Link：http://ppt.cc/QMMf We're close to wrapping up our 2013 review with the lats of the right-handed relievers. Last week I talked about how most of these players aren't really prospects, but I have to admit it felt like there were more interesting players writing them up this week. 我们对牛棚右投在2013的表现介绍快接近尾声罗！上周我提到的大部分球员其实 都不算是值得注意的新秀，但我这周将会介绍一些有趣的球员。 Josh Lueke (28 Y.O. at Triple-A and Majors) 57.1 IP, 0.63 ERA, 1.44 FIP, 35.5 K%, 6.6 BB%, 40.8 GB% (minor league stats only) I don't know if anyone doubted that Lueke could dominate minor league batters, but this was maybe his best season. His 35.5% strikeout rate was the highest in his career in a significant amount of innings, and while his walk rate was a bit above his career average, he still showed good control. 我不知道有没有人会质疑 Lueke能不能宰制小联盟打者，但这季无疑是他最棒的 赛季。35.5% 的三振率是生涯最高，虽然保送率略高於生涯平均，控球也还算不错。 Lueke's time in the majors has not been quite as successful, but it's only 57.1 innings spread over three seasons. He's now out of options and will be in a fight for a spot in the bullpen. Lueke 在大联盟的表现并不算太成功，但过去三年只投了57.1局。今年已经没有 选择权了，他将会争取在牛棚的席次。 个人补充： 上一篇我提到 Gomes可能会在明年开季以前被移出40人名单，最主要的原因就是 光芒阵中还有Josh Lueke要卡位。小联盟打者面对他挥空率高达 16.5%，三振率也重 回过去在AA的水准。Lueke的球速落在94-96 mph，今年在大联盟大约都在95 mph上下 ，是三年来最快。有一颗很棒的指叉球，出手跟速球差不多，进入本垒板後会迅速往 打者膝盖甚至脚踝的地方下坠，不过这种球路本身并不容易掌握。今年和过去两年最 大的不同在於提高滑球的比例，也收到很棒的效果。虽然 Lueke在大联盟成绩不怎麽 样，但其实进阶数据都还不错，至少当一位水准之上的短中继是绰绰有余。也有数据 显示，今年 Lueke有 16.4%的好球被判成坏球，遥遥领先光芒投手群，造成他为了抢 好球数必须把球控制在更甜的位置，实际的控球和球威并不差。这些迹象都显示他明 年相当有机会站稳大联盟。 马後炮回头看当初John Jaso的交易，被换到水手的Jaso下一年打出.850的OPS， 季末运动家以A.J Cole、Blake Treinen和 Ian Krol为代价在一笔三方交易中得到他 ，前两位都是国民农场Top 20的先发投手，Cole甚至是Top 5 的水准，Krol则是球质 亮眼的左手牛。回头看光芒当时用Jaso只换到Josh Lueke其实有点…恩…。不过交易 本来就只考虑当下的价值，原来就是有赚有赔的买卖。要是当初没有送走他，大概也 无缘在今年看到Lobaton的大放异彩。只好期待Lueke发挥他当时被认为是水手队终结 者候选的实力，如果从春训开始就有好表现，後年甚至季中Bell不幸爆胎，他不无可 能是光芒未来几年的守护神。 The Unfair Umpire-Treatment Towards Josh Lueke： http://ppt.cc/tIqe ------ Kirby Yates (26 Y.O. at Triple-A) 61.2 IP, 1.90 ERA, 1.87 FIP, 37.3 K%, 9.2 BB%, 38.3 GB% Yates had another impressive season, and it earned him a spot on the 40 man roster. Among minor leaguers with 50 innings in 2013, he was eighth in strikeout rate. That list has players of all ages at different levels, but it's clear that he has the stuff to get batters out. For those not interested in clicking, former Rays farmhand Zach Rosscup was number one. Yates 再次迎来一个令人印象深刻的球季，也为他争取到40人名单一席。在今年 小联盟投球局数超过50局的投手里，他的三振率排第 8（http://ppt.cc/VG0f）。这 份名单含括了各种年纪和各个层级。很明显的他具有让打者出局的球质。如果你没兴 趣点开来看，我可以告诉你前光芒新秀Zach Rosscup排名第一（在Matt Garza交易案 中被送到小熊）。 