http://minorleagueball.com/story/2007/9/24/145553/591 Case Study: Dewon Brazelton Dewon Brazelton was a college star at Middle Tennessee State, going 13-2, 1.42 his junior year with a 154/24 K/BB ratio in 127 innings, allowing just 82 hits. Middle Tennessee State doesn't play the best competition in the world, but Brazelton also thrived from Team USA, eliminating any doubts scouts had about his performance against strong competition. In college he showed a 94-97 MPH fastball with movement, an outstanding changeup, and sharp control. His curveball was mediocre, and improving it was the main thing he needed to do as he transitioned into pro ball. The Devil Rays made him the third-overall pick in the 2001 draft, and he was projected to reach Tampa Bay by 2003 at the latest. It was not a controversial selection, and I gave him a Grade B+ in the 2002 book. Dewon Brazelton 是田纳西州的大学明星，在127局中，投出了13胜2败，1.42的防御率， K/BB=154/24的成绩，而且只被打了82支的安打。其实在田纳西州的棒球竞赛中表现的并 不出色，但是Brazelton也入选美国队，屏除一些怀疑他是因为不是对上强队才创下的优 秀纪录不好的言论。在大学时他可以投出94-97MPH的速球，还有优秀的changeup和不错的 控球。他的curveball表现不太出色，所以他主要任务是把他的curveball练的更好。 他在2001选秀以第三顺位被魔鬼鱼选走，在那时也被预测最晚在2003年可以升到大联盟 。而这个选秀并不是一个可以让人怀疑的选秀，在当时我给了他B+的成绩。 Brazelton began 2002 in Double-A, going 5-9 but with a fine 3.33 ERA in 26 starts for Orlando, with a 109/67 K/BB in 146 innings. He made one start in Triple-A, throwing five shutout innings, then finished the year with a couple of mediocre starts for the major league team. He continued to show a 93-95 MPH fastball, although some concerns were expressed that it was rather straight, and the strong changeup. His curveball, however, remained erratic, and this was reflected in his K/IP ratio which has slightly below Southern League average. I gave him a Grade B+ in the 2003 book, but warned that he needed a full dose of Triple-A to polish the breaking ball, and that the Devil Rays would likely regret it if they rushed him ahead of schedule. 在2002年Brazelton升到2A，在26次先发中，投出5胜9败有点糟的成绩，但是防御率3.33 还算不错，另外在146局投球中，投出了K/BB=109/67的成绩。而在这一年也在3A先发一场 投出了5局没失分，也在大联盟先发了两次成绩普普。在这年，他依旧保持93-95MPH的速 球，虽然有时候直球不太会跑(翻的有点口语XD)，还有不错的changeup。而curveball 持续的不稳定，可以由他K/9低於Southern League的平均可以得知。我还是给他了B+ 的成绩，但是也希望他能在3A多投一个完整的球季来加强他的breaking ball ，假如魔鬼鱼队提前升他上来，魔鬼鱼也必须去承担不好的後果。 The D-Rays sent Brazelton to Triple-A to open the 2003 season. He went 2-2, 4.21 in five starts with an 18/11 K/BB ratio, at which point he was promoted to the majors and inserted into the rotation. He pitched very poorly, overthrowing and losing the touch on his command. His curveball and changeup both regressed, his confidence fell apart, and in late June he was demoted all the way back to Single-A, to try and rebuild his game. He did not pitch well in the California League, going 1-5, 5.26 with a 42/19 K/BB in 50 innings and 62 hits allowed. He pitched a bit better late in the year, earning a promotion back to Double-A where he went 2-0, 2.53 in two starts. But '03 was clearly a disastrous season for him all-around. To try and right the ship, the Rays sent Brazelton to the Arizona Fall League to work on his mechanics and his curveball . He performed well there, and went into spring training 2004 with a chance to win a spot in the major league rotation once again 在2003开季，Brazelton从3A开始，在5次先发中投出2胜2败，4.21的防御率还有 K/BB=18/11的成绩，在此时魔鬼鱼把他升到大联盟，并且进入投手轮值中。在大联盟他投 的很糟，他的curveball和changeup都相继退步，他的信心也丧失不少，而在六月末他被 降回1A。在California League也投的不太好，在50局的投球中，投出1胜5败，防御率5.26 ，K/BB=42/19的成绩。在这一年的後半段，有点进步，所以晋升到2A，在2A的两次先发， 2胜0败，ERA=2.53。但是总结在03年是他悲惨的一季。