作者Zamned (扎姆德)
看板Cubs
标题[情报] MLB.com Top 20 Prospects
时间Mon Sep 10 09:03:50 2012
1. Javier Baez 100 Prospects (#24) | Top 10 Shortstop Prospects (#5)
Baez went one spot after Francisco Lindor in the 2011 Draft, and while Lindor
might be the better all-around shortstop, a very good argument can be made
that Baez is the better pure hitter. His plus bat speed should enable him to
hit for average and power. His already-impressive skills will be even better
once he learns a bit more plate discipline. Baez isn't a slouch defensively,
with a strong arm and good hands, but some think a move to third is in his
future. His bat should profile well there. That bat could allow him to move
speedily through the system, regardless of his defensive home. Baez made his
pro debut with the Peoria Chiefs on May 28. He was promoted to Class A
Advanced Daytona on August 4.
---
2. Albert Almora 100 Prospects (#52)
Almora’s combination of makeup, work ethic and tools are a big reason he was
a top 10 pick in the 2012 Draft. He has the chance to be an above-average
hitter, with an ability to drive the ball to all fields. He has some now
power and projects to have above-average pop down the road. A solid average
runner, Almora has very good instincts on the bases. Those instincts also
help him in center field, where he’s a plus defender with a strong arm and
outstanding range. A veteran of USA Baseball, he’s played on international
stages several times and shown natural leadership ability in big situations.
---
3. Brett Jackson 100 Prospects (#74)
It's hard to imagine a 20-20 player being undervalued, but because none of
Jackson's individual tools grade out as plus, he might. He hit better after
he was promoted to Triple-A in 2011, always a good sign. His strikeout rate
concerns some, but he also draws walks and his power-speed combination should
play just fine at the highest level. He can play all three outfield spots,
which helped him reach Chicago in 2012. Jackson made his Major League debut
on August 5.
---
4. Arodys Vizcaino 100 Prospects (#76)
After missing time in 2010 with an elbow issue, Vizcaino had surgery in March
and will miss all of 2012. The key prospect the Braves got from the Yankees
in the Javier Vazquez trade in 2009, Vizcaino was sent to the Cubs in a 2012
Deadline deal. The young Dominican has a chance to have three
above-average-to-plus pitches. His fastball sits in the low-to-mid-90s, and
when working in shorter relief stints, he can reach back for a little more.
He also has a plus curve and his changeup has improved tremendously. He
commands his pitches well and has the makings of a solid starter, though his
power repertoire, success out of the bullpen and increasing concerns about
durability have some thinking he's better suited to a short-relief role.
---
5. Jorge Soler 100 Prospects (#77)
The Cubs aggressively pursued Soler and were able to sign the Cuban
outfielder to a large deal in June 2012. Soler is considered to be one of the
best talents to come out of Cuba in some time. He has some serious power
potential and his outstanding bat speed allows him to drive the ball to all
fields. Strong and physical, he has a very good approach at the plate,
showing good plate discipline, especially for someone his age. Soler is a
decent athlete with a strong throwing arm, leading many to believe he could
develop into a prototypical right fielder, one who becomes a power-hitting
run producer in the middle of a big league lineup in the future.
---
6. Matt Szczur
A two-sport star at Villanova, Szczur would’ve likely been a second-round
pick in the NFL Draft had he not chosen to stick with baseball after a
fantastic pro debut in 2010. He did, though, much to the benefit of the Cubs,
as they now have another speedy outfielder to add to the mix. After being
called up to High A Daytona in 2011, Szczur posted a .368 average in the
postseason to help his team win the Florida State League title. He hits for
average, with power potential, is a threat on the basepaths and has makeup
that comes as highly touted as his tools. An asset on defense as well, Szczur
could be patrolling the outfield alongside Brett Jackson before long. He was
promoted to Double-A Tennessee on July 27.
---
7. Trey McNutt
A steal in the 32nd round of the 2009 Draft, McNutt’s career in pro ball
thus far has been up-and-down. After turning in a 10-1 record and the
organization’s second-best ERA (2.48) and strikeout total (132) in his first
full season, McNutt didn't repeat the performance in 2011. He has a power
breaking ball and a plus fastball, which lives in the mid-90s, that he can
dial up a notch when needed. An offspeed pitch could take him to the next
level, but his changeup is still a work in progress. McNutt couldn’t quite
find the consistency needed in 2012 to get back on track as a starting
pitching prospect, and he moved into a bullpen role in July, where perhaps
his power stuff will play up.
