Making the Case: Debating the pros, cons of top prospects and their Detroit Pistons fit 选他的理由：热门乐透人选的好与坏，还有他们在活塞阵容中的位置 https://on.nba.com/3iDYdiq 专栏作者: Keith Langlois The Pistons have had more than three weeks now to digest the reality that they won the NBA draft lottery. Two weeks from tonight they’ll at last put their cards on the table. It stands to reason that they’re now deep into the process of evaluating the five players Troy Weaver said would stand as legitimate candidates to go No. 1 after the lottery results. 活塞团队已经花了三周多的时间来消化他们真~的抽到了状元签这件事情，距离掀开他们 底牌的时刻也只剩下两周(此专栏发表於7/15日)。现在管理团队也要深入评估那五位Troy Weaver提到，值得用状元签来选的热门球员了。 Not that there are any flies on the wall of the gleaming new Pistons Performance Center where Weaver and his inner circle are huddled, but if there were what might they know about the discussions taking place? 并不是说现在有人在Weaver和他的决策小圈圈身上装了窃听器，但如果真的有人听到了， 那他会听到活塞的管理团队现在在讨论什麽呢？ There is a case to be made for each of the consensus top five players to be the Pistons pick – and, perhaps, a case to be made against each of them. We’ ve posted profiles of each of those players – Evan Mobley, Jalen Green, Jonathan Kuminga, Jalen Suggs and Cade Cunningham – though, as we've cautioned, those aren't necessarily the five players Weaver had in mind for Pistons possibilities. 管理层必须对於为什麽要选这五位最佳球员的原因取得共识─并且很可能需要对於"不选 他们"的原因也取得共识─Evan Mobley, Jalen Green, Jonathan Kuminga, Jalen Suggs 还有Cade Cunningham。毕竟，Weaver心里所想的人选也可能不在这五人之中。 (一定要搞到这麽刺激吗...) So let’s make the case for each one – and a case against each one for devil ’s advocate purposes. 所以，这篇文章我们就来抛砖引玉一下，提出一些支持和反对选择这五个人的原因吧 CADE CUNNINGHAM SHOULD BE THE No. 1 PICK BECAUSE … Playmakers have never been more valuable in an NBA where equilibrium has tilted toward offense and the Pistons need an infusion of playmaking to catch up to the field. And playmakers with elite size – Cunningham is 6-foot-8 with a 7-foot-1 wingpsan – are especially coveted. Combine that with potentially elite 3-point range – Cunningham hit 40 percent from the 3-point line at Oklahoma State on high volume despite marginal talent around him and invariably being the focal point of opposition defenses – and Cunningham adds up to the most complete offensive prospect in years. He’s also a responsible and disruptive defender who’ll better enable the switching defenses central to Dwane Casey’s blueprint at that end. Cunningham’s ability to serve as a primary facilitator will expand the lineup possibilities available to Casey and help ease the burden on Killian Hayes as an inexperienced point guard. 他值得成为状元，因为─进攻组织者(playmaker)在NBA从来没有比现在这个大进攻时代 还要更有价值，而且活塞正需要一个这样的球员来赶上这个潮流。何况，一个大size的 进攻组织者─CC那6尺8的身高和7尺1的臂展─更是让人口水直流。再加上3分射程的潜力 ─CC在奥克拉荷马大学时，即使因为队友能力有差距而被重兵看防，还是能够缴出40%的 3分命中率─以及完整的进攻技能包。还要提到他作为一个尽责且具破坏力的防守者，有 能力成为Casey阵容蓝图中的防守中枢。 CC活化阵容的能力也能够帮助Casey将手上的球员表现提升一个档次，并且帮忙减轻还 需要持续累积经验的Hayes在场上的负担。 ON THE OTHER HAND … Cunningham is quite possibly the least athletic of the top five prospects and there’s a case to be made that the lack of high-end explosiveness will cap his playmaking effectiveness. Cunningham’s efficiency numbers at Oklahoma State required him to connect on an inordinate number of contested shots. There’s a school of thought that he’ll become even more devastating in the NBA surrounded by shooters and benefit from greater spacing, but doubters exist who wonder if the greater size, length and speed/quickness of NBA defenses will simply mean a greater percentage of Cunningham’s attempts will be of the contested variety in the NBA. 