※ [本文转录自 Cavaliers 看板 #1HQZoiyY ] 作者: arenasis (Mr.Vengeance) 看板: Cavaliers 标题: [选秀]Chad Ford 2013选秀预测1.0 时间: Sun Apr 14 13:20:40 2013 只翻译乐透区队伍，这篇出来的时候湖人还在西区第9，但现在不是， 所以14顺位以後就不翻译了。至於骑士最後可能拿到30、31、33这几张 ，所以30顺位还是有翻。建议想看14-29号的，可以去hoopchina找找。 1.山猫选择肯大中锋Nerlens Noel The Bobcats need help everywhere. With the possible exception of small forward (where last year's No. 2 pick Michael Kidd-Gilchrist is holding down the fort), Charlotte doesn't really have an A-list player on its roster. The Bobcats already have a young, athletic project in Bismack Biyombo, but every scout feels that Noel has much more potential than Biyombo and most GMs feel Noel has the most upside of any player in the draft. Noel's ACL injury is an obvious red flag, but even that could turn into a blessing. If the Bobcats have to sit Noel for much of the season, they'll likely finish with the best chance of winning the lottery in 2014. With Andrew Wiggins and a stellar high school class of 2014 coming up, it might be worth the wait. 山猫到处都是洞，除了小前锋MKG还能有所期待以外，全队没有什麽A咖。毕勇伯 年轻且有机动力，但所有球探都认为Noel的天分比较高，GM也一致同意Noel的天 花板更有成长空间。韧带受伤是Noel的一个警讯，但Ford认为如果山猫选进他并 且在2013-14球季全力保护他，可望在2014年包括A. Wiggins在内的强力新秀参 选时，占到有利地位。 2.魔术选择奥克拉荷马州大控卫Marcus Smart Analysis: The Orlando Magic have promising young players at the 3, 4 and 5. While they could certainly upgrade there (and might if Noel is available), I expect them to take a backcourt player at No. 2. Jameer Nelson is 31 and starting to slow down. Adding a dominant player like Smart would upgrade the position immensely. While Smart has his weaknesses (his jump shot is shaky and he needs to tighten up his handle), he's strong, has a great motor and toughness, is a beast defensively and brings the leadership a young rudderless team like the Magic desperately needs. 魔术在3至5号位都有潜力新秀，所以Ford建议他们趁Nelson已经稍显老态之际赶 快升级控卫。Smart的跳投不稳定、护球待加强，但身体壮、启动快速、对抗性 高，他防守积极而且能在休息室带给魔术需要的领袖气质。 3.太阳选择堪萨斯得分後卫Ben McLemore The Phoenix Suns shot 32 percent on 3-pointers this season and desperately need to improve. Their starting 2-guards, Shannon Brown and Wesley Johnson, both struggled from 3. Adding McLemore makes a lot of sense. He's one of the two or three best pure shooters in the draft and has great length and athleticism at his position. He can be a bit of a wallflower, but when he gets going he's as good as anyone in the draft. 太阳本季外线只有32%，两位主战後场Shannon Brown跟W. Johnson都投不准，亟 待改善。McLemore是本届新秀两位最佳纯射手之一，而且在SG位置上有机动力跟 体能优势，也许有时他会粉没存在感，但当他出击之际，能打的跟任何一位新秀 一样好。 4.骑士选择乔治城大学小前锋Otto Porter The Cavaliers have dynamic scorers in both backcourt positions in Kyrie Irving and Dion Waiters. Their frontcourt is also virtually set with Tristan Thompson, Anderson Varejao and Tyler Zeller. Their biggest hole is at the 3, and Porter looks like the perfect complementary piece. He's a jack of all trades, doesn't need the ball in his hands to be effective and is a team player. I can't think of a better fit for Porter or the Cavs. 骑士後场有KI跟Waiters这对强力得分搭档，前场目前貌似由T. Thompson、 Varejao跟T. Zeller担纲。这一来小前锋就是最大的洞，Porter目前看来完美符合 骑士需求，他是多功能型的万金油球员，不需持球也有好效率，也是一名好团队球 员，Ford想不出还有谁比他更适合骑士。 5.活塞选择印第安那大学摇摆人Victor Oladipo The Pistons' biggest need is at small forward. Since shipping Tayshaun Prince off to Memphis, they haven't really had anyone fill his spot. However, I think Oladipo is a better fit for Detroit. Rodney Stuckey has worn out his welcome in Detroit and Oladipo is the type of player that thrived with the Pistons when President of Basketball Operations Joe Dumars was still suiting up. Olapido is an elite defender, an explosive athlete and a rapidly improving offensive player. They could settle on a player like Shabazz Muhammad here, but I think Oladipo is the best player on the board for them. 