为了加强他的能力，魔鬼鱼在球季 结束後送他到AFL。在那里他表现的很好，所以他在2004年时也进入春训名单，再一次挑 战大联盟。 Brazelton pitched fairly well in spring training but opened the year in Triple-A. He went 4-4, 4.71 in 10 starts with a 38/15 K/BB ratio in 50 innings. In need of pitching, the Rays promoted him to the majors in June and he spent the rest of the season in the rotation, going 6-8, 4.77 with a 64/53 K/BB ratio in 121 innings. At times he was very effective, but his curveball was still mediocre, his changeup was not as good as it used to be, and his fastball, while fast, was often too straight. He was even worse in 2005 (7.61 ERA in 71 innings, mostly in relief), and in '06 the Rays gave up on him completely and shipped him to San Diego for Sean Burroughs. Brazelton在春训时投的相当不错，但是在开季时也只能从3A开始。在10次先发，50局投 球中，4胜4败，4.71的防御率，K/BB=38/15。在六月时，魔鬼鱼急需要投手，所以也就 把他拉上来；而在剩下的球季中，121局他投出6胜8败，ERA=4.77；K/BB=64/53。此时他 的curve ball还是一样没什麽进步，changeup表现的并不是很好，然而他的速球虽然还 是一样快，但是没什麽尾劲。在2005年时表现的更糟(ERA=7.61)，在06年魔鬼鱼正式 放弃他，把他交易到San Diego。 He has spent '06 and '07 mostly at the minor league level, and at age 27 he seems fully established as a journeyman pitcher. He still has a good arm, but the secondary pitches just haven't developed. He's developed a reputation as a hard worker, but also as a pitcher who battles himself and lacks confidence. 在06，07年大部份都在小联盟游走，似乎注定成为一个浪人投手。 他仍然有好的身体素质，可以丢出颇快的直球，但是欠缺第二个球路，还有缺乏自信心。 What the hell happened here? The easy theory is that Brazelton was never as good as he looked in college, that the gaudy stats at Middle Tennessee State misled everyone. But the fact is that he also pitched great for Team USA (pitching better than Mark Prior did actually). I don't think his success there was an illusion, and his fastball and changeup were really outstanding back then. Something else happened here. 很多方面都揣测Brazelton没有和大学一样有不错的成绩，是因为他处在的大学环境并不 是一个在棒球方面很出色的地方，因此成绩误导许多人以为他是一个不错的投手。但是 事实上他可以在美国队中投出不错的成绩(投的比Mark Prior还好)。所以我并不认同上面 那些言论，况且他有不错的速球和chageup。 Scouts knew from the beginning that he had problems with his breaking ball, and sabermetrically this was apparent in the weakish strikeout rate in the minors. But why wasn't he able to develop a better one? I think there is no question at all that he was promoted to the majors too quickly in 2003. He wasn't ready, and it showed, and every part of his game went backwards after that. He's the kind of pitcher who would definitely have benefited from a bullpen apprenticeship, rather than being thrown into the rotation for a bad team. Maybe with better handling he would have adjusted, and maybe he wouldn't have. Maybe he should have ditched the traditional breaking ball and tried something different like a forkball or splitter, especially when being used out of the bullpen. 从相关报导可以得知他在对於breaking ball的掌握度并不是这麽好，这也就是造就他在 小联盟并没有出色的三振能力。但是为什麽他没有办法加强这部份呢? 我想主要原因是在於太快升到大联盟了。在那时他并没有准备好；还有他应该是从牛棚 开始慢慢学习，并不能马上把他拉进Rotation。未来也许他会变的不错，也许也不会。 也许他应该放弃他原本所练的breaking ball，然而去嚐试新球种，像是forkball或是 splitter。 Dewon Brazelton is still relatively young, and he still has a major league arm. With the right coach in the right situation, he could still make a contribution at the major league level. Brazelton仍然是相当的年轻，而且他有不错的身体素质。 如果有一个不错的教练，在适当的情况下去调教，他在大联盟也会有一席之地的。 --------------------------------------------------------------------- 会翻译这一篇是因为前不久Brazelton刚和我们签了小联盟合约， 由本文作者John Sickels推测他有可能是因为被魔鬼鱼Rush才会变成浪人 所以希望他在春训时候我们家老Duncan看可不可以好好调教他， 明年他应该会从3A开始，如果明年有明显进步， 他未来应该会是一个不错的4~5号SP。 希望再生工厂在创造奇蹟吧.....XD --

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