但~是~CC很有可能是选秀前五人选中运动能力最糟的，而缺乏顶级爆发力很可能限缩他 在NBA场上的进攻和组织表现。CC在奥克拉荷马大学的效率值和他缺少队友支援导致高比 例的仓促出手选择有关。所以虽然有不少人认为在NBA，他如果有更多射手的支援和更宽 的进攻空间，表现将会更惊人；但心存怀疑的人则认为NBA更快更长更强的防守者，将会 逼出CC更多胡乱出手的状况。 JALEN GREEN SHOULD BE THE No. 1 PICK BECAUSE … Nobody else in this draft class has the potential to lead the league in scoring and the only way to have a chance to field a truly title-worthy team – the ingredient necessary to win playoff games – is to have someone with the combination of athleticism and scoring chops that Green possesses in abundance. There’s a little more projection with Green as far as his ability to harness his offensive skill set, but you don’t have to squint very hard to see that it’s within his grasp. Green is also a very neat fit with last year’s three first-round rookies – Killian Hayes as the pass-first point guard, Saddiq Bey as the high-volume 3-point threat and Isaiah Stewart as the physical screen-setter, rebounder and interior presence. 他值得成为状元，因为─在今年的选秀人选中，没有人有他这个等级的得分能力了。而 若要组出一个能够赢得冠军的阵容─能够赢下季後赛的重要条件─一定不能缺少一个 Green这样既有运动能力又有得分手段的球员。Green还有更多值得让人期待的进攻潜力 能够开发，而且你不太需要费心仔细看，也能看出他距离兑现这些潜力并不太遥远。 Green本身也非常适合和活塞去年的三名新人─以传导为主的後卫Hayes、具有不错三分 能力的Bey和能量满点的掩护者篮板手内线球员Stewart─组成一套年轻活力的阵容。 ON THE OTHER HAND … Green had more turnovers (40) than free throws (35) in 15 G League games, which might be a red flag for a shooting guard who wasn’t his team’s primary ballhandler and whose athleticism logically should have resulted in opponents resorting to fouling him more than they did to prevent him from scoring at the rim. Maybe that doesn’t scare anyone away, but it does underscore the uncertainty of projecting teenagers based on relatively tiny sample sizes. 但~是~在15场G联盟的比赛中，Green的失误(40)比他的罚球(35)还多，这对於一个并非 队上主要控球者而且具有理应造成更多犯规的高运动能力的球员来说，可能是一个重大 警讯。这个数据可能不会把对他有兴趣的人吓跑，但是在这样参考样本不多的情形下， 还是必须要考虑Green累积的表现数据背後可能具有的高度不确定性。 JONATHON KUMINGA SHOULD BE THE No. 1 PICK BECAUSE … In a world where each of the consensus top five prospects max out, Kuminga is a good bet to appear in more All-Star games than anyone else. He’s got very similar measurables to Cade Cunningham but comes with an extra top gear or two. He’s also 13 months younger than Cunningham and there are a lot of teams that lean heavily into draft age when extrapolating future impact. Kuminga requires the most projection of the top five, but the potential outcome is a player who at age 25 generates the most value for his franchise. 他值得成为状元，因为─假如在未来这五个状元候选人的潜力都能够彻底发挥，Kuminga 可能会是这五个人之中入选明星赛最多次的人。他的天花板跟CC很像，甚至还有一两项 数据可能发挥得更优。他的年纪也比CC还小了13个月，而很多球队在评估球员的天花板 时，也会把年纪当作一个考虑因素。Kuminga在这五个人中大概是地板最低的人，但在25 岁时，他也有最大的潜力成为球队上最有价值的球员。 ON THE OTHER HAND … Betting on Kuminga reaching his potential would be an easier call in a draft without the star quality apparent in prospects like Cunningham, Jalen Green, Jalen Suggs and Evan Mobley. And not that the presence of Sekou Doumbouya, a similar prospect with similar development challenges blocking his path to stardom, should be a disqualifier in consideration of Kumgina, but it’s perhaps a legitimate tiebreaker. 但~是~如果没有其他四个强力候选人的话，要赌一把Kuminga的潜力绝对是很值得考虑的 。而且队上已经有一个潜力和养成挑战都和Kuminga很相似的年轻球员Doumbouya了，虽 然这不一定是不选Kuminga的原因，但是这还是一个值得考虑的因素。 