作者ThomasHSNU (mimura *^^*)
看板Athletics
标题[情报] 2020 Draft 绿帽版
时间Mon Jun 8 04:11:55 2020
今年因为Coronavirus,选秀最後变成只有五轮,签约金更是大幅延迟给付:
超过五轮的可以无限量以20k签下,slot values 和'19年完全一样,但球员今年最多拿到
$100K, 明後年七月各拿一半剩下的部分.(
https://bit.ly/2BBksni)
明显的无法吸引HS player进职业, College player会回去念senior,不过老板们比较关心
的是没钱的问题...签约deadline延迟至Aug 1 (physicals会变得相当麻烦..)
球队不可以设draft rooms.无法做in-person scouting,取而代之的是看官方给的video...
(
https://bit.ly/37b30BH)
依球探共识今年的品质相当不错.第一轮後段质量好,不少大学P(几只'17没签的HS投手
也仍然在第一轮)以绿帽以前的做法跟着抽一只大学P机率不小..
今年没多少球赛资料无法update,在缺乏资料的情形下准确度应受相当影响(如果以後看回
来2020反而比较准就好玩了) 对球队来讲使用有限的资料也是挑战
(
https://bit.ly/3h4G3VF)
本来已偏重College的风潮今年对HS side更加不利.
听说一些Clubs打算给steep discounts的bonus - 他们不收顶多明年再选,钱还可以省下
来帮助球队其他支出..
以绿帽本身来说先发生球探和operations department furlough/pay cut,後又开第一枪
不给小联盟球员stipend,对获得球员已有不小影响(news:正在写这篇的时候政策大转弯:
John Fisher to pay minor leaguers
https://bit.ly/3cDSMLh)
另外Dan Kantrovitz被挖去Cubs做scouting director(通常升到asst.GM不太会又回去
当scouting director,据说是他想搞scout...) 也是内部影响的因素.
今年bonus pool是跟去年差不多的$5,241,500(
https://atmlb.com/2UldadX)
时间
June 10 7:00 p.m. (ET) 1st round and 1st competitive balance picks
June 11 5:00 p.m. (ET) Rounds 2-5
顺位
1st(29) COMP(8) 2nd(23) COMP(12) 3rd(29) after 4th
#26 #58 #98 #127
没有Revenue sharing也没了Draft Competitive pick
以下老样子以#26为主
20.
Ed Howard HS R/R SS
今年少数的true shortstop, smooth defender, quick hands.
棒子上就比较不确定: good feel to hit, simple swing, line drive contact to all
fields. Tools上是不错但是今年没机会测试他的打击..
https://www.mlb.com/video/2020-draft-ed-howard-ss?t=mlb-draft
21.
Austin Wells L/R C/1B
Bat-first catcher. Simple swing, good bat control and power to all fields.
Plus plate discipline. Concerns about his fringy defense, display more of a
fringy arm, may move to 1B/OF.
Perform well in Cape Cod League. Very young (age 20.334 on draft day)
Draft-eligible sophomore (have leverage to go back to school)
绿帽向来喜欢这种不一定能蹲的捕手,如果available的话有兴趣机率很高..
https://www.mlb.com/video/2020-draft-austin-wells-c?t=mlb-draft
26.
Tanner Burns RHP
92-97 mph fastball, above average slider and changeup, above average command
for all pitches. Questions about his size and durability.
绿帽向来喜欢的型(Sonny Gray,Daulton Jefferies...)但能不能在#26见到是个不小的问
号...
https://www.mlb.com/video/2020-draft-tanner-burns-rhp?t=mlb-draft
29.
Nick Loftin R/R SS
Consistent performer. Average to above average but not plus tools.
Should be able to stay at SS. Versatility(started games at five positions).
Do everything well. Safe bet.
过去绿帽的喜欢型, Logan Davidson的相反物.应该是掉得下来但是如果有其他好物的情况
下最好只是备案...
https://www.mlb.com/video/2020-draft-nick-loftin?t=mlb-draft
37.
Bryce Jarvis RHP
Draft-eligible sophomore last year but went back to school.
New mid-90s fastball (working on pitch design at the Driveline facility,
working on building strength at Cressey Sports Performance
https://bit.ly/3h1ExU4)
Same plus changeup, improved upper 70s curveball, mid-80s slider.
Old (Age 22.166)
没去Cape Cod League去修练大幅提升了stuff,今年只能丢四场无法测试出完整球季是否会
有其他问题,老人比较无法再回学校是比较可以签得下来的选项...
https://www.mlb.com/video/2020-draft-bryce-jarvis-rhp?t=mlb-draft
58.
Clayton Beeter RHP
Draft-eligible sophomore. Up to 98mph fastball.70 or 80 grade hammer power
curveball. Solid slider and changeup.
Very limited track record. Missed 2019 with TJ.
One of the biggest risers.
Stuff看起来是很吸引人,track record却是比Bryce Jarvis还短,完全取决於要不要相信
那四场先发...
https://www.mlb.com/video/2020-draft-clayton-beeter-rhp?t=mlb-draft
Other notable guys:
22.
Cade Cavalli RHP Fastball up to 98 mph, hard, plus slider.
command and deception issues.
24.
Cole Wilcox RHP Could touched 100 mph. Plus slider. Improved
control.听说要top-half-of-first-round asking price..
25.
Carmen Mlodzinski RHP Missed most 2019 season due to a broken
foot, but dominated Cape Cod League. mid-90s fastball, above average slider and
cutter which generates ground balls.
27.
Dillon Dingler R/R C above-average defensive, above-average raw
power, 65 arm
28.
Bobby Miller RHP upper 90s fastball with heavy life, hard slider
Improved command.
30.
Chris McMahon RHP mid 90s fastball, above average slider and
changeup. Higher floor and stronger track record.
32.
Slade Cecconi RHP Plus fastball touches 98mph, plus slider.
Better pure stuff and ceiling.
33.
Jordan Westburg R/R SS power-over-hit, 55 power and speed.
Higher strikeout rate
36.
Justin Foscue 2B/3B above-average hitter, better track records,
higher floor.
Mock
BA:0513/0527/0603 Aaron Sabato/Austin Wells/Ed Howard
MLB.com:0427/0513/0520/0527/0603 Justin Foscue/Bobby Miller/Austin
Wells/Bobby Miller/Chris McMahon
PG:0324/0505/0605 Nick Swiney/Clayton Beeter/Masyn Winn
Keith Law: 0513/0528/0603 Dillon Dingler/Aaron Sabato/Jordan Westburg
ESPN: 0511/0526 Nick Loftin/Nick Loftin
Fangraph:0527 Slade Cecconi
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