Despite his size (5'10, 170 pounds), he can dial his fastball up into the mid-90's and get swings and misses with it. He'll have a chance to win a spot in the Rays' bullpen this spring. That's not bad for an undrafted free agent signing from Yavapai College. 虽然体型并不出众，但他的球速可以冲到 94-96 mph并制造一堆挥空。他有机会 在明年春训赢得光芒牛棚一席。对一位未经选秀球员来说是很不错的发展。 个人补充： 今年光芒 AAA能拿到全联盟最佳战绩，牛棚稳定性绝对是很重要的因素，其中又 以上面提到的Lueke和这篇的主角Yates最为亮眼，他们两个联手帮球队在低比分的情 况下守住37场胜利。 Yates 刚进职业球速大约在90-93 mph，这两年稳定在94-96 mph。他的速球和滑 球都是能让打者挥空的球路。变速球大多用来对付左打者，今年进步很多，但还不够 纯熟。另外也会投曲球。Yates 并没有明显的左右病，但他对左打者的控球很不理想 （R/L BB% 16%/5%），大部分的球探认为这是因为他对变速球还不够有信心，不过随 着时间会慢慢进步。他的心理素质从大学时期就颇受好评，这两年担任终结者的经验 相信让他成长更多。现阶段拿来压制右打绰绰有余，随着球技慢慢成熟，他至少会是 布局投手以上的狠角色。 至於Yates 的励志故事，有机会再和大家分享。 ------ Lenny Linsky (23 Y.O. at Class A-Advanced) 72.2 IP, 3.22 ERA, 3.54 FIP, 16.5 K%, 8.5 BB%, 44.6 GB% Linsky stayed healthy in 2013, but he remained pretty unspectacular for a college reliever drafted in the second round three years ago. His strikeout rates improved from being total disasters in last year's injury plagued season, but both numbers are still pretty average. Linsky今年很健康，但还光芒看不出三年前用提早在第二轮选他的理由。比起去 年受伤时的表现，今年的三振率有成长，但看起来还是很普通。 The meager strikeout rate would be less of a concern if he was generating ground balls the way he was supposed to with his sinking fastball, but that doesn't seem to be happening either. Maybe being another year further removed from his shoulder injury will help out. 偏低的三振率可能会让人猜想他让对手的出局方式是不是都偏向滚地球，毕竟他 最主要的武器就是快速下沉球，但这好像也没有呈现在数据上。也许再给他一年时间 ，让他从肩伤恢复到过去的水准会有帮助。 个人补充： 虽然是後援投手，但Linsky在2011年选秀会上并不是为了省钱而做出的选择，他 在BA对所有参选新秀的排名里是第81名。Linsky大二开始就是校队终结者，有一颗很 棒的快速下沉球，搭配上89 mph附近的滑球可以制造大量的滚地球出局。第一年职业 赛季的表现也不错，但肩伤後的表现一直不太稳定。不过和他去年比起来至少是有进 步。今年的平飞球率和保送率都慢慢调整回来，挨轰的频率也不高，这些都是好消息 。完成度很高的Linsky原先被预期可以快速升上大联盟，不过伤病阻碍了他前进的步 伐。明年应该会升上AA支援目前看起来人力短缺的牛棚。虽然光芒目前不缺後援投手 ，但Linsky滚地球投手的特性未来一定可以为阵容带来帮助。 ------ Jared Mortensen (25 Y.O. at Class A-Advanced) 17.1 IP, 1.04 ERA, 2.91 FIP, 27.3 K%, 7.6 BB%, 31.0 GB% The Rays signed Mortensen out of an indy league late in the 2013 season, and he pitched very well in his first experience in affiliated baseball. It was obviously a limited amount of innings, but in his second game with Charlotte, he started and threw seven scoreless innings. With an injury or two on the staff, he was a key piece in Charlotte getting back to the playoffs. 光芒从今年季末从独立联盟把 Mortensen签回来，看起来他适应得相当不错。虽 然局数有限，不过他在A+的第二场比赛就交出 7局无失分的成绩。在当时伤病不断， 前段轮值短缺的情况下，他绝对是球队能重返季後赛的关键。 