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课程名称:外交决策分析 课程性质:必修 课程范围:Hudson, Foreign Policy Analysis,Ch.1-3; Allison&Zelikow, Essence of Decision 开课教师:黄奎博 开课系级:外交三 考试日期:2013/11/21 考试时限:110 mins 试题本文: ㄧ、解释名词(四选三作答):30% 1.action channel 2."pre-theories of foreign policy" proposed by James N. Rosenau 3.groupthink 4.availability fallacy 二、填空题:25%(答案可写英文) 1.There are two primary forms of content analysis:_(a)_and_(b)_. 2.What Morton Halperin calls "essence" of the organization is actually _(c)_, highly associated with the organization's identity, mission and vision. 3.Organizations may develop _(d)_(SOP) in place of thinking through every new situation from the ground up. 4.The work of _(e)_, H.W. Bruck and Burton Sapin in 1954 inspired researchers of foreign policy decision-making to look below the nation-state level of analysis to the players involved. They argued that desirable explanations would be both multicausal and interdisciplinary. 三、申论题(第1题必答,25%;第2题与第3题任选一题作答,20%) 1.What is the basic unit of analysis of Graham Allison and Philip Zelikow's Organizational Behavior Model? How do they define it? Please indicate and explain three organizing concepts of this model. 2.What would the mental model of the world, as described by Valerie M. Hudson, influence a leader's decision-making? 3.What is the "vicarious problem solving" technique in analyzing a decision ? Which decision-making model of Graham Allison and Philip Zelikow does this technique fit in with? What do you think about the value of this technique? --



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