By JOHN HOLLINGER January 31, 2007 What a difference one shot can make. 一球之差到底影响有多大？ Just when it seemed like the Nets were en route to their fourth closes-shave loss in five tries, Vince Carter flung in a 35-footer at the buzzer on Monday, and all of a sudden everything seems rosy. 就在篮网队看样子将要输掉他们第四场比分很接近的比赛， Vince Carter 在号声响起的同时投进了一个三十五尺的大号三分球， 一切突然变的十分美好...。 With that dramatic 116–115 win over the Jazz, the Nets have won 11 of their past 16 games, and three of the defeats came by just a single point. Making it more remarkable is that they've done it without Nenad Krstic, and more recently without Richard Jefferson. 在赢了这戏剧化的一场比赛，篮网在过去十六场比赛赢了十一场， 有三场的败场各只输了一分。 值得注意的是，这些战绩是在他们失去Nenad Krstic以及最近少了 Richard Jefferson 所得到的。 Jefferson will miss another month, but he couldn't have chosen a better time to be out of action. With six of the next seven games against opponents that are either reeling (Orlando) or awful (Atlanta, Boston, and Philadelphia), the Nets find themselves with a great opportunity to get a leg up in the Eastern Conference playoff race, even with Jefferson out of the lineup. Jefferson 将会缺席一个月，但他选择的时间真的再好不过了。 就在未来的七场比赛当中，有六场是些战绩不好的球队(老鹰、塞尔提克、七六人)， 和不稳定当中的魔术队，篮网有一个相当好的机会为他们的东区联盟季後赛种子 冲刺，甚至在RJ缺席的这段时间。 With the trading deadline looming in three weeks, New Jersey finds itself having to make a decision between its present and its future. I had argued a month ago that it was time for Rod Thorn to reach for the dynamite, with New Jersey at 11–18 and Krstic out for the year it seemed an open-and-shut case. But the Nets' recent run of success puts them in a quandary, because now they're in the middle ground where the decision is significantly more difficult. Thanks to the upcoming schedule, New Jersey probably will be a couple of games over .500 when the deadline rolls around, which makes the temptation to stick it out with this group incredibly powerful. 在交易截止至逐渐接近的这三周，篮网发觉他们必须决定他们现在或者未来的命运。 我在过去一个月前曾经争论过，Rod Thorn必须做些大动作， 就在篮网战绩只有11胜18败以及 Krstic 将要缺席一季的情形下， 这是个很简单的抉择。 不过现在篮网的近况意外的成功反而让他们陷入窘境， 因为在这种中间灰色地带，他们的决定将会明显的变得困难。 感谢接下来的赛程，当截止日到之时，纽泽西很有可能将会超越五成胜率 多赢几场比赛，这会造成另外一种诱惑，让他们看起来不需要交易、 这支球队并不需要改变。 This is especially true since the Eastern Conference is up for grabs this season. If the Nets choose to add rather than subtract at the deadline, the rejuvenated club could be in position to make a deep playoff run once Jefferson gets back. Even now, the top two teams in the conference, Washington and Detroit, are only five games ahead of the Nets in the standings heading into last night's play. 今年东区联盟的状态真的是浑沌不明，看样子谁都有机会。 假如篮网在截止日前选择去增加他们的阵容而不是去减少， 这支恢复年轻的球队将会在RJ回来之後的季後赛走得长远。 甚至现在，东区的前两支球队，巫师以及活塞，也只领先 篮网五场胜差而已。 Additionally, each of those clubs has the same weakness New Jersey does — a critical lack of depth. Thus, if either was to lose a starter, the Nets hopes would be much stronger. The same goes for the Cleveland LeBrons, a one-man team in dire need of help. The only other major threat in the East, Chicago, has proved vulnerable to the Nets' style of play, as the Bulls lack a quality post player who can punish the Nets' unproven bigs. 此外，每一支东区球队都和篮网有相同的劣势，那就是板凳深度。 因此，假如每一支球队失去了一名先发，篮网的希望就更加的强烈。 骑士队的LeBron，像是一支需要帮助的一人球队。 再看看其他的东区威胁，公牛队，已经证明对上篮网不见得占上风的， 以及公牛也缺少一个可以低位单打虐待篮网薄弱禁区的长人。 