Mortensen was a very good NAIA pitcher, but as you might imagine, scouts aren't exactly knocking down the door going after a short righty NAIA pitcher with a below average fastball. However, his velocity reportedly improved since his amateur days. He will pitch most of next season as a 26 year old, so while it's probably premature to call him a sleeper prospect, it'll be interesting to see how he fares in a full season. Mortensen 在NAIA就是很棒的投手。正如你想像的，球探根本不会想跟一位矮小 、球速又不快的NAIA投手接触。不过从落选的那天开始，他的球速慢慢提高。虽然明 年将满26岁，但我们可以把他视为潜在的新秀。观察他未来的成长是件有趣的事情。 个人补充： 别看Mortenson 25岁的年纪就低估他，其实他大学才开始打棒球，以传奇性来说 他的故事更胜Yates或Geltz。Mortenson 是一位知道「How to pitch」的聪明投手， 没有明显具压制力的球路，球速也只有 88-90 mph，但配上出色的控球，可以把球投 到任何一个他想要的角落。在切球、变速球和曲球交互运用之下，很容易让打者失去 平衡。天分不会是农场的Top 20甚至Top 30，但我相当看好他会快速升级，未来有机 会成为好用的长中继或临时先发，甚至可以吃局数後段轮值。 ------ Matt Ramsey (23 Y.O. at Class A and Class A-Advanced) 50.2 IP, 2.84 ERA, 2.65 FIP, 26.2 K%, 11.3 BB%, 41.2 GB% Ramsey is the kind of college arm the Rays like to take a chance on. In college, he was a two way player who also missed time with a forearm injury, so they hope he can improve completely focused on pitching. He can get his share of strikeouts with a mid-90's fastball and effective curveball, but he needs to cut down on his walks. Ramsey是光芒很爱投资的大学投手类型。大学期间他是投打双栖的球员，但前臂 的伤势让他专注在投手上。94-96 mph 的速球配上有效的曲球可以三振许多打者，但 还需要减少保送。 Ramsey was effective in a brief Arizona Fall League stint, striking out 20.6% and walking 8.8% of his opponents in 8.2 innings. His fastball averaged 92.99 MPH in a game with Pitch FX available. Ramsey在Arizona秋季联盟的表现很有效率，在8.2局的投球局数里交出 20.6%的 三振率和8.8%的保送率。在Pitch FX 的统计里，他的平均球速是93 mph。 个人补充： Ramsey数据很漂亮，但是数字之中可能暗藏一些不利因子。他生涯只挨过一发全 垒打，但他并非滚地球型的投手，到了更高层级遇到击球能力更好，力量更成熟的打 者可能会是隐忧。另外他今年残垒率很高，垒包有人的投球表现也很普通。这些都是 他明年需要面对的考验。好消息是，他今年的BABIP .376很不正常，这个数字应该会 有大幅下修的空间。如果BABIP 回稳，应该能交出更亮眼的成绩。 Ramsey在大学时期就是以三振闻名，原本被预期会冲进前10轮的他，因为手臂伤 势直到第19轮光芒才决定赌他成功复活的可能。目前来看，虽然成绩不及大学水准， 但至少是稳定健康的出赛，球速和变化球的表现也很亮眼。如果可以修正控球问题， 他会在未来的牛棚扮演相当重要的角色。 ------ Nick Sawyer (21 Y.O. at Class A) 59.2 IP, 4.22 ERA, 4.19 FIP, 30.3 K%, 22.3 BB%, 36.1 GB% While a lot of teams are wrapping up the last round of the draft taking sons and nephews of front office personnel, the Rays end up with a bit of a sleeper. 就在许多球队在後段轮次选择自己球团管理阶层的孩子或亲戚时，光芒趁机偷到 了一位潜力新秀。 Sawyer is the rare relief prospect, but he has quite a bit to refine to reach St. Petersburg. With two potential plus pitches, that strikeout rate isn't a fluke. With a wild delivery leading to control problems, the walk rate isn't either. If he can harness his mid-90's fastball and power curve, he could pitch in the late innings. Sawyer是很稀少的後援新秀，但还需要更多进步才能前往St. Petersburg（光芒 主场所在地）。两种水准之上潜力的球种说明他的三振率不是昙花一现。但过度费力 的投球机制造成他不小的控球麻烦。