这应该会出一系列 分析的还蛮清楚的 也列出FA的选择 出处: http://mvn.com/mlb-astros/2007/10/29/astros-in-the-infield-part-1-chris-burke/ 懒得翻译了 随便抓一些重点 有兴趣的可以去看 他整个来龙去脉写的很清楚 太空人打算明年让Burke守2B Everett守SS Wigginton守3B Tal Smith和Wade重视防守 所以不用预期明年Loretta会先发SS或是2B (作者很宝 他叫大家不要问他 为啥Wigginton防守那麽烂 也是让他先发 XDD) 也要大家不要想Wigginton去守二垒这件事 因为他守二垒烂到让他在三垒像金手套 XDD Burke是01年太空人的状元 他是大学的明星游击手 不过太空人考量他的臂力太差而把他移到二垒 他在04年3A .315/.396/.517 with 35 SB 完全是ready的状态 只是McLane想要留Biggio到完成3000H 但是又舍不得把Burke交易出去 .... ~.~ 因为Biggio在外野守备根本是个灾难 所以Burke就和Scott还有Lane分享上场时间 在被改变守备位置还有不是常态上场的状况下 05年Burke表现的并不好他又被下放到3A 但是正常出赛的状况下他又表现的非常好 在季末又被升回大联盟 (然後在季後赛18局打walk-off XD) 在这种情况下让Astros相信当Burke变成everyday player会表现的很好 (这会不会是误信吧 XD 然後造成太空人的灾难 ) Burke在05年纪後赛弄伤的他的左肩 06年又把他弄伤两次 所以他在06年球季结束动了手术 避免这个伤变成习惯性脱臼 在06年他虽然受了两次伤 但是他中外野的守备表现的非常好 作者甚至怀疑如果他没有受伤Willt-T连个机会都没有 在他先发CF期间 .295/.381/.500 .. 所以太空人认为他07可以代替Willy-T也没啥意外 作者严重怀疑 他肩膀的伤和手术影响到他的打击机制 因为他07年 连回3A也打不好 ... 因为作者不想用小样本安慰自己 Burke明年就要28了 他也没去打winter ball ( 这我也很不爽 一点危机意识都没有 也不打算自我加强 如果真的因为伤是让打击机制跑掉 他就更应该去打winter ball把姿势是调回来) 作者也不想去臆测他明年的成绩 因为去年他也觉得今年宝哥会反弹结果没有 所以他已经没有信心去猜了 XDD 下面是FA的情况 Let’s look at his FA competition: Luis Castillo, age 32. Just finished a 5.75 mill option year. Dude can hit - since he became a full time player in 99, he’s hit right around 300 every year except 01, in which he had a down year. His lifetime averages are .295/.368/.358/.726 (translation - a Mark Loretta singles hitter only 5 years younger). He was a good base stealer when he was much younger, but he’s slowed down a great deal and is caught far too frequently - not even a 70% success rate these past few years. Needless to say, his glove ain’t what it used to be now that he weighs (snicker) 190 - has a ZR of .798 (yikes) and a RF of 4.41 (well, at least Jeff Kent was worse) so let’s say he’s Loretta with a slightly worse glove. Yes, you read that right. 打击完全是Loretta的翻版 是把水枪 所有条件都很像 但是他年轻五岁 但是守备比Loretta更糟糕 (囧 那根本是不会守备 好消息是比Kent好一点 XD) Damion Easley, age 38. Has been a utilityman, IF and OF, for 4 years now and hasn’t exceeded 300 AB since 02. Obviously, he can’t be a full time 2B and as a utility guy, Bruntlett is younger and better. 不是先发二垒手的料 .. 简单的说连Bruntlett都比他好 Marcus Giles, age 29. Just finished a 1 year 3.25 mill contract with the Padres, who have just let him go. I have NO idea what on earth happened to this guy. From 03-05, he hit for average (.312) and power (.480), then had a substantial decrease in those numbers last year with the Braves - his OPS dropped 100 points from .826 to .726, and the Braves chose not to offer arb and waived him. The Padres picked him up, and he was even worse, even away from Petco - .252/.318/.354/.662. I know what conspiracy theorists are saying about, uh, substances, but he fell off 2 years after testing started. I really don’t see the point of substituting Giles for Burke. Giles, by the way, still has a very solid glove - RF of 5.08 and a ZR of .829. 03-05他很棒 但是忽然间就像遇到鬼一样 整个烂掉 他的OPS掉了100 ~.~ 如果说教士是投手球场也不是理由 因为他客场打更糟 不过他的守备还是很有水准 Tadahito Iguchi, age 33. Just finished his 3 year contract and was paid 3.25 mill this year. The White Sox traded him to the Phils when Utley broke his wrist, so at least in the NL, Iguchi played second for a solid month, did VERY well - .304/.361/.462/.803 in 45 games, then was relegated to bench/utility when Utley returned. His ML numbers are solid - .276/.347/.421/.768 (please remember that most second basemen are Iguchis, not Utleys/Biggio ‘97.) He doesn’t GIDP very often, just 6 in 533 PA this year and 7 over 627 PA last year. He strikes out quite a bit, around 110 times a year, walks around 44 times a year and will steal 12-14 bases a year with a 77% success rate. His glove is solid if not golden - RF of 4.85 and ZR .830. I could see signing him - and someone surely give him 3 years. Adam Kennedy, who was expected to produce similar numbers, was given a 3 year 10 mill contract by the Cards last year, so I would expect Iguchi to get a good 4-5 mill a year contract, which is hardly out of line. 