※ [本文轉錄自 NBA 看板 #1D9CYS4b ] 作者: MOJS (MOJS) 看板: NBA 標題: [情報] Hollinger認為尼克沒那麼好 時間: Thu Jan 6 03:38:00 2011 原文:http://ppt.cc/-9MQ John Hollinger predicts Knick mediocrity 霍林葛認為尼克沒那麼好。 In New York, people have been unbelievably excited about the Knicks' triumphant return to halfway-decency. 在紐約，人們很高興尼克又開始贏球了。 But John Hollinger (Insider), in a discussion of the whole league (which includes noteworthy mocking of Wolves GM David Kahn), says to expect things to cool off a bit over the remainder of the season for the Knicks: 但是霍林葛和聯盟的一些專家討論後，認為尼克的在接下來的賽季不會再 那麼得火熱。 At 19-14 so far, the Bockers project to go just a game over .500 the rest of the way, largely because the schedule gets more difficult. New York has played the league's fourth-easiest schedule thus far, but that changes starting now. The Knicks' next five games in particular -- home versus San Antonio, at Phoenix, at Lakers, at Portland, at Utah -- make it likely they'll be dancing within a game or two of .500 for most of the season before an April stretch of patsies lets them close on a high note. 尼克戰績目前是19-14，不過他們接下來的賽程比較嚴苛。 目前為止尼克的賽程是聯盟中第4輕鬆的，但是狀況要改變了，接下來的五場比賽 馬刺，太陽，湖人，拓荒者，爵士，全敗的話戰績就會來到5成，不過昨天尼克已 經贏了馬刺，所以接下來4場全敗的話，戰積會是20-18，比五場高兩場。 Additionally, I would submit the Knicks aren't as good as their current record for another reason -- they've outscored the opposition by only 0.9 points per game, which normally would leave a team just a game or so above .500 at this point in the season. 另外，作者認為尼克實際上沒有像他們戰績一樣來的好，原因是他們的DIFF只有+0.9 ，不過贏了馬刺後來到了+1.2，+0.9這個數字大概是一隻五成勝率左右的球隊。 Margin of victory, it's worth noting, has the track record of being a better predictor of future success than won-loss record ... so ignore it at your peril. 我很準。 -- 聽說這個人是外國坤哥? --

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