自从把Prince送到灰熊後，活塞就没有什麽人能填补小前锋的缺。Stuckey已经败光 了他加入活塞後的好感度quaota，Oladipo则是Dumars总管喜欢的类型。他是防守专 家，具备高机动力而且进攻技巧持续提升，不排除活塞在这里选走Shabazz Muhammad 的可能性，但应该还是Oladipo机会大。 6.黄蜂选择密西根大学控卫Trey Burke The Hornets have interesting young players at every position right now. Their biggest need is probably at small forward, though Al-Farouq Aminu has started to show some promise this year. Clearly the Hornets have a very solid point guard in Greivis Vasquez. However, Burke gives them a completely different look and would be a nice complement to Vasquez at the point. He might be a bit undersized, but his toughness, all-around game, mistake-free basketball and winning attitude should be a great fit in New Orleans. 黄蜂在每个位置都有值得观察的新秀，尽管Aminu本季开始有点进步，小前锋仍可能 最需补强的点。黄蜂有个表现好後卫Greivis Vasquez，选择Burke能跟他搭档，让 黄蜂面目一新，Burke有点undersize，但他的对抗性、全能球风、少失误的打法以 及球胜若渴的决心，适合黄蜂队。 7.国王选择UCLA摇摆人Shabazz Muhammad The Kings' biggest hole is at small forward, where they continue to feel the sting from the disastrous John Salmons trade from a couple years ago. Salmons is a shell of himself and the Kings are desperately in need of an upgrade. While Muhammad has been a slight disappointment as a freshman , he's tough, knows how to score and brings a strong motor to the table. I'm not sure if there will be enough shots for Muhammad with DeMarcus Cousins, Tyreke Evans, Isaiah Thomas and Marcus Thornton, but I assume the Kings, under new management whether in Sacramento or Seattle, will start to clean house. 国王小前锋洞最大，该队还在受两年前Salmons交易的後遗症所苦，Salmons现在只 是只纸老虎。Muhammad的大一球季让人小失望，但他够强悍，知道如何得分并把动 力展现出来。Ford不确定Cousins、Evans等人会给Muhammad多少出手数，但国王不 管搬走或留在沙城，铁定要清理门户了。 8.雷霆选择马里兰中锋Alex Len The Thunder get this pick from the Raptors (which the Rockets received as part of the Kyle Lowry trade only to move it onto OKC as part of the James Harden deal) as long as the Raptors aren't picking in the top three. Oklahoma City needs to find a long-term replacement for Harden at the 2 and a long-term backup for Kendrick Perkins at the 5. Len seems like great value here. He's one of the two or three biggest players in the draft, has a decent offensive game and can rebound and block shots. It really feels like he's scratching the surface. The Thunder can afford to bring him along slowly and hope he develops. 雷霆这张在胡子交易中拿到的签，只有前三顺位保护。从长远观点，雷霆要找个能 取代胡子的SG，以及替补Perkins的中锋。而Len看起来值得投资，他是本届体型数 一数二大只的新秀，得分手腕高超，也能抓板盖锅，而Ford强调目前看到的只是表 象，Len还有更多值得雷霆慢慢发展与观察的。 9.巫师选择内华达大学拉斯维加斯分校大前锋Anthony Bennett The Wizards would have to be thrilled if they can land Bennett this late in the draft. Some teams will look at him as high as No. 2. Not only is Bennett the best player left on the board, but he also fits a need for Washington at the 4. Emeka Okafor has been solid there, but he's not the long-term answer. And at this point it doesn't look like young players like Jan Vesely or Kevin Seraphin are, either. Bennett's NBA body combined with his ability to score anywhere on the floor should give the Wizards another big boost next year. 如果巫师真能在这顺位捡到Bennett，会很爽的，有些队伍的评价高达第二顺位。 Ford在9顺位放Bennett不仅因为他是剩下最好的选手，也因为他符合巫师需求。 Okafor身手依旧，但不会是巫师的长期解答，年轻人Vesely跟Seraphin看似难当大 任。