如果可以将94-96 mph 的速球和轨迹锐利的曲球 运用更自如，他会是後段局数的好选项。 个人补充： 从数据就可以看出Sawyer是什麽类型的投手，今年他的被打击率只有.165，但被 上垒率却高达.363…。差不多一局就要保送一位打者上垒，另外也丢了13次暴投。相 比他在这两年的表现，很明显面对更有经验的打者，光靠球威很难让打者买帐，今年 他在面对年纪比他大的打者，被上垒率是.406就是最好的证明。他的确有担任终结者 的天分目前看起来也就只有控球这个大问题，只要修正投球机制，相信他接下来的路 会走得很平顺。 ------ Brad Schreiber (22 Y.O. at Short-Season Class A) 6 IP, 1.50 ERA, 2.87 FIP, 29.2 K%, 16.7 BB%, 53.8 GB% Schreiber was a potential impact player at Purdue, but Tommy John surgery and difficulties returning from it left him undrafted in 2013. The Rays picked him up in August, and he made four appearances for Hudson Valley. It's worth keeping an eye on him as he gets healthy. Schreiber是Purdue大学的潜在关键球员，但 Tommy John手术和後续复健不顺让 他今年落选。光芒在8月签下他，并让他在A-出赛了4场。如果健康的话，他会是一位 值得关注的新秀。 ------ Colton Reavis (23 Y.O. at Short-Season Class A) 34.1 IP, 2.10 ERA, 3.61 FIP, 19.3 K%, 9.7 BB%, 34.7 GB% Reavis went on the DL before his pro career even officially started, but he came back and pitched well for Hudson Valley. He limited righties to a .500 OPS. 在进入职业前，Reavis就先进了DL。但他在归队後投得不错。右打者对他的 OPS 只有.500。 ------ Yael Regalado (20 Y.O. at Rookie/Gulf Coast League) 21.1 IP, 5.48 ERA, 4.33 FIP, 18.6 K%, 6.2 BB%, 47.2 GB% Regalado is a bit of an interesting case because he's the rare undrafted free agent signing out of high school. In his case, it's George Washington in Manhattan, where former Rays legend Manny Ramirez and former Mr. Don't Count Him Out, Alibay Barkley. Regalado是个令人有些感兴趣的例子，因为他是一位落选签约的高中球员。他来 自Manhattan的George Washington高中。前光芒球员Manny Ramirez和'09年最後一位 被选中的球员Alibay Barkley来自这间学校。 Rays Colored Glasses goes over his amateur career much better than I could, but the gist of it is injuries cost him a chance for scouts to see him, and he went undrafted. Regalado wanted to play professionally rather than go to college, and the Rays added a potential deep sleeper last off-season. His pro debut was okay. Rays Colored Glasses对他的介绍比我完整，但主要就是在说因为伤病的关系让 他没有机会在球探面前展现实力，所以落选了。Regalado想进入职业棒球的意愿大於 进入大学，所以光芒就在去年休赛期把这位潜力新秀纳入阵中。他的职棒处女秀看起 来还不错。 个人补充： 上个光芒签下的高中落选新人大家一定不陌生，他就是去年在Shields 交易案一 起被送到皇家的Elliot Johnson。 Regaldo 高三因为手臂发炎，教练担心过度使用会造成更严重的伤害，乾脆停机 一年。球速约在 90-92 mph，最快可以投到94 mph。第二球种是变速球，有潜力养成 水准之上的球种。另外还会投曲球。整体来说他今年的成绩并不差，但在最难挨轰的 GCL可以被扫出3轰也满不容易的…。不过因为他不是极度飞球型的投手，所以这部分 我持相对保留的态度，随着球路使用更纯熟应该会再升级。 ------ Ruben Paredes (19 Y.O. at Rookie/Gulf Coast League) 26 IP, 1.38 ERA, 2.83 FIP, 25.0 K%, 7.6 BB%, 45.9 GB% Paredes made his U.S. debut this year and continued to pitch effectively like he did in the Dominican Summer League. His strikeout rate spiked, and he limited right handed batters to a .368 OPS. Paredes在美国完成了他的处女秀，而且就像他在DSL的表现一样有效率。