http://hollywoodinsider.ew.com/2009/04/boprev-17again.html Box Office Preview: Zac Efron's '17 Again' aims for No. 1 「回到十七歲」目標第一名 Apr 16, 2009, 06:58 PM | by Joshua Rich Categories: Box Office If you're a tween girl, this weekend at the movies is for you. If you're a regular person, you may want to sit it out. Why? Because the top two films are likely to be Zac Efron's 17 Again and Miley Cyrus' Hannah Montana: The Movie. Sure, grownups/guys will get Jason Statham's Crank sequel and the Russell Crowe thriller State of Play. But the Disney-loving kids will be having most of the fun. Here's how I see things shaping up. 如果你是「吞世代」的女孩，這個禮拜的電影都是為您精心準備的； 如果你是正常人，你可能寧願在家當宅男(女)，為什麼呢？ 因為本週的最有人氣電影獎應該要頒給塞克愛福隆的「回到17歲」與 麥莉希拉的「孟漢娜電影版」。當然，大人們應該會對傑森史塔森的 「快克殺手2」與羅素克洛的驚悚片「絕對陰謀」買單，但是對迪士尼 著迷的小孩們應該是最幸福的觀眾了，以下就看我分析這三天的動態吧！ 1. 17 Again -- $26 million The age-reversal plot is awfully familiar, and so's the star -- to a certain demographic, at least. Thanks to the High School Musical franchise, Efron brings with him legions of fans who should make this movie No. 1, no matter how hackneyed it may seem. (I mean, most kids clamoring to see it weren't even alive when Big came out. Or, practically, 13 Going on 30.) Last fall, High School Musical 3: Senior Year opened to a giant $42 million, after all. The interesting thing to keep an eye on is how well Efron attracts older people to the multiplex. He had a strong, small role in the hit Hairspray a few years ago, and he's been featured on late-night TV and in sexy magazine spreads recently, so grownups know him. But is he as much a draw for them as he is for their children? The answer could determine just how big 17 Again becomes. By some estimates, my prediction here is a bit high, but movies like Hannah Montana have been overperforming at the box office lately, so.... 1.回到17歲－2600萬美金 這種年齡反轉的戲碼不知道已經演了多少次，可以吸引的觀眾也都嘛差不多。 不過多虧「歌舞青春」系列，小艾可以率領一群粉斯讓本片成為第一名，無論 本片會有多老梗，畢竟去年秋天「歌舞青春3」的開映票房是驚人的4200萬 （我猜那些想要去看本片的小孩當湯姆漢克的「飛進未來」推出時應該還沒 出生吧，甚至於珍妮佛嘉娜的「30姑娘一朵花」上映時也還沒從娘胎跑出來吧） 比較值得觀察的有趣點是：小艾如何吸引成人走入電影院。 幾年前他在賣座片「髮膠明星夢」戲份不多卻讓人印象深刻，另外他最近 也成為夜晚節目與性感雜誌的主打人物，所以大人們都知道他了，但是 這是否能化為他們帶小孩去戲院的力量呢？這就要看回到17歲的魅力有 多大了。與其他預測對照下，我的版本好像有點高估，但是最近孟漢娜 電影版已經有讓人刮目相看的票房，所以… 2. Hannah Montana: The Movie -- $15 million It, um, overperformed at the box office last weekend, banking $32.3 mil. So a hefty drop is in store, especially with 17 Again competing for many of the same eyes. Then again, even a sizable decline will leave it with a nice chunk of change. 2.孟漢娜電影版－1500萬美金 這部片上週超乎預期的賺到3230萬，所以本週的跌幅應該會很大，尤其又碰到 觀眾群相同的「回到17歲」。話說回來，雖然本片會大跌，但是收入依然會很 可觀 3. Crank: High Voltage -- $14 million Jason Statham's sequel to the 2006 action flick (which bowed with $10.5 mil and went on to earn $27.8 mil domestically) is the main fresh offering for younger guys, so it should perform well, despite that R rating and moderate screen count. 3.快克殺手2－1400萬美金 傑森史塔森2006年動作片的續集（首映1050萬，美國總票房2780萬）對於年輕人 很有新鮮感，所以雖然有被列為R級與戲院數比較少的不利因素，本片仍然會有 不差的表現 4. Monsters vs. Aliens -- $14 million The 3-D extravaganza has grossed nearly $150 mil in three weeks, and it keeps on truckin'. 4.怪獸大戰外星人－1400萬美金 這部3D奇特作品三週的累積票房將近1.5億，並且持續增加中 5. Fast & Furious -- $12 million With more than $120 mil in its coffers since opening in first position two weeks ago, Vin Diesel's car movie should cruise along fine against all the kid-oriented traffic (and the R-rated Crank). 5.玩命關頭4－1200萬美金 隨著兩週之內1億2千萬票房的入帳，馮迪索的尬車片就算碰到小孩導向的電影也能 「安心上路」了！（還包括R級的快克殺手2） ALSO OPENING WIDE State of Play -- $11 million Like star Russell Crowe's last film, Body of Lies, and the great 2007 spy drama Breach, this newspaper-based political thriller, inspired by a popular BBC miniseries (and set in my hometown of Washington, D.C., no less!), is totally my kind of movie. And, alas, it's totally not the kind of movie that makes much of a dent at the box office these days: Even with Crowe and Leonardo DiCaprio starring, Body of Lies banked just $12.9 mil in its debut last fall, and Breach premiered with a mere $10.5 mil before that. (And the list goes on.) Yes, this film marks the return of Rachel McAdams and, to a lesser extent, Ben Affleck, in high-profile roles, but I fear I'll be sitting in a pretty empty theater when I check out State of Play this weekend. So, how do you rank 'em? 本週其他新片 絕對陰謀－1100萬美金 就跟羅素克洛先前的「謊言對決」與2007年最佳間諜劇情片「雙面特勤」一樣， 這部起源於報紙，改編自BBC受歡迎迷你影集的政治驚悚片，完全就是我的電影 （尤其地點又發生在我的故鄉華盛頓！） 可惜，這種片型在現在的票房市場並不會有好成績，去年秋天的「謊言對決」 雖然有了羅素克洛與李奧納多，首映卻只有1290萬，之前的「雙面特勤」首映 更是只有1050萬（受害者名單持續增加中）。是的，本片的主打點是瑞秋麥登斯 的復出，班艾佛列克也可以加一點分數，但是我很擔心當我看本片時，影廳是 空蕩蕩的 所以，你又會怎樣排名呢？ -- 最初的夢想 最原始的渴望 世新大學 廣播電視電影學系 第十五屆畢業成果展 初，一十五 5/8-11 @ 豪華In89數位影城 http://www.wretch.cc/blog/rtf15th --

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