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課程名稱:外交決策分析 課程性質:必修 課程範圍:Hudson, Foreign Policy Analysis,Ch.1-3; Allison&Zelikow, Essence of Decision 開課教師:黃奎博 開課系級:外交三 考試日期:2013/11/21 考試時限:110 mins 試題本文: ㄧ、解釋名詞(四選三作答):30% 1.action channel 2."pre-theories of foreign policy" proposed by James N. Rosenau 3.groupthink 4.availability fallacy 二、填空題:25%(答案可寫英文) 1.There are two primary forms of content analysis:_(a)_and_(b)_. 2.What Morton Halperin calls "essence" of the organization is actually _(c)_, highly associated with the organization's identity, mission and vision. 3.Organizations may develop _(d)_(SOP) in place of thinking through every new situation from the ground up. 4.The work of _(e)_, H.W. Bruck and Burton Sapin in 1954 inspired researchers of foreign policy decision-making to look below the nation-state level of analysis to the players involved. They argued that desirable explanations would be both multicausal and interdisciplinary. 三、申論題(第1題必答,25%;第2題與第3題任選一題作答,20%) 1.What is the basic unit of analysis of Graham Allison and Philip Zelikow's Organizational Behavior Model? How do they define it? Please indicate and explain three organizing concepts of this model. 2.What would the mental model of the world, as described by Valerie M. Hudson, influence a leader's decision-making? 3.What is the "vicarious problem solving" technique in analyzing a decision ? Which decision-making model of Graham Allison and Philip Zelikow does this technique fit in with? What do you think about the value of this technique? --



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