http://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2014/10/free-agent-profile-chase-headley.html One of the game’s best defensive third basemen reaches free agency this winter in Chase Headley. Headley’s MVP-caliber 2012 season saw his offense reach lofty heights, but two years later that’s looking like an anomaly. 防守上他是最好的三垒手之一，不过１２年的打击表现应该只是昙花一现 Strengths/Pros 优势 Headley’s only Gold Glove award came in that magical 2012 season, but he’s got a good chance at another one this year. By measure of Ultimate Zone Rating, Headley was the best defensive third baseman in baseball in 2014. If you prefer Defensive Runs Saved, Headley ranked third. He was a top ten defender in 2012 and ’13 as well, so it’s not just a one-year fluke. 就ＵＺＲ来看，他是今年防守表现最佳的三垒手，前两年也差不多 Headley’s defense is a major contributor to his value, leading to roughly four wins above replacement in each of the last two seasons. His WAR ranks tenth among all third basemen for 2013-14, easily ahead of this offseason’s likely top-paid third baseman, Pablo Sandoval. At worst, Headley is Sandoval ’s equal, but defense hasn’t caught up with offense in terms of free agent spending. 他的价值主要来自於防守端，贡献了差不多４ＷＡＲ， 前两季ＷＡＲ加起来在所有三垒手中排第１０名，比功夫熊猫还高 不过评估ＦＡ的价值时，一般而言还是比较注重攻击面的表现 Headley hit .286/.376/.498 with 31 home runs for the Padres in 2012, despite playing half his games in San Diego. 19 of those home runs came in the season ’s final two months. He hit .269/.343/.392 prior to that season and .246/.338/.387 since, and it’s not hard to see that one of these is not like the others. However, the switch-hitting Headley remains capable of a solid on-base percentage, posting a .371 OBP and walk rate near 13% in his 224 plate appearances for the Yankees this year. He is, on the whole, still an above average hitter. １２年打出.286/.376/.498跟３１支全垒打， 在１２年之前.269/.343/.392，１２年之後则是.246/.338/.387 今年在洋基的２２４个ＰＡ里则有.371的上垒率跟１３％的保送率 整体而言，他仍然是一个高於平均的打者 Having been traded midseason, Headley is not eligible for a qualifying offer. Fellow free agents Sandoval and Hanley Ramirez will certainly require draft pick forfeiture, and perhaps Aramis Ramirez too, but Headley is free of that limitation. 跟Sandoval以及Hanley不同的是，他身上没有绑ＱＯ Weaknesses/Cons 弱点 Prior to being traded to the Yankees, Headley hit an abysmal .229/.296/.355 for the Padres in 307 plate appearances. His Padres’ walk rate of 7.2% was well below his career norm. 今年被交易到洋基之前，打击成绩是惨澹的.229/.296/.355， 保送率只有7.2%，也远低於生涯平均 Upon the trade, Tony Blengino of FanGraphs examined Headley’s batted ball profile, and it wasn’t promising. Headley was in “steady offensive decline, ” wrote Blengino, who explained, “his decline in batted-ball production has been solely attributable to diminished fly ball authority.” Did Headley’s 224 plate appearances after the trade represent a reliable return to form? That will be a crucial question for offseason suitors. 交易当时FanGraphs的Tony Blengino在检视了他打出去的球之後认为， 他打出去的多半是软弱的飞球，这显示他打击上呈现稳定的衰退趋势， 到洋基之後的２２４个ＰＡ样本有大到足以显示他的复活吗？ Headley’s recent injury history may be perceived as a negative, though it could also be considered an explanation for his offensive struggles in the first half of the season. He received an epidural in June and avoided going on the DL for his back. After the epidural, Headley hit .273/.359/.400 in 312 plate appearances. 最近几季的伤病史也不好看，但这也可以被视为他打击表现不佳的原因 在六月接受了硬膜外麻醉减轻疼痛後，他在３１２个ＰＡ里打出了.273/.359/.400 Personal 个人特质 Headley was born in Colorado and resides in Tennessee with his family. The Headleys recently welcomed a new baby into the world, their second child. According to the Padres’ 2014 media guide, Headley played varsity baseball and basketball all four years in high school in Colorado, and was also valedictorian. He began college at University of the Pacific in California and later transferred to the University of Tennessee, where his older brother was attending. 高中时是棒篮两栖的明星球员 According to a profile by MLB.com’s Corey Brock in January 2013, Headley owns a large farm in Western Kentucky and has a passion for bow hunting. A religious man since his freshman year in high school, Headley told Mark E. Darnall and Bruce A. Darnall in 2012, “My goal is to have Jesus be the center of everything.” 高一开始就是虔诚的基督徒 Market 市场情形 Any team without an established, reliable third baseman could consider Headley this offseason. Given the uncertainty that comes with Alex Rodriguez, a return to the Yankees is possible. The Red Sox, Astros, Royals, Brewers, Giants, Blue Jays, and Nationals could also seek help at third base, though some of those clubs might only want a short-term solution. 任何缺固定先发三垒手的球队都会考虑他， 考虑到ＡＲＯＤ的不确定性，他也有可能回洋基 红袜、皇家、蓝鸟、国民、巨人（Sandoval离开的话）都可能会追他 Headley’s competition on the free agent market will include Pablo Sandoval, Aramis Ramirez, and Hanley Ramirez. Whether Aramis Ramirez hits the open market could be a big factor for Headley, as well as whether Hanley Ramirez signs as a third baseman. The trade market could feature Luis Valbuena, Trevor Plouffe, and Pedro Alvarez. 他在FA里的竞争对手包括Sandoval跟Hanley（Aramis Ramirez已经确定留在酒鬼了） 其他可能被交易的三垒手还有Valbuena、Plouffe，以及Pedro Alvarez Expected Contract 预期合约 Headley has never had a multiyear deal in his career, and I think he’ll value long-term security this offseason. The question is whether he signs a three or four-year deal. A few potential comparables to consider are Shane Victorino‘s three-year, $39MM deal from two years ago and Jhonny Peralta‘s four-year, $53MM deal from last offseason. I think Headley will sign a four-year, $48MM deal. Headley生涯还没拿过复数年合约，今年是最好的机会 问题只是他最後会拿到一份三年约还是四年约， Victorino前年的三年３９Ｍ或Peralta去年的四年５３Ｍ都是比较的基准， 我认为他会拿到一份四年４８Ｍ的合约 －－－ 今年要补的两个大洞就是前段先发（两个）跟三垒， 三垒的部分，ＦＡ里比较明显的升级大概就是他跟熊猫， 如果Sandoval要价超过100M，我想Headley会是ＦＯ比较可能的选择 守备上也比较能够弥补XB的不足 --

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