---
8. Junior Lake
Lake is as toolsy as they come, with a Shawon Dunston-esque arm in the
infield, power to all fields and more than enough speed to be a basestealing
threat. He needs to smooth out a lot of rough edges, including improving his
plate discipline and cutting down on his errors in the field. His first taste
of Double-A was so-so, but he performed well in the Arizona Fall League and
was added to the Cubs’ 40-man roster this offseason. He followed that up
with a solid showing in his first full season in the Southern League.
---
9. Pierce Johnson
In a year where the college pitching crop didn’t truly separate itself,
Johnson helped himself with strong performances for most of the season. A
forearm strain hurt his stock a bit, but he returned to throw well and was
taken in the sandwich round. Johnson’s three-pitch mix is highlighted by a
fastball that can touch 94 mph and is very effective when he keeps it down in
the zone. His hard curve can be an out pitch, and he gets more strikeouts
with that than with his fastball. Johnson didn’t use his changeup that
frequently in college, but he has a good feel for it and it should be an
average offering in the future. Competitive and aggressive on the mound, he
throw strikes consistently. Assuming he stays healthy, Johnson shouldn’t
take too long to get to the big leagues, with a ceiling as a strong middle of
the rotation starter.
---
10. Josh Vitters
Just when people may have been wanting to write Vitters off as a first-round
bust, he started to look like he was figuring some things out in 2011 and
continued it in 2012 to earn his first Major League callup in August. He
still has a picture-perfect swing with plus bat speed and a ton of raw power.
He doesn’t strike out, but he also doesn’t walk, swinging at virtually
everything, though he did start to drive the ball more in games. He played
some first and outfield in the Arizona Fall League last fall, and saw times
at both corners during the 2012 season, but he still could end up being the
Cubs’ long-term answer at the hot corner.
---
11. Dillon Maples
Considered one of the most unsignable pitchers in the 2011 Draft, Maples was
a late steal for the Cubs, who nabbed him in the 14th round. It took a
seven-figure signing bonus to lure him away from playing two sports at the
University of North Carolina, but Maples signed at the deadline and made his
pro debut in 2012. He throws two plus pitches -- a fastball that sits in the
low to mid 90s and a hard curve -- though he often has issues with command.
Developing a changeup is atop the to-do list for Maples, along with refining
his command. And although some scouts think his unconventional delivery could
lead to injury, the Cubs don’t seem to be all that concerned. If he can
handle the workload and reach his full potential, he could be a
top-of-the-rotation starter.
---
12. Robert Whitenack
The first player ever drafted out of SUNY-Old Westbury, the 2009 pick had a
solid first full season in pro ball. It looked like he was taking off in year
two when he was shut down two months into the 2011 season and needed to have
Tommy John surgery. Before the injury, he had dominated at two levels.
Whitenack features a low-to-mid-90s fastball with heavy sink that you can
count on to generate a ton of ground balls. He complements the fastball with
a nasty slider, and to top it all off he throws strikes when healthy.
Whitenack returned in 2012 with the typical ups-and-downs of a pitcher just
off elbow surgery. He was placed on the disabled list on August 24.
---
13. Dan Vogelbach Top 10 1st Base Prospects (#6)
Coming out of high school, Vogelbach was on radars because of his light-tower
power from the left side. It's legitimately plus-plus, and he can hit it out
to all fields. Vogelbach is not an all-or-nothing swinger, either, and his
advanced approach should allow him to be a fairly complete hitter.
Non-athletic was a kind way to describe Vogelbach's body type in high school,
but he trimmed down for his first season of pro ball, where he earned a
promotion while swinging a hot bat at both levels.
---
14. Ben Wells
The Arkansas high school product made his pro debut in 2011 and showed a
propensity for throwing strikes and inducing ground balls in the Northwest
League. His full-season debut was cut short with a right elbow strain in
early June, though he did get some work in before the season was over. His
sinking fastball, up to around 94 mph, is a worm-killer, and he complements
it with a slider and a splitter. He may not have ace-type stuff, but with his
feel for pitching, he could start to move a bit more quickly and be a solid
No. 3-type starter in the future.
---
15. Paul Blackburn
Blackburn used a strong Area Code Games performance in the summer of 2011 as
a springboard into 2012 to put himself in position to be a high draft choice.
The Northern California high school product has the chance to have a very
good three-pitch mix. His fastball sits in the 92-mph range consistently and
he can reach back for a little more at times. He’s projectable, so there
might be more in the tank to come as he matures. His curve and changeup both
should be effective pitches for him. A very good athlete, Blackburn has a
clean delivery and is generally around the strike zone, with his command sure
to improve as he gains pro experience. He got his feet wet in the
rookie-level Arizona League the summer after he was drafted.
