因为季末变卖家产，所以排名有些更动。 http://www.baseballamerica.com/majors/revised-2015-top-10-prospects-index/ 1.J.P. Crawford 2.Aaron Nola 3.Maikel Franco 4.Zach Eflin* (Rollins交易案，从躲人换来) 5.Tom Windle* (同上) 6.Ben Lively* (马龙鸟交易案，从红人换来) 7.Roman Quinn 8.Carlos Tocci 9.Aaron Brown 10.Matt Imhof 同场加映:各家评比(我看板上好像没有?) John Sickles版的前20名(以及我乱翻的评语) http://ppt.cc/VOH1 1) J.P. Crawford, SS, Grade A-: Age 20, hit combined .285/.375/.406 with 11 homers, 24 steals between Low-A and High-A. Fine defensive tools, sound contact hitter with developing gap power, young, athletic, strong makeup. One of the top shortstop prospects in baseball without question. 评:就...很好很强大的SS新秀 2) Aaron Nola, RHP, Grade B+: Age 21, first round pick out of LSU, posted 2.93 ERA with 45/10 K/BB in 55 innings in pro debut between High-A and Double-A. Advanced college pitcher will need little time in the minors thanks to sharp command of 92-95 fastball, slider, change-up. Excellent pitchability and confidence, number two starter potential. 评:很好很强大的前两号先发 3) Maikel Franco, 3B, Grade B+: Age 22, slow start in Triple-A but heated up as summer progressed, hit .257/.299/.428 with 16 homers for Lehigh Valley, .179/.190/.214 in 56 at-bats in the majors. Will need adjustment time but overall track record keeps him in premium prospect territory. Glove is under-rated. 评:阵痛期 4) Ben Lively, RHP, Grade B: Age 22, acquired from Reds for Marlon Byrd, posted 3.04 ERA with 171/52 K/BB in 151 innings, 117 hits between High-A and Double-A. Low-90s fastball, slider, curve, change, none of his pitches are outstanding but they are all solid and he usually throws strikes. Deceptive but repeatable delivery plays everything up. Number three starter potential and a personal favorite for this analyst. 评:可能是三号，罢特感觉就是还差了些.. 5) Jesse Biddle, LHP, Grade B/Borderline B-: Age 23, posted 5.03 ERA with 80/44 K/BB in 82 innings in Double-A. Was pitching decently early in the year but was struck in the head by a large piece of hail during a thunderstorm in late May, giving him a concussion. He tried to pitch through the neurological damage with disastrous results and was eventually sent down to extended spring training to recuperate. Some sources have questioned his mental fortitude, but it is completely unfair to criticize Biddle for not pitching well under those conditions. You can't makeup your way out of a concussion. He should have never been rushed back in the first place. He gets an injury mulligan from me; concussion sufferers stick together. 评:痛痛，快皱掉的新秀 6) Zach Eflin, RHP, Grade B/Borderline B-: Age 20, posted 3.80 ERA in 128 innings in Cal League, 138 hits. Acquired from Padres in Jimmy Rollins deal. Potential number three starter with low-90s fastball, change-up, curve, gets grounders. Somewhat hittable and projects more as a workhorse than an ace, but there’s nothing wrong with that. 评:三号工具马or以上 7) Roman Quinn, OF-INF, Grade B-: Age 21, hit .257/.343/.370 with 38 walks, 32 steals in 327 at-bats in High-A. Renowned for outstanding speed, lacks power and needs to boost on-base skills for speed to maximize value at higher levels. Power questionable. 评:穷得只剩腿 8) Jesmuel Valentin, 2B, Grade B-: Age 20, acquired from Dodgers last summer in Roberto Hernandez trade, hit .273/.341/.412 with 25 steals in 451 at-bats between Low-A and High-A. Solid tools across the board, has made progress with hitting, could develop more power in time, works well at second base. Under-rated prospect who deserves more notice. 评:看怎麽养罗~ 9) Matt Imhof, LHP, Grade B-: Age 20, second round pick out of Cal Poly, posted 2.98 ERA with 40/11 K/BB in 42 innings in pro debut at three levels, 40 hits. Classic finesse southpaw with 87-91 heat, curve, change-up, nothing spectacular but knows how to pitch and probably won’t need long in the minors. Potential fourth starter due to command. 