Bennett的NBA级体格加上在哪儿都能得分的身手，会带给巫师另一个起飞球季 。 10.灰狼选择密西根州大得分後卫Gary Harris I think it's pretty likely that Harris decides to stay in college another year and undergo shoulder surgery. However, if he does end up declaring, he's a very good fit for a Timberwolves team that still is searching for a long-term solution at shooting guard. The team is shooting just 30 percent from beyond the arc this year and getting a player like Harris who can really knock down shots is a priority. Ford认为Harris应该会比较倾向留校，并进行肩膀手术，然而如他最後参选了，会 是灰狼寻觅已久的长期SG解答。灰狼外线只有30%命中率，找个像Harris这样的射 手是当务之急。 11.七六人选择印第安那大学中锋Cody Zeller At the start of the season there was talk of Zeller being the No. 1 pick. However, he didn't improve as much as scouts expected him to this season and his stock has slid a bit. He'd be a nice fit in Philly, however. With the exception of Spencer Hawes, the Sixers just don't have a lot of size. While I don't think Zeller is worthy of a top-five pick anymore, he's a good value here. C.Zeller季初一度被讨论为状元人选，但他的表现没达到多数球探的期许，档次也 小小滑落。然而他还是适合七六人，除了Hawes以外该队在体型上居於劣势，Ford 不再认为Zeller能进前五顺位，但他还是值得一选。 12.拓荒者选择密西根大学大前锋Mitch McGary McGary mania is in full swing after a terrific run in the NCAA tourney, but NBA scouts still are getting their arms around his draft stock. They've really only been scouting this Mitch McGary for about eight games. However , on the surface, it appears that McGary has a lot of promise. He's got an incredible motor, is a good athlete, has great hands, rebounds, blocks shots and has shown a midrange game. It's possible he's a one-hit wonder, but I think more and more teams believe he's the same kid that ranked as one of the top five players in the country after his junior year of high school. He could be a great replacement for J.J. Hickson should he bolt in free agency this summer. 「McGary疯」在NCAA锦标赛掀起狂热，但球探对他的选秀顺位还是持保留态度，他 们真正看到这样的McGary大概只有八场球。但至少表面上McGary打出一些期待，他 有高机动力、卓越手感、能抓板、盖锅以及show出中距离。也许他终究昙花一现， 但我更认为多数队伍还是视他作高二那年排名全美前五的好手。在Hickson可能进 入FA市场的情况下，拓荒者可以选他。 13.小牛选择雪城大学控卫Michael Carter-Williams The Mavs have been riding Darren Collison all season at the point and there's a chance they re-sign him as a restricted free agent this summer. Whether they do or don't, Carter-Williams seems like a safe play. When he's good, he looks like a top-five pick. When he's off, he doesn't look like a first-rounder. He's a good passer with great size for his position and a very smooth athlete. He lacks a jump shot and needs to get stronger, but there's so much potential there, the Mavs could swing for the fences with him at No. 13. 小牛整季都仰赖Collison主控，夏天可能也会把成为RFA的他续留下来。不管小牛怎 麽作，Carter-Williams都是安全牌。强的时候他像属前五顺位，低迷的时候好似不 值首轮。他是有不错体型的好传球者，同时有流畅的运动性。跳投跟对抗性都要强 化，但天分已经摆在那儿。 30.骑士选择北卡得分後卫P.J. Hairston The Cavaliers might have their backcourt of the future set, but they can always use depth. Hairston is big enough to play the 2 and the 3, and he can be a terrific shooter. He's also tough and aggressive and understands a role coming off the bench. The Cavs are big believers in the numbers, and all of Hairston's advanced statistic profiles come out high, so you could see him sneak into the first round. 骑士未来後场基石已经找到，但深度永不嫌多。Hairston的体型够打2至3号位了， 可望养成一位致命的射手。他够强悍够积极，也能安於担任板凳角色。骑士很仰赖 数据分析，所有Hairston的进阶数据都很高，可期待他摸进第一轮。 --

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※ 发信站: 批踢踢实业坊(ptt.cc) ※ 转录者: yoyoman0529 (1.164.92.95), 时间: 04/17/2013 01:42:28