三振率 很惊人，同时右打者面对他的OPS只有.368。 ------ Jose Mujica (17 Y.O. at Rookie/Gulf Coast League) 32 IP, 3.09 ERA, 2.37 FIP, 14.8 K%, 2.5 BB%, 36.0 GB% Mujica was a key signing in the Rays' July 2nd, 2012 class, and they were perhaps a bit more aggressive than usual bringing him to the U.S. as a 17 year old. He certainly wasn't out of place. His strikeout rate was nothing special, but it's always encouraging when a young pitcher is able to come here and throw the amount of strikes he did. Mujica是去年7月2号光芒在国际自由市场的关键收获。球团大胆让他跳过 VSL直 接让才刚满17岁的他来到美国发展。不过他看起来没被击倒。三振率一般，但以他的 年纪，漂亮的好球率已经足以证明球团这麽操作的动机。 He's listed as a reliever here, but that's just because of how the Rays handled his workload. With the money invested in him, Mujica is clearly a starter though. Last year, Princeton's innings leaders were at or just above 60, and I see him doing that in the Appy League next year. 虽然被我放在後援投手名单，但只是因为光芒在控制他的投球局数。看签约金就 知道他未来会以先发投手的角色进行养成。去年Rk最多投球局数也不过60局，我想我 们明年会在新人联盟看到他。 个人补充： 光芒低阶农场最有天分的右投手，Mujica是去年最棒的拉美投手新秀，光芒罕见 豪气的砸了1.0M在他身上。体型、控球、投球机制和简洁的出手动作是去年球探报告 上最被赞赏的部分。同时他没有明显的左右病。去年体重还只有180 磅，今年已经增 重到200 磅。一般预期他的球速有机会冲破95 mph。变速球是最棒的球路，有显着的 下沉轨迹，在球探报告里接近满分。还会投滑曲球，不过目前的掌握还不够纯熟。 为了保护他出色的手臂，光芒今年为他设下单场 3局，50球的投球限制。今年BA 负责光芒Top 10 prospects评选的 Bill Ballew看好他未来会成为榜单上的一员。 ------ Roel Ramirez (18 Y.O. at Rookie/Gulf Coast League) 27.2 IP, 5.86 ERA, 3.24 FIP, 12.4 K%, 4.7 BB%, 34.3 GB% I thought Ramirez was one of the more interesting later picks in the Rays' draft, but his pro debut was a mixed bag. He did a nice job throwing strikes for a young pitcher, but at 6'1 and 205 pounds, his average fastball may never tick up, making it harder to improve his strikeout rate. Like Mujica, he should get into a rotation next season. Ramirez 是今年光芒後几轮选中的球员中，我比较有兴趣的一位。但他的职业初 体验让人有些五味杂陈。以年轻投手来说，他的好球率很高。不过6'1"，205 磅的身 材应该要有更好的速球，也是他无法提高三振率的原因。我认为他明年会进入轮值。 个人补充： 不同於其他年轻投手，Ramirez 的完成度很高，但相对来说成长空间有限。速球 只有88-92 mph ，考量到他成熟的体型和完整的投球机制，可能很难再有进一步的提 升。变速球是他最棒的球路，出手动作和速球一样，足以迷惑打者。另外也会投曲球 和滑球，不过还很粗糙。 --

※ 发信站: 批踢踢实业坊(ptt.cc) ◆ From: 140.118.235.118 ^^^^^^^^ ^^^^^^^^^^^^^ 整理一下你的推文一并回应。 http://ppt.cc/ahW5 这是RCG介绍大学成绩的时候。87-89 mph。 http://ppt.cc/RV-T 这是去年六月，白袜球探做的报告。最快91mph。 http://ppt.cc/7aGp 这是今年八月，A+总教练的评论。88-90 mph，最快91 mph。 虽然称不上完整的球探报告，但这才是「最近的」…… 你说的那篇我有看到，我也无意否定J.J Cooper的球探报告， 毕竟他是主跑独立联盟的BA作家，撰写球探报告也相当有经验。 但所有球探报告只有那份写90-94 mph， 考虑到Mortensen的体型和完成度，25岁的大学投手过完冬天长5 mph？ 我想不是进了精神时光屋、遇到怪博士，就是独联是快乐枪吧！ 所以对此我是抱持比较怀疑的态度，所以选择保守陈述。 考量时间点，我也认为今年八月已经在A+丢了两场的结果更可信。 ※ 编辑: csy1911 来自: 140.118.235.118 (12/21 11:07)