?
想要击败像洛杉矶这样好的球队,必须要在所有事情上团结一致。50胜的球队就不可能在
第一轮连输三场?
Yes.
答案是否定的。
PREDICTION: Lakers win Game 3
预测:第三战湖人赢
虽然他的预测很嘴炮,可是观察的部份还蛮有参考价值。
--
※ 发信站: 批踢踢实业坊(ptt.cc)
◆ From: 122.118.40.231
1F:推 bluejason:有看有推! 04/27 03:15
2F:→ Kreen:我都想到过了XD 04/27 03:35
3F:推 vivalasvegas:有看有推+1 04/27 03:54
4F:→ vivalasvegas:第三战VEGAS赌盘也是看好湖人 04/27 03:55
5F:→ vivalasvegas:Denver地主favor 只让一分 04/27 03:56
6F:→ ohnaoh:这种时候的文章都会被忽略 因为被比赛文盖掉了 @@ 04/27 11:38
7F:→ LoadUp:可以把他当Review来看 04/27 13:39