作者Zamned (QQ)
看板Cubs
标题[讨论] 选秀
时间Thu May 17 21:54:40 2018
今年我们有近8M的规则四选秀金能用,首轮24号签握有2.724M,二轮签有三支,分别
值1.06M、0.775M、0.762M。看看各家预测
BA:高中捕手Anthony Seigler
Seigler has done a lot to raise his stock this spring, hitting with authority
from both sides of the plate and playing solid defense behind the plate. At
this point he should be the first prep catcher off the board aside from Noah
Naylor (who many teams might prefer to push as a third baseman) and several
teams sound interested in this range.
(P.S. 高中捕手下场好像都不好,左右开工、还能上投手丘投球。)
KLaw:高中右投Grayson Rodriguez
The Cubs seem likely to go for upside with this pick, with a young and
relatively full major league roster but lacking potential stars in the
system; Rodriguez has some of the best pure stuff in the draft class and is
one of the very few pitchers you might project as a potential No. 2 starter
or better.
(P.S. 快速球有plus-plus的评价,滑球、曲球、变速球都会投。感觉有点像雷鸡。)
FG:大学右投Jackson Kowar
The Cubs have taken almost nothing but college pitching recently, and we
think that mostly continues. We also have heard them tied to Steele Walker,
possibly for this pick, and Arizona State CF Gage Canning, who is a target
for later.
(P.S. 完成度高的投手,像红鸟的Luke Weaver,业余时的变速球已经plus,Low90s快
速球。如果要成为SP,必须练出第三球种,他好像有一个滑曲球!?)
Steele Walker和Gage Canning都是矮小的角落或中外野手,最棒的天赋都是Hit,速度、
Power、防守普普,没有太多天花板想像空间的安全牌。如果在首轮选他们,应该是已经
与其他业余新秀谈好价码,或者是某些受伤动刀的投手新秀?
Jim Callis:高中右投Kumar Rocker
Chicago has pounded college pitching in each of the last two Drafts and still
could use more arms, though this time the prep route might be more attractive
in the first round. A hamstring injury has slowed Rocker down the stretch,
giving the Cubs an unexpected shot at a guy who can bring mid-90s heat and a
wipeout slider at his best. Rodriguez and Wilcox are two more comparable
options.
(P.S. Kumar Rocker近况不佳,而且传闻要高额签约金)
Jonathan Mayo:大学左投Ryan Rolison
Rolison's stock has taken a hit with a bit of an uneven junior season, but
he did once have top-half-of-the-first-round buzz, so he could be a nice steal
here.
(P.S. Low-90s速球,有必要时可以扔到Mid-90s,高於平均的曲球有机会成为plus,变速
球是第三球种,现在因为投球方式会有控球问题。最好的模板是三号先发。)
接下来谈谈IFA的Victor Mesa,Ben Badler将他类比为国际牌的Victor Robles。跑速70
分、传球臂力也是70分,17岁时拿到古巴联赛的中外野金手套,16-17年在古巴联赛长打
数比三振还多,兼盗40的垒包。Badler认为下个月的规则四选秀,已经有A+甚至AA小联盟
实力的Victor Mesa是TOP10内甚至是1-1的货色,在18-19的IFA会是头号新秀。现在就看
哪一支队伍有钱能签下他了,从目前的乳摸来看,小熊在这届的IFA,台面下协议的最大尾
球员是Richard Gallardo,这位恐怕要花掉总额4.983M中的2M才能签下,再加上次级新秀
Jose Lopez的签约也超过1M,签约金剩不到1M能花,一定难以让Victor Mesa和小熊会面,
但其他球队一定也有同样的困境。所以要签下Victor Mesa几乎确定得靠交易IFA选秀金额
,拿小熊来说撑上去175%顶会有8.72M可以用,这时候斧头帮和红人队的IFA签约金就好用
了(6.0M和4.95M)。
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1F:推 ghoster7: Hankins不考虑看看吗 不知道他的伤会不会让他掉到首轮 05/17 22:58
2F:→ ghoster7: 後段 05/17 22:58
3F:推 Roshiel: 多谢Z大分享讯息 05/18 09:57
4F:→ Zamned: 假如Hankins有机会选到,他的伤病疑虑铁定很大吧 05/18 16:40
5F:→ Zamned: KLaw 第二版预测说小熊选Noah Naylor 05/18 16:42
※ 编辑: Zamned (36.224.210.52), 05/18/2018 21:59:40
7F:推 ghoster7: Mize今天小爆掉 05/19 12:38
8F:→ LucasDuda: 挺喜欢Steele Walker,棒子感觉比麻吉Swaggerty好一点 05/20 19:40
9F:→ LucasDuda: ,不过整体感觉像二轮货。 05/20 19:40
10F:推 ghoster7: Anthony Seigler好酷哦 还可以双手投球 感觉右边比较好 05/21 17:57
11F:→ Zamned: 几份付费媒体的乳摸猜测小熊会在首轮选大学打者 05/23 22:22
12F:→ Zamned: Seigler去年在这边有点到 没想到竟然会变成第一轮货 05/23 22:27
13F:→ Zamned: 而且小熊可能选不到ㄡ... 05/23 22:27
14F:→ Zamned: BA昨天出来的好几个可能人选都是投手 05/23 22:31
15F:→ Zamned: Seigler也在里面 但标注为投手 05/23 22:31
16F:→ Zamned: 对了 Kyler Murray似乎打算要在大学多待一年 05/23 23:13
17F:→ Zamned: 他还没下定决心要打football或棒球 05/23 23:13
18F:→ Zamned: Mike Vasil要去UV报到 真的还是假的啊?! 05/31 13:40
19F:→ Zamned: UV这几年可说是毁投手而不倦 05/31 13:42
20F:→ Zamned: HSLHP Mitchell Parker给我们选秀前测试 05/31 13:46
22F:→ Zamned: KLaw最新预测 小熊打者优先 05/31 20:35
24F:推 LucasDuda: Groshans赞 06/02 08:36
25F:推 UKG: 是不是选了个爆冷的选择阿 06/05 10:55
26F:→ Zamned: Brennen Davis索价1.2-1.5M 06/05 11:43
27F:推 jorgesoler: 史丹佛的SS? 06/05 12:25
28F:推 Roshiel: 还以为会选一堆投手,结果还是野手优先 06/05 13:12
29F:→ Zamned: 看来这次选得 天赋最佳是Cole Roederer 速度 power兼具CF 06/07 06:48
30F:→ Zamned: 小熊跟他有协议吧 第一时间Cole Roederer宣布不会去UCLA 06/07 06:50
31F:→ Zamned: IG改成替小熊打球 06/07 06:50
32F:→ Zamned: 第一轮的Nico Hoerner是TLS型打者,应该很便宜 06/07 06:51