作者MOJS (MOJS)
看板Knicks
标题[情报] Hollinger认为尼克没那麽好
时间Thu Jan 6 03:39:00 2011
※ [本文转录自 NBA 看板 #1D9CYS4b ]
作者: MOJS (MOJS) 看板: NBA
标题: [情报] Hollinger认为尼克没那麽好
时间: Thu Jan 6 03:38:00 2011
原文:http://ppt.cc/-9MQ
John Hollinger predicts Knick mediocrity
霍林葛认为尼克没那麽好。
In New York, people have been unbelievably excited about the Knicks'
triumphant return to halfway-decency.
在纽约,人们很高兴尼克又开始赢球了。
But John Hollinger (Insider), in a discussion of the whole league (which
includes noteworthy mocking of Wolves GM David Kahn), says to expect
things to cool off a bit over the remainder of the season for the Knicks:
但是霍林葛和联盟的一些专家讨论後,认为尼克的在接下来的赛季不会再
那麽得火热。
At 19-14 so far, the Bockers project to go just a game over .500
the rest of the way, largely because the schedule gets more difficult.
New York has played the league's fourth-easiest schedule thus far, but
that changes starting now. The Knicks' next five games in particular --
home versus San Antonio, at Phoenix, at Lakers, at Portland, at Utah --
make it likely they'll be dancing within a game or two of .500 for most
of the season before an April stretch of patsies lets them close on a
high note.
尼克战绩目前是19-14,不过他们接下来的赛程比较严苛。
目前为止尼克的赛程是联盟中第4轻松的,但是状况要改变了,接下来的五场比赛
马刺,太阳,湖人,拓荒者,爵士,全败的话战绩就会来到5成,不过昨天尼克已
经赢了马刺,所以接下来4场全败的话,战积会是20-18,比五场高两场。
Additionally, I would submit the Knicks aren't as good as their current
record for another reason -- they've outscored the opposition by only
0.9 points per game, which normally would leave a team just a game or
so above .500 at this point in the season.
另外,作者认为尼克实际上没有像他们战绩一样来的好,原因是他们的DIFF只有+0.9
,不过赢了马刺後来到了+1.2,+0.9这个数字大概是一只五成胜率左右的球队。
Margin of victory, it's worth noting, has the track record of being a
better predictor of future success than won-loss record ... so ignore
it at your peril.
我很准。
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