1. 小联盟战报 (52-33)Paw Sox http://0rz.tw/2hcbQ 11-5 Scranton/WB (洋基) (44-38)Sea Dogs http://0rz.tw/YYpi3 7-0 Trenton (洋基) (40-43) Salem http://0rz.tw/S8EVM 14-6 Myrtle Beach (游骑兵) (29-54) Drive http://0rz.tw/QIkwQ 2-4 Lexington (皇家) ( 9-6 ) Lowell http://0rz.tw/Lx2p3 10-3 Connecticut (老虎) ( 5-3 ) GCL Suspended 3-3 GCL Orioles (金莺) (六局) (19-7 ) DSL http://0rz.tw/xtmy1 3-2 DSL Dodgers (道奇) (九局上) Pawtucket AB R H RBI BB SO LOB AVG Bradley Jr. CF 4 3 2 1 1 1 3 .305 2B (18) solo HR (7) Hassan 1B 4 2 2 2 1 0 1 .340 2B (8) Hamilton, M LF 4 2 1 0 1 1 3 .261 Middlebrooks DH 5 2 4 8 0 0 1 .319 2B (1) 3-run HR (5) Grand Slam (6) Brentz RF 5 0 0 0 0 1 4 .265 Bogaerts 3B 4 0 1 0 1 0 1 .254 Henry, Ju 2B 5 0 0 0 0 1 6 .237 Rosario, A C 4 1 2 0 0 1 0 .268 Holt SS 4 1 1 0 0 0 1 .267 SB (7) Totals 39 11 13 11 4 5 20 .261 Pawtucket IP H R ER BB SO HR BF PC-ST ERA GO-FO Aceves (W, 4-2) 5.0 8 5 5 2 2 2 25 98-61 4.25 6-5 IBB Carter 2.0 1 0 0 2 2 0 8 28-18 4.37 0-1 Martin, C 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 10-5 3.13 2-0 De La Torre, J 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 13-6 1.64 3-0 -- Scranton/WB AB R H RBI BB SO LOB AVG Lillibridge SS 4 1 2 0 0 0 4 .297 2B (5) E (1) -- Portland AB R H RBI BB SO LOB AVG Hissey RF 5 2 2 0 0 0 1 .269 2B (12) Vazquez C 4 0 1 1 0 0 3 .242 2B (11) GIDP Cecchini 3B 4 1 3 3 0 0 1 .366 2B (4) 2-run HR (1) Thomas, T 2B 3 0 0 0 1 2 2 .240 Almanzar DH 3 0 1 0 1 1 1 .291 Shaw, T 1B 4 0 0 0 0 1 3 .236 Wilkerson CF 4 2 2 0 0 0 2 .245 SB (17) Vitek LF 4 1 1 0 0 0 0 .200 Meneses SS 3 1 1 1 1 0 1 .273 Totals 34 7 11 5 3 4 14 .254 Portland IP H R ER BB SO HR BF PC-ST ERA GO-FO Britton, D (W, 7-6) 7.0 7 0 0 3 4 0 26 102-66 3.51 9-2 Pickoff Celestino 2.0 0 0 0 1 2 0 7 32-20 6.35 2-2 Salem AB R H RBI BB SO LOB AVG Ramos, H RF 4 1 2 4 1 0 0 .274 SF Marrero SS 6 1 2 1 0 1 4 .269 De La Cruz, K DH 6 1 2 3 0 0 4 .297 2-run HR (5) Jacobs LF 4 2 2 2 2 2 0 .236 2B (21) Welch 3B-1B 3 1 0 0 2 1 4 .275 HBP Roberson C 5 1 2 1 0 0 3 .292 2B (1) GIDP Koback CF 4 3 2 1 0 1 2 .256 E (1) HBP Gedman 1B 2 0 0 0 2 0 3 .244 1-Natoli PR-3B 1 2 1 0 0 0 0 .191 Johns 2B 4 2 2 0 0 1 3 .196 SAC Totals 39 14 15 12 7 6 23 .256 Salem IP H R ER BB SO HR BF ERA GO-FO Cuevas, W 6.0 9 5 5 2 6 1 25 5.42 4-2 Ogando (W, 2-1) 2.0 3 1 1 1 0 0 10 4.98 4-2 Price 1.0 1 0 0 0 1 0 4 3.31 1-0 Greenville AB R H RBI BB SO LOB AVG Betts 2B 4 1 2 0 0 0 0 .293 SB (17) E (12) Vinicio SS 3 0 1 0 0 2 1 .217 SAC Turocy RF 4 1 1 1 0 2 2 .282 Chester 1B 3 0 0 0 1 1 2 .259 Tavarez, A DH 4 0 0 0 0 1 3 .252 Heller LF 4 0 1 1 0 0 0 .289 Guerrero, D 3B 4 0 0 0 0 1 2 .110 Weems C 3 0 0 0 0 1 0 .200 Sanchez, F CF 3 0 0 0 0 1 0 .200 Totals 32 2 5 2 1 9 10 .250 (这队的打线真不是普通的没看头...) Greenville