JALEN SUGGS SHOULD BE THE No. 1 PICK BECAUSE … If it’s a question of the total package – offense, defense, athleticism, character, leadership traits – then Suggs is pretty hard to ignore. His two-sport dominance as a Minnesota prep, where he led both the football and basketball teams to state titles and was named both Mr. Basketball and Mr. Football, is a testament to Suggs’ winning DNA. In another age, maybe some would see overlap with Killian Hayes but in today’ s NBA having the ability to pair two guards as adept at playing off the ball as on it – and with the size to facilitate the manipulation of matchups to their team’s advantage at either end – seems more an argument in favor than against. 他值得成为状元，因为─如果把各种能力综合考量─进攻、防守、运动能力、个性和领 导特质─Suggs肯定是很引人注目的人选。他在明尼苏达高中时期的校队队长双栖，带领 篮球和美式足球校队拿到州冠军并且获选为篮球先生和美式足球先生，说明了他血管中 流着赢家的血液。在其他时代，大家大概会觉得他的角色和Hayes重叠。但是现在的NBA 流行摆个双卫在场上，加上在攻守两端都有优势的身材条件，使得把Suggs和Hayes一起 上场看起来更像是个优点而不是缺点。 ON THE OTHER HAND … The 3-point shot has become such a defining tool for players and the fact Suggs comes in as an average shooter – he hit 34 percent from the college line – diminishes the likelihood he’ll have enough offensive impact to warrant the top pick. There are also legitimate questions if Suggs has enough distributing instincts or vision to be a high-level point guard as much as a combo guard. 但~是~具有三分投射能力在现在的NBA实在太重要，使得在大学赛场上仅有34%三分命中 率的Suggs可能无法产生作为状元需要有的进攻影响力。而他是否具有一个高效率控卫或 双能卫所需的传球视野和直觉也是一个值得考虑的问题。 EVAN MOBLEY SHOULD BE THE No.1 PICK BECAUSE … If a 6-foot-8 playmaker is unique and invaluable, what does that make a 7-foot playmaker? Mobley’s ceiling is preposterously high as someone with elite shot-blocking and rim-protection potential combined with his ability to be a one-man fast break and serve as a pick-and-roll facilitator. The Pistons see Isaiah Stewart as a player who can pound opponents inside with his physicality but also step outside and hit shots when the matchup warrants as much. A fully realized Stewart next to a fully realized Mobley would be bonkers. 他值得成为状元，因为─如果一个身高6尺8的进攻组织者是这麽的特别且无价，那一个 7尺高的呢？既能送火锅、保护篮框，又能够一条龙快攻、组织挡拆，Mobley的天花板简 直高到突破天际。活塞现在已经有可以靠活动力稳住禁区防守也能够靠身高在外线当高 炮台的小史都，如果他和Mobley两个人能够在同一队兑现天赋，那还不把大家都逼疯了!? ON THE OTHER HAND … The 215 pounds is cause for concern – especially if there’s reasonable doubt about how much Mobley’s lean frame can accommodate even as he physically matures and benefits from NBA-level weight-training sophistication. Mobley’s ability to play on the perimeter is a wonderment for a 7-footer, but if he’s relegated to playing almost exclusively on the perimeter because a lack of strength forces him away from the paint then his ceiling is lowered by a few levels. Also warranting debate are the many stretches of Southern Cal games where Mobley seemed content to blend in rather than assert himself in step with his superior talent level. 但~是~他只有215磅的体重是个隐忧，即使他可以吃完NBA等级的重量训练菜单，他瘦削 的骨架也不知道是否可以承受增重後的肌肉量。Mobley以他7尺的身高在球场上能够办到 的事情的确令人啧啧称奇，但是如果因为力量不够打不进禁区，那他的球员价值就要一 次调低好几级了。此外，在南加大的比赛中，Mobley似乎满足於依靠他现有的能力打比 赛，而不是持续强化他的技能或天赋。 ------------ 选秀快到了，NBA官网的专栏Keith Langlois前两个礼拜陆续从活塞的角度介绍五个状元 候选人，然後浓缩成这篇文章。大家如果有兴趣我再试试把五篇专文也翻过来跟大家分 享，或是挑其中两三个人翻一下。 今天也出了一篇二轮签的使用方法，好像也很值得关注。 虽然我还是觉得...拜托Weavor就把CC选起来就好了~~~不要搞事啊~ --

※ 发信站: 批踢踢实业坊(ptt.cc), 来自: 123.194.139.195 (台湾) ※ 文章网址: https://webptt.com/cn.aspx?n=bbs/Pistons/M.1626968597.A.459.html ※ 编辑: wunai (123.194.139.195 台湾), 07/22/2021 23:43:48