评:技巧派左投=软左 10) Kelly Dugan, OF, Grade B-/Borderline C+: Age 24, hit .296/.383/.435 in 253 at-bats in Double-A, playing time limited by an oblique injury. Lefty hitter with power, effective defense at either corner. Often overlooked but this is a toolsy outfielder who has actually developed well. Should get a trial sometime this year. 评:什麽都还可以，甚至还有些炮瓦(不过好像也什麽都差一点) (我的感觉是...弱化版的五月莓) (反正混不下去就跟他爸去拍电影吧) 11) Aaron Brown, OF, Grade B-/Borderline C+: Age 22, drafted in third round out of Pepperdine where he was also an excellent pitcher. Phillies want him to hit due to left-side power and overall tools, hit .268/.310/.383 with seven walks, 60 strikeouts in 235 pro at-bats. Impressive power, 20-homer potential but his approach has serious holes currently and he must improve sense for the zone. Could return to pitching if necessary. 评:盲炮 12) Tom Windle, LHP, Grade C+/Borderline B-: Age 22, acquired from Dodgers in Rollins trade, posted 4.26 ERA with 111/44 K/BB in 139 innings in Cal League. Some see him as more reliever than starter due to solid low-90s fastball/slider combination but need to improve change-up. 评:可能会是头牛牛 13) Odubel Herrera, 2B, Grade C+/Borderline B-: Age 23, rule 5 pick from Rangers system, hit .315/.383/.388 with 52 walks, 21 steals in 479 at-bats between High-A and Double-A. Blocked by other players in Texas system, can play second base and outfield with mediocre results at both spots. Has always hit well, .294/.354 OBP in his career. Useful bat off the bench. 评:工具人 14) Yoel Macias, LHP, Grade C+: Age 21, recovering from Tommy John surgery, posted 3.21 ERA with 23/9 K/BB in 34 innings in Low-A. Low 90s, good change, still working on breaking stuff, projectable. Seen as breakthrough candidate now that Tommy John is in the past, number three starter upside. 评:有三号的天花板，变化球还很嫩 15) Dylan Cozens, OF, Grade C+: Age 20, hit .248/.303/.415 with 16 homers, 23 steals in Low-A. Huge, strong at 6-6, 235 but has a big strike zone to manage. Right field throwing arm, mobile for his size, considerable upside as a power hitter but contact/average will be an issue. 评:盲炮x2(不过这只很特别，有腿的炮，会让我想到Domingo Santana) 16) Carlos Tocci, OF, Grade C+: Age 19, hit .242/.297/.324 with 10 steals, 25 walks, 96 strikeouts in 487 at-bats in Low-A. Extremely young for his levels, very good fielder, has no power at all and may not develop much. High risk, high upside player. Other analysts are more enthusiastic so YMMV. 评:还有的学，尤其是完全没炮瓦这点挺尴尬的(看来腿哥会是最大期望值) 17) Miguel Alfredo Gonzalez, RHP, Grade C+: Age 28, Cuban defector slowed by shoulder problems in pro debut, posted 3.11 ERA with 54/26 K/BB in 46 innings at three levels. Should be solid bullpen contributor if healthy. 评:痛痛的牛牛(如果只能当牛就囧了) 18) Victor Arano, RHP, Grade C+: Age 19, nice pickup from Dodgers in Hernandez trade, posted 4.08 ERA with 83/20 K/BB in 86 innings in Low-A. Midwest League sources like his pitchability and chance to develop into a solid workhorse starter. Good addition of depth to system. 评:从躲人偷来的好货，有机会成为工具马 19) Aaron Altherr, OF, Grade C: Age 24, marvelous athlete, hit .236/.287/.399 with 14 homers, 12 steals, 26 walks, 110 strikeouts in 449 at-bats in Double-A. Still trying to turn his tools into baseball skills, impressive with glove but bat is highly questionable. 评:其实跟Kelly Dugan有点像，只是完成度更低了点、天花板高了点 (不晓得有没有人记得?其实他曾经落跑去打篮球，後来又回来打棒球) 20) Deivi Grullon, C, Grade C: Age 18, hit .227/.267/.297 in 273 at-bats in short-season A, low-A, high-A. Draws rave reviews for his defensive ability but is currently a very poor hitter. Young enough for that to improve, but very much a long-term, high-risk investment. 评:高风险、高报酬 (本来Ethan Martin在榜上但後来被拿掉-因为他已经不算菜鸟了，哭哭) 其他还有一票杂鱼就不列了，有兴趣的自己看吧。 整体的评论就是...虚弱Orz Keith Law版前10大(整体农场排名25->要不是季後当卖家，否则原本是28名) 1.J.P. Crawford(SS) 2.Aaron Nola(P) 3.Maikel Franco(3B) 4.Roman Quinn(CF) 5.Zach Eflin(P) 6.Tom Windle(P) 7.Matt Imhof(P) 8.Franklyn Kilome(P) 9.Ricardo Pinto(P) 10.Cord Sandberg(OF) (一堆投手...) 对了，话说我忘记是BP还谁家的预测， 费城今年拿状元机率颇高... (管你信不信，反正我是信了~) --

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