http://bit.ly/1HfjIej Boston Red Sox prospect Manuel Margot has recently been promoted to Double-A, and in 16 games, as of July 8th, is hitting well (.295/.358/.443). He is considered one of the most exciting players in the minor leagues, with future five-tool potential--but is he really as good as many seem to think? Manuel Margot先前升上了2A，升级後的16场比赛缴出.295/.358/.443的成绩─他拥有 令人兴奋的五拍子潜力，但是他真如大家所期待吗？ Hit Tool: Margot has a solid hit tool, with a quick bat that moves well through the strike zone. He can put the barrel of the bat on the ball consistently and has fair pitch recognition, rarely striking out. He doesn't have a lot of trouble with breaking balls, which is especially impressive given the fact that he is only 20 years old. He has good bat speed and a compact swing, although it can get long on pitches out of the zone. Hit tool还不错，挥棒速度快，挥棒方式也很棒。他能稳定的咬中球、球种辨识能力也OK ，鲜少被三振。变化球对他来说不会太棘手─对20岁球员来说是很了不得的。挥棒快速而 简洁，虽然有时会去追打好球带外的球而造成挥棒过程变长。 He is slightly too aggressive and rarely works a deep count, and in the few times I have watched him he chases pitches out of the zone. Some may think it is good that he rarely strikes out, but that also means he hardly ever walks and makes his strike zone bigger, leading to some weak contact. He has good loft in his swing. When I watched him he had trouble going to the opposite field. Margot有点过度积极，很少累积球数─我现场看球时看到他会追打坏球。虽然有些人认为 他很少被三振是好事，但这同时意味着他几乎不会获得保送，好球带也扩大了─导致更多 weak contact。他的挥棒能将球抬起，不过目前不太能将球打向反方向。 Future Hit - 55 -- Power: Margot has decent power, despite his small frame. Thanks to his swift bat and good barrel control, Margot can drive the ball well. He has good gap power, but little to no over the fence power outside of batting practice. I see the potential for 25-35 doubles a season, which is quite good, but am not as optimistic about his home run power, and see 12-15 home runs a year, as opposed to some other scouting reports which see him at 18-20. He needs to work on his power in the game, for when he gets too aggressive it is hard for him to make solid contact. 身材偏小但炮瓦很不错，他的挥棒速度与挥棒控制让他具备打line drive的能力。Margot 有很棒的gap power，全垒打能力则是只会出现在挥棒练习中。我的预测是25-35个double 、12-15 HR(有些球探说18-20)。他需要在比赛中展现力量─过度积极的出棒会吃掉炮瓦 以及咬中球的能力。 Future Power - 50 -- Speed: Speed is one of Margot's strong suits, and he consistently runs from home to first base in 4.23-4.28, according to Baseball Prospectus. Because of his good speed he can easily advance extra bases, but needs to choose his spots more wisely, as he doesn't always judge whether he should take the extra base correctly. He also doesn't get good jumps on the base paths, but I think that can be fixed. His speed plays up on defense and will allow him to stay in CF. 速度是Margot最强的武器，从本垒到一垒一般都只花4.23-4.28秒。他的速度帮他多赚了 几只长打，但有时候会发生误判而出局。启动盗垒的jump还有点问题，但我认为这部分可 以改正。他的速度也让足以站稳CF。 Future Speed - 65 -- Arm: Margot's arm is average, although he releases the ball quickly and has good accuracy. He has enough arm for CF and although he has a little trouble getting the ball to home plate, it is not as much of a problem for CF. Feel with proper training he could have a solid arm. 手臂是平均等级，不过传球准度够、放球速度也快。他的传球不能直达本垒，不过对中外 野手来说足够了。个人认为在适度训练下可以进步一些。 Future Arm - 50+ -- Defense: Along with speed, defense is Margot's calling card. Because he has such good speed, he can play shallow and backtrack. He reads the ball well and has good instincts. As at the plate, he is advanced for his age. He also takes good routes and can go side to side as well as backtrack and come in well. He always seems in control of the outfield and projects to stay in CF throughout his career. 防守是Margot的另一张王牌。防守可深可浅，解读棒球去向的直觉不错。防守可以说是超 龄表现，与攻击一样。接球路径选择佳，往前後或侧向都很灵活。预计整个生涯都能守CF。 Future Defense - 65 -- Review: Although it is debatable whether Margot can be a leadoff hitter, thanks to his poor OBP, his well above average defense and speed should make sure he will be a solid first division regular. I project .280/.320/.400 hitter with 10-15 homers a year, 30-35 steals a year if he can get better jumps. His defensive skills will make sure he has a job no matter what. Margot能否担纲开路先锋依然是有争议的─症结在於他的上垒率。不过优异的防守和速度 已经确保他能担任优良的first division固定先发。我的预测是.280/.320/.400、10-15 HR、30-35盗(jump有矫正好的话)。中外野的防守技巧则已经让Margot拿了一个铁饭碗在 手上。 -- ＊Athletic frame. ＊High baseball IQ. Xander ＊Smooth, fluid swing. Bogaerts ＊Elite batspeed. #01 ＊Strong and explosive hands. ＊Above-average-to-better power ceiling, potential 30 home run bat. --

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