作者yevvi (yevvi)
看板Sabermetrics
标题想问一下PERA的相关数据
时间Thu Apr 23 11:36:34 2009
从Baseball Prospectus上看到的
http://0rz.tw/n9i9A
PERA is a pitcher's ERA as estimated from his
peripheral statistics (
EqH9,
EqHR9, EqBB9, EqK9). Because it is not sensitive to the timing of batting
events, PERA is less subject to luck than ERA, and is a better predictor of
ERA going-forward than ERA itself. Like the rest of a pitcher's equivalent
stats, his PERA is calibrated to an ideal league with an average PERA of
4.50.
EqBB9 is calibrated to an ideal major league where
EqBB9 =
3.0. While a major
league pitcher's equivalent stats should not differ substantially from his
actual numbers, a minor league pitcher's equivalent stats undergo translation
and may differ significantly. Equivalent stats also adjust for park effects.
EqERA is calibrated to an ideal major league where
EqERA =
4.50. While a
major league pitcher's equivalent stats should not differ substantially from
his actual numbers, a minor league pitcher's equivalent stats undergo
translation and may differ significantly. Equivalent stats also adjust for
park effects, and the quality of a pitcher's defense. EqERA is conceptually
identical to NRA, as used in the DT cards.
EqH9 is calibrated to an ideal major league where
EqH9 =
9.0. While a major
league pitcher's equivalent stats should not differ substantially from his
actual numbers, a minor league pitcher's equivalent stats undergo translation
and may differ significantly. Equivalent stats also adjust for park effects.
EqHR9 is calibrated to an ideal major league where
EqHR9 =
1.0. While a major
league pitcher's equivalent stats should not differ substantially from his
actual numbers, a minor league pitcher's equivalent stats undergo translation
and may differ significantly. Equivalent stats also adjust for park effects.
EqK9 is calibrated to an ideal major league where
EqK9 =
6.0. While a major
league pitcher's equivalent stats should not differ substantially from his
actual numbers, a minor league pitcher's equivalent stats undergo translation
and may differ significantly. Equivalent stats also adjust for park effects
上面大意是说PERA是由EqBB9 EqERA EqH9 EqHR9 Eqk9这些指标数据推算而成,
在大联盟算出来的EqBB9=3.0 EqERA=4.50 EqH9=9.0 EqHR9=1.0 EqK9=6.0。
让小弟不懂的是,
(1)这些数值是如何推算而来?
(2)再算PERA时步骤为何? 假如我想算某一位大联盟投手
例Johan Santana在2008年的
PERA,EqBB9,EqERA,EqH9,EqHR9,EqK9
有人能举例说明相关数值是如何试算过来的吗? 谢谢!
--
╔═══════════════╦════════╦═════╗
║ソフトバンク,软体银行四大天王 ║SOFTBANK║ ﹦ ║
╠═══════════════╩════════╩═════╣
║カズミ サイトウ,
トシヤ スギウチ,
ナギサ アラカキ,
ツヨシ ワダ ║
║192cm,96kg 175cm,82kg 189cm,81kg 179cm,77kg ║
╚══════════════════════════════╝
--
※ 发信站: 批踢踢实业坊(ptt.cc)
◆ From: 118.167.180.89
1F:推 weian:calibrated to x : 标准化为 x 04/23 21:02
2F:→ weian:所以不是说推算而成,而是把联盟平均标准化到那个数值 04/23 21:03