That said, we shouldn't sugarcoat things. Despite the recent run of success, New Jersey's current group needs more help if it's to make a serious run at the Eastern crown. That will require Thorn to go in the complete opposite direction from rebuilding, by trading some of his youth for quality veterans. The most likely suspects would be Marcus Williams and Josh Boone, but one supposes Hassan Adams and Mile Ilic would also be made available if that could provide the Nets an item off their shopping list — either a low-post scorer or a sharp-shooting wing to spell Vince Carter and Jefferson. 但是我们不应该把事情都裹上一层糖衣。不管最近成功的表现， 假如篮网还想要更进一步的往前提升，目前的阵容依旧需要一些协助。 这需要 Thorn 做出与重建球队的相反方向。例如交易一些年轻球员 换得已经有能力的老手。如果是这样，那Marcus Williams和Josh Boone 则是最有可能的，不过Hassan Adams和Mile Ilic 也是可能在篮网的交易 名单上。比如说换来一名低位单打的得分长人或是可以在VC以及RJ旁边 投篮的射手。 However, the potential reward of Eastern Conference contention has to be weighed against the relatively large risk the Nets run of mortgaging their future. Carter can opt out of his deal after the season and could potentially leave New Jersey as an unrestricted free agent. That would leave the Nets high and dry because they lack the cap space to sign a replacement and would pretty much terminate their hopes of contention for a couple of years. 然而，篮网如果要全力放在东区争霸上，则要赔上他们未来发展潜力的风险。 Carter可以在本季结束後选择结束合约，并且当一名不受限制的自由球员。 那会让篮网有很大的薪资空间去签一些取代的球员，但也很可能会终结掉 他们未来几年的竞争力。 New Jersey also entertained discussions about dealing Jason Kidd and Richard Jefferson before the hot streak (and before Jefferson's injury), but Carter is the first piece on the chessboard. How Thorn and the Nets read his situation is critical to how they proceed. If they think he's leaving after the season, they're compelled to trade him now and get something of value in return, regardless of what it does to the Nets' playoff hopes. On the other hand, if they think Carter will either re-sign or, at worst, agree to a sign-and-trade deal that brings back equivalent talent, there's little harm in playing the season out and seeing what happens. 纽泽西过去曾讨论过交易KIDD或RJ在这段胜率很高之前，(以及RJ的伤势之前)， 但VC则是棋盘上的第一枚棋子。 假如他们认为他将要在本季之後离开，把VC交易并且得到一些价值回来 是一条路，不管在季後赛他是篮网多大的希望。 反之，他们若认为VC将会延长合约，或者更坏的情况先迁後换，换来 同等的球员， 那对就目前的状况打下去看会发生甚麽事情所产生的伤害只是很小的。 Either way, the recent run of success has made what could have been a very easy decision a vastly more difficult one. Again, the Nets still have an awful lot of work to do if they're going to be plausible Eastern Conference contenders. But the hill no longer seems quite as steep as it did a month ago at 11–18. And with each passing week that the rest of the conference fails to pull away from the Nets, the picture brightens a little more. 每一个方法，最近成功的状态使得简单的抉择变成困难些。 依然，如果篮网想要成为东区的竞争者他们还是有很多事情得做。 但就在一个月之前 11胜18败时，他们看起来并没有那样有希望。 并且在每过一周，联盟的其他球队并没有成功拉开与篮网的胜差， 目前的状况看起来算是明朗的。 The result is perhaps one of the trickiest decisions in Rod Thorn's tenure, because there is no longer an obviously correct answer. However he plays his cards, let's hope he's reading Carter's intent correctly, because that's the key to winning this hand. Thorn 的狡猾决定将会造成不一样的结果， 因为没有一个正确以及明显对的答案。 然而他玩着手上的牌，让我们期盼他把VC的意图都摸透了， 因为这是他赢得这场游戏的关键。 http://www.nysun.com/article/47767?page_no=1 --

※ 发信站: 批踢踢实业坊(ptt.cc) ◆ From: 140.135.254.81 ※ 编辑: NetsFan 来自: 140.135.254.81 (02/01 02:39)