IP H R ER BB SO HR BF ERA GO-FO Kukuk 5.0 3 1 0 2 7 0 20 3.90 4-3 Olivares (L, 2-3) 3.0 4 3 3 3 1 1 15 5.18 5-1 Lowell AB R H RBI BB SO LOB AVG Lin, T SS 4 1 1 1 1 1 2 .333 E (3, fielding) Margot CF 4 3 2 1 1 1 2 .283 2B (2) Mager DH 5 1 1 0 0 3 5 .271 King RF 4 1 3 1 1 1 3 .545 Perkins LF 5 1 2 4 0 1 3 .283 SB (3) Asuaje 3B 3 0 1 0 2 0 2 .233 Moore 1B 5 0 0 0 0 2 7 .146 Rondon 2B 3 1 1 0 2 0 2 .250 SB (1) Sopilka C 5 2 2 0 0 1 4 .240 2B (1) GIDP Totals 38 10 13 7 7 10 30 .241 Lowell IP H R ER BB SO HR BF ERA Callahan 4.2 5 3 3 1 3 1 20 6.17 WP Pinales (W, 1-0) 4.1 4 0 0 0 1 0 18 0.00 IRS: 2-0 -- Connecticut AB R H RBI BB SO LOB AVG Verlander 1B 3 1 1 0 1 0 3 .245 E (1) -- DSL Red Sox AB R H RBI BB SO LOB AVG Basabe, Luis Alex CF 3 0 0 0 1 1 0 .213 Acosta 3B 4 0 0 0 0 0 2 .241 E (7) Guzman DH 3 1 1 0 1 0 0 .280 SB (5) Pena 1B 4 1 1 1 0 0 1 .217 Nunez C 3 1 1 0 0 1 0 .233 SB (9) CS (2) Lucena C 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 .222 2B (3) Guerra SS 3 0 0 0 1 0 2 .147 Bartomolde RF 3 0 0 0 0 2 2 .129 Hernandez, J LF 3 0 0 0 0 1 0 .237 Andujar, R 2B 2 0 0 0 1 2 1 .189 Totals 29 3 4 2 4 7 8 .208 DSL Red Sox IP H R ER BB SO HR BF ERA GO-FO Almonte 4.0 2 2 2 2 4 0 19 1.64 4-1 2 WP 2 Balk HB Gonzalez, D 2.0 0 0 0 0 2 0 6 1.10 2-0 Rodriguez, Ja (W, 1-0) 2.0 0 0 0 1 3 0 8 3.00 2-0 2. Clayton Mortensen Clears Waivers，成功下放3A！ 3. Xander Bogaerts职业生涯(当然WBC不算在里面)首次守三垒！ -- 不过今天只接了一个pop-up，无考验可言 (在斗六那次也只接一个平飞球...) 4. 鹰侠拿下 Rookies of the Month 鹰侠会想拿AL Rookie of the Year吗？「有想过，不过比赛时就不会想了─比赛开始 之後重点就是比赛，而我的目标是赢球，帮助球队打进季後赛然後争抢冠军。」 -- 鹰侠谈国联Rookies of the Month─古巴好友Yasiel Puig： "What he's done, amazing," Iglesias said. "Great player. Special player. I'm very happy for him." -- - 你跟Puig谁比较强？ "Two different hitters," 鹰侠带着笑容说。 -- https://twitter.com/MinorLeagueBall/status/352512000011677696 (John Sickels) Yasiel Puig is so good, Chuck Norris won't pitch to him. +++ 上一个拿下Rookies of the Month的红袜球员：Ellsbury (2007) 5. 为什麽鹰侠还是第九棒？ 「我希望让有速度的球员串联起来，这三人在垒上的话就能跑战术。我不认为把鹰侠 往前挪会有很大的效果。」 -- 基本上前面卡了Ellsbury-Victorino-Pedroia，後面接中心棒次(鹰侠也不可能排近中 心棒次)，所以摆第九棒变成9-1-2连线是比较好的办法。 6. Farrell倒是有把Napoli往後移的打算，Napoli六月份的长打率是糟糕的.434(四月份 .529)，，更糟的是本月只有两支长打─1 2B 1 HR -- Farrell表示他的挥棒路径还是太长。 *** Farrell现在面临的问题是强力右打跑光了，Napoli表现衰退，中川被下放(但是似乎 有修好的趋势~) 7. http://0rz.tw/fKpM5 中川追平2B http://0rz.tw/FBPc4 中川三分弹 http://0rz.tw/5aN8B 大碗吃到饱 http://0rz.tw/QO0fH 补刀 -- 中川表示他现在会耐心选球，"selectively aggressive"，「我觉得我找回原来的我 了。」 *** AAA明星赛共两位入选：Rubby De La Rosa和Anthony Carter http://0rz.tw/aJKQ1 Carter *** Matt Spring也成功进入AA明星赛，因此海狗队一来包下五个席位： Michael Almanzar (INF), Drake Britton (LHP), Anthony Ranaudo (RHP), Christian Vazquez (C), Matt Spring (C) (靠 双捕手入选是哪招) +++ http://0rz.tw/UYua1 JBJ守打席2B 8. 八扣子感觉状况不错：「踏出了正确且重要的一步。」 -- 在上丘之前会确定传120尺没问题。 ** 球团希望他投两场复建赛，所以明星赛回来的机率趋近於零。 9. Drew开始练跑步、捡滚地球，归期不远了 10. Garrell：「最近这三四天中Ross的症状有比较好了，比较没有在『开放空间中觉得 东西在移动或是很多噪音』的症状。」 -- 7/9回诊(Dr. Collins) 11. http://ppt.cc/0bwq 就是不要让你助跑啦 12. 共子本季三发代打全垒打，上一个达成的红袜球员是Bernie Carbo(1977年)的三次 -- 2004~2011年之中全队的代打全垒打都不超过三次 -- 共子本季在high leverage PA的情况下：.467/.545/1.200 ** 生涯对战贵格婶的三打席：2 HR -- https://twitter.com/MaureenaMullen/status/352631951972249601 "He Gomes'ed it and his team walked off with a win." 13. 本季第九次walk-off，追平2006年 14. 老爹在昨天表示：「我们有很多很会上垒的球员，我们也可以不靠全垒打得分，不过 我们永远欢迎强打者的加入。我相信在大限前可以找个强打者加入红袜─ Power is always helpful. People always need power hitters.」 -- 老爹今年觉得少了一个像Manny--Youk--A-Gon的保护夥伴，而大家都还是因为没勇气 对决老爹而一直闪他。 15. http://t.co/TCy6MzWiMU 传言指出红袜还没决定换Cliff Lee 或 Matt Garza值不值得 -- 红袜对Ricky Nolasco也兴致缺缺，因为马林鱼喜欢喊高价 -- 另外作者认为把Rubby De La Rosa拉进大联盟牛棚也是可行的作法 16. http://t.co/RmCYjDeVRr Red Sox have signed Dominican OF Yohan Aybar for $450,000 on his 16th birthday. 17. http://0rz.tw/ZRdGH 这次没有弃踢了 Jonny Gomes on his fake punt: "You've got to keep everyone on their toes, right? I think I'm all out of tricks now, to tell you the truth." 18. 明日先发： Chris Hernandez (Paw), Charlie Haeger (Por), Willian Ceavas (Sal), Jacob Dahlstrand (Gre), Ty Buttrey (Low), Carlos Garcia (DSL), Dioscar Romero (GCL), 补赛 (GCL). -- "HARD WORK BEATS TALENT WHEN TALENT FAILS TO WORK HARD." --

※ 发信站: 批踢踢实业坊(ptt.cc) ◆ From: 122.117.20.246 有几个记者有这种想法 不过球团暂时没有准备要把他移到一垒 目前也只是老爹想招募人而已 Baseball-Reference Within a game, there are plays that are more pivotal than others. We attempt to quantify these plays with a stat called leverage index (LI). LI looks at the possible changes in win probability in a give situation and situations where dramatic swings in win probability are possible (runner on second late in a tie game) have higher LI's than situations where there can be no large change in win probability (late innings of a 12-run blowout). The stat is normalized so that on average the leverage is 1.00. In tense situations, the leverage is higher than 1.00 (up to about 10) and in low-tension situations the leverage is between 0 and 1.0. Fangraphs LI (leverage index): A measure of how important a particular situation is in a baseball game depending on the inning, score, outs, and number of players on base, created by Tom Tango. high leverage就是较为关键、一下子就造成战局改变的状况 相应算法可以参考 http://www.insidethebook.com/li.shtml BR中可以找到这种数据(以Salty和老爹本季表现为例) Salty High Lvrge .211/.286/.263/.549, 0 HR Medium Lvrge .254/.351/.358/.709, 1 HR Low Lvrge .278/.331/.556/.886, 7 HR 老爹 High Lvrge .362/.448/.690/1.137, 5 HR Medium Lvrge .337/.409/.545/ .953, 3 HR Low Lvrge .264/.379/.609/ .988, 8 HR 不难看出两人在不同状况下的表现有何差别 ※ 编辑: tanaka0826 来自: 122.117.20.246 (07/04 23:48)