---
16. Jeimer Candelario
Candelario made his U.S. debut in 2012, and the Cubs were certainly excited
to welcome him stateside. He’s a switch-hitting corner infielder with a ton
of power potential who has already shown pretty good plate discipline and an
advanced approach at the plate. He’s a third baseman for now but might
eventually fit better at first, though no one has to worry about that just
yet.
---
17. Gioskar Amaya
The Venezuelan infielder had a stirring U.S. debut in 2011, finishing second
in the rookie-level Arizona League in average. He kept that up in the
Northwest League in 2012, showing a knack for making contact and continuing
to learn how to use his excellent speed to his advantage on the basepaths.
Amaya had played second, third and shortstop previously, but settled in at
second base in 2012.
---
18. Tony Zych
The Cubs drafted Zych out of high school in 2008, but he went on to
Louisville where he established himself as one of the better college closers
in the country. The Cubs nabbed him again in 2011 with the hopes he could
ride his plus fastball to the big leagues quickly. He can get it up into the
mid-90s consistently with a little bit more than that at times. Just how good
he can be, and whether he can be a future closer, might depend on how his
slider develops. He was promoted to Double-A Tennessee on June 29.
---
19. Alberto Cabrera
After showing glimpses of potential, and struggling a bit with injuries, as a
starting pitcher prospect, Cabrera moved to the bullpen full-time in 2012.
The move resulted in him going from Double-A to Triple-A and up to the big
leagues for his Major League debut on August 1. He’s always had a ton of arm
strength, with an ability to hit the mid-90s easily with his fastball and
maintain that velocity deep into his starts. Now in the bullpen, it only
stands to reason that he should be able to throw harder in shorter stints. He
’s complemented the fastball with a slider and changeup in the past, but a
fastball-breaking ball combination may be all he needs to thrive in short
relief. Cabrera’s strikeout rate jumped and his walk rate dropped with the
move to the bullpen, a good sign for future success.
---
20. Marcus Hatley
Originally an outfielder, the Cubs put Hatley on the mound after signing him
as a draft-and-follow. That was based on his arm strength, and it took him a
while to move up the ladder. He needed Tommy John surgery and missed most of
the 2010 season. He made up for some lost time in 2011, pitching at three
levels and ending the season in Double-A, where he began the 2012 season
before earning a July promotion to Triple-A Iowa. He has the size and stuff
to pitch in the back of a bullpen, with a fastball that easily sits in the
mid-90s, a power curve and an occasional cutter. He still struggles with
command from time to time, but while he might not be a closer, a future role
as a setup man seems more than possible.
---
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※ 发信站: 批踢踢实业坊(ptt.cc)
◆ From: 111.243.18.128
1F:→ Zamned:Vitters今天三垒有一个隐形失误 09/11 10:01
2F:→ Zamned:Volstad还是很抖 09/11 10:02