打击算不错(Utley和巅峰的Biggio不是天天有的) 他的守备很棒 几乎是金手套等级的 他不太会打双杀打 XD 他预期可以拿到平均4-5M/y的可能为期三年的合约 Mark Loretta, age 36. Finished a 1 year 2.5 mill contract. He’s a good singles hitter, .287/.352/.372/.724 for the year - as we all know, who clearly tired significantly in the second half. Pre ASB, he hit .317/.394/.410/.810 over 243 AB and post ASB, hit .253/.303/.323/.626 over 217 AB. Glove at short simply dreadful. He didn’t play much at second, but the previous year he had a ZR of .805 and a RF of 4.88 and was rated something like 12th of 14 AL second basemen by UZR and Chris Dial (as soon as they post ths year’s data, I will re-post it.) 他明星赛之前明显表现好很多 (是因为年纪大了体能不足吗?) 他的守备是倒数的 Kaz Matsui, age 32. Was supposed to be an Ichiro sort of star when the Mets signed him 4 years ago. Unfortunately, the Big Apple took a bite out of him and the Mets traded him the Rockies at the trade deadline in 06 for some chewing gum, if I remember rightly. The booing had completely screwed him up, and when the Rockies signed him, they sent him to AAA for a few weeks to clear his head, and he seemed to be a new guy when he came back up. Of course, he has the usual extreme Coors splits, so just looking at his away numbers, he hit .249/.303/.333/.638, which is not exactly, uh, good. He almost never walks (around 15 a year), strikes out (around 30 a year) or GIDP (about 2-3 a year). As for his glove, well, he was a SS in Japan and started there when he signed with the Mets. Unfortunately, that was a, uh, disaster, so they switched him to second, which worked a little better, and it was clear that he had been improving when they traded him. He’s been really great since he hit Colorado and had a 5.33 ZR and a .866 RF, which is almost as good as Chase Utley, the top dog. I would guess he will get a 1 year contract somewhere with an option, probably a couple mill a year. I’m not convinced that he is even Tad Iguchi with the bat 他刚到大都会根本是个灾难 不过交易到落矶之後 他到小联盟待一阵子回来就变身了 为了去除Coors的效应 只看他客场的打击成绩 其实很不怎麽样 XD 他几乎不会选保送 但是也不会被三振和打双杀打 守备的部分 以今年去看 他完全不比Utley差 Jose Valentin, age 38. Was a SS for most of his career, didn’t play second until 06, when he was actually used more as a utility guy until the Mets decided that Matsui HAD to go and inserted Valentin into his spot. He was hurt and on the DL since the middle of July, not that he’d been either hitting or fieldoing very well. He’d had a career year in 06, but hadn’t hit over his lifetime OPS of .765 since 2001. Actually, he’s been hurt or played part-time for the past 3 years and I doubt he could be a full time second baseman any more. He’s really a utility guy at his age - we ALREADY have a younger better utility guy, as I said before. 简单的说 他老了 而且有病痛 他现在只能当工具人用 Conclusions? Well, Burke will cost around 500K. Iguchi, the only decent looking ballplayer on the list will cost around 4 mill a year for 3 years and I’m not kidding myself that he’s this great ballplayer. If the Astros waived/traded Burke and signed Iguchi, don’t guess I’d scream as the Willy T luuuuvvvvvers did when their boy got traded. 结论: Burke很便宜 市场上唯一看起来比较好的Iguchi一年要四百万 很难想像太空人现在会把Burke丢到Waive然後签Iguchi XDD So who would I most like to see at second? Bill Hall, that’s who. He’s just a few months older than Burke and is a solid bat who could play second, third or short with a GOOD glove, who has been tossed aside by the Brewers. Hall, like Burke, was put into center, where he didn’t belong, given a very VERY short time in which to excell and once he hurt himself, was relegated to the bench and is MORE than obviously not in the Brewers plans. He’ll be starting the second year of a 4 year 24 mill contract and would cost 4.8 mill next year. In 05 and 06, when he played full time, he hit .280/.331/.530/.870. As for glove, well, he hasn’t played much second since 04 and he doesn’t, uh, fit the defense profile as his RF is 4.84 and his ZR is .804. His numbers had been improving every year, however, and I heard from Brewers fans that Bill works VERY hard to improve himself. I would bet he could be had for 1 young starting pitcher and I would agree to trade pretty much any of the ones we have, as they all look like #4 type guys to me. 交易的话 让作者比较感兴趣的是Bill Hall 他年纪和Bure接近 他原本也是很棒的内野手 但是因为位置问题 被放到外野 他愿意拿现在任何一个四号投手等级的小朋友去换 反正那几个每个长的都很像四号 XDD Anyone who has trade suggestions, let’s hear em - except the ones that go - let’s trade Woody Williams for Chase Utley and we can throw in Borkowski too… 除了拿老无敌去换阿特力的建议 任何交易建议 大家都可以拿出来讨论 XDDDDDD --

※ 发信站: 批踢踢实业坊(ptt.cc) ◆ From: 72.227.16.62 ※ 编辑: FreeFly 来自: 72.227.16.62 (10/31 09:38)