3F:→ Zamned:小联盟的赛季完全结束了 A-的球队输给蓝鸟的系统 09/11 10:02
4F:推 shawshien:再不得分都快要睡着了 09/11 11:09
5F:推 shawshien:刚刚那个後援投手是我们拿Maholm和Reed Johnson换来的 09/11 11:25
6F:推 shawshien:Hate Chapman 右投 三振型投手 09/11 11:28
7F:→ shawshien:Jaye Chapman 09/11 11:28
8F:→ Zamned:Barney Nice Play 09/11 11:30
9F:→ Zamned:纪录持续延续 09/11 11:30
10F:→ Zamned:比较少人提起的Soriano也只有一次失误 09/11 11:31
11F:→ Zamned:半个月前的失误让Soriano无失误破功 09/11 11:32
12F:→ Zamned:Welington Castillo在小联盟时 是个标准的球来就打 09/11 11:36
13F:→ Zamned:不知道教练怎麽改的 变的会选球了 09/11 11:36
14F:→ Zamned:说道教练 我们开除了六位小联盟教练 09/11 11:36
15F:→ Zamned:这场的观众真少 而且觉得现场的小熊迷满多的 09/11 11:41
16F:→ Zamned:同样的输到脱裤子 芝加哥人仍然是相当捧场 09/11 11:42
17F:→ Zamned:希望老板以及制服组不要辜负球迷的心 09/11 11:42
18F:→ Zamned:另外明年的跨联盟比赛我们将对上美联西区 09/11 11:43
19F:→ Zamned:和白袜的跨联盟比赛则是继续保留 09/11 11:43
20F:推 shawshien:刚球评説我们是国联客场票房最好的球队 09/11 11:44
21F:→ Zamned:也就是因为如此 所以白袜说什麽都不愿意放弃与我们的跨联 09/11 11:47
22F:→ Zamned:盟比赛 09/11 11:47
23F:推 shawshien:马毛的救援成功场数在队史上排行第三 09/11 11:47
24F:→ Zamned:今天速球的状况不错 95 96在跑 09/11 11:48
25F:→ Zamned:不过差不多该交易掉了 09/11 11:48
26F:→ Zamned:之前总仔有说明年的开季名单 09/11 11:49
27F:推 shawshien:我们一定是要跟他们同城内战的啊 09/11 11:49
28F:→ Zamned:里面没有马毛 09/11 11:49
29F:→ Zamned:新的赛制 听说有可能会取消或是减少 09/11 11:50
30F:→ Zamned:制服组应该会在这个冬天尝试卖掉马毛和Sori 09/11 11:51
31F:推 UKG:Marmol最好能在今年季末相对高点卖掉有机会凹比较多 09/11 13:07
32F:→ Zamned:刚刚看了BOX 没想到这场比赛官方纪录有一万多人进场 09/11 16:19
33F:→ Zamned:我看MLB.tv 总觉得人数连一千人都不到ㄟ... 09/11 16:19
34F:→ Zamned:Rizzo 09/12 08:56
35F:→ Zamned:希望没事 09/12 08:57
36F:→ Zamned:换代跑 09/12 08:59
37F:推 shawshien:在地上躺好久...希望没事 09/12 09:01
38F:推 JakeMcGee:Rizzo那翻超大的@@ 希望没事 09/12 09:09
39F:推 shawshien:初步的消息是Rizzo肩膀和颈部疼痛 没有重大的伤害 09/12 09:33
40F:→ Zamned:Castro真的要多学学 09/12 10:03
41F:→ Zamned:Rizzo那个跑垒很积极 09/12 10:04
42F:→ Zamned:Bjax、Rizzo以及人在小联盟的Baez、Almora 09/12 10:05
43F:→ Zamned:都是态度很棒的棒球员 09/12 10:05
44F:→ Zamned:漏了一个 Soler也是 09/12 10:05
45F:→ Zamned:Baez据球迷实际观察 这货是个Leader 09/12 10:06
46F:→ Zamned:.... 09/12 10:08
47F:→ Zamned:没得分 因为跑三垒的先死... 09/12 10:08
※ 编辑: Zamned 来自: 111.243.42.144 (09/12 10:09)
48F:推 shawshien:两个跑者都很糟 一个没有努力跑 一个回头看浪费时间 09/12 10:13
49F:→ Zamned:不想骂了 唉... 09/12 10:13
50F:→ Zamned:干 09/12 10:16
51F:→ Zamned:干 09/12 10:16
52F:→ Zamned:球传到打者身上 09/12 10:17
53F:→ Zamned:都抓到跑者了 夹杀还出错 09/12 10:17
54F:推 shawshien:不是我们的错 是跑者突然转弯跑离三尺线 才会打到他的 09/12 10:29
55F:→ shawshien:这是个大误判 首先跑者跑出三尺线就已经出局了 09/12 10:30
56F:→ shawshien:Mather的触杀也在跑者先摸到垒包之前 09/12 10:31
57F:→ Zamned:传的方向也不对啊 09/12 10:31
58F:→ shawshien:是他转弯 球才会打到他 弹到一边去 09/12 10:32
59F:→ Zamned:应该说 Castro整个挡在他面前 他不闪就是直接撞上去 09/12 10:33
60F:→ shawshien:所以Dale Sveum才会去抗议 大家一直指跑者跑的路线 09/12 10:33
61F:→ Zamned:Castro真的很爱吃瓜子 XD 09/12 10:50
62F:→ Zamned:准备打击时也不忘嗑个几颗 09/12 10:51
63F:推 shawshien:XD 09/12 10:54
64F:推 shawshien:Cubs @ HOU Game 3 09/13 12:13
65F:→ shawshien:T.Wood 7.2IP 4H 1R 1ER 1BB 6K! 09/13 12:14
66F:→ shawshien:Wood今天投得很好 Brett Jackson已经休五天了 09/13 12:15
67F:→ shawshien:Rizzo昨天和一垒手相撞 今天也没有上场 09/13 12:16
68F:→ shawshien:Marmol 1IP 0H 0R 0ER 1BB 3K! 09/13 12:17
69F:→ shawshien:Cubs Win :) 09/13 12:17
70F:→ Zamned:再这样赢下去 就要被洛矶超车了 09/15 08:28
71F:→ Zamned:Alomra今天参加小熊的赛前打击练习 09/15 08:29
72F:→ Zamned:Soler则是明天和大夥一起打击练习 顺便参观球场 09/15 08:29