作者test123 (Schilling = Everything)
看板RedSox
標題PECOTA 的預測
時間Mon Mar 1 18:54:44 2004
再來是 Baseball Prospectus的 PECOTA 系統做的預測，內容可以去下面網址，不
過要錢（Marlins 的部分是免費的）....
http://premium.baseballprospectus.com/pecota/
我一向喜歡看免費的:p 以下的東西是我去各處蒐集拼湊來的，內容並不完整，有
人有詳細資料而且不吝分享的話絕對歡迎:
Team VORP
BOS 383.8
NYA 284.9
TOR 217.4
OAK 292.2
CHA 195.3
(如果不知道什麼是 VORP 的話，他的全文 "Value Over Replacement Player" 應
該說的很清楚了)
勝場預測是 Red Sox - Yankees = 105 - 105
Lineup: OPS VORP
Damon: .282/.351/.421 .772 14.7
Mueller: .275/.352/.423 .775 22.1
Nomar: .310/.360/.505 .865 52.1
Manny: .314/.410/.582 .992 57.1
Ortiz: .278/.361/.533 .894 28.7
Millar: .289/.357/.492 .849 24.6
Varitek: .268/.343/.456 .799 21.0
Nixon: .284/.372/.513 .885 28.5
Bellhorn: .248/.350/.427 .777
Pokey: .242/.299/.351 .650 0.6
Total: 249.4
Starter: IP VORP
Martinez 183 70.0
Schilling 186 55.8
Lowe 161 27.9
Wake 152 26.8
Kim 134 36.9
Total 816 217.4
Bullpen:
Foulke 77 25.0
Williamson 67 14.9
Timlin 61 14.8
Embree 54 11.7
Mendoza 77 11.4
Arroyo 83 15.2
Total 419 93.0
Total 1235 310.4
美聯投手:
Pitcher Team VORP
1. Martinez, Pedro BOS 70.0
2. Vazquez, Javier NYA 61.7
3. Mussina, Mike NYA 56.3
4. Schilling, Curt BOS 55.8
5. Halladay, Roy TOR 48.5
6. Hudson, Tim OAK 45.6
7. Loaiza, Esteban CHA 40.4
8. Brown, Kevin NYA 38.9
9. Colon, Bartolo ANA 37.8
10. Kim, Byung-Hyun BOS 36.9
去 SoSH 搜尋 "PECOTA"，可以看到更多資訊跟討論，包括 PECOTA 對於 Pedro
以及 Nomar未來幾年的預測。
--
This is the Sox. The 2003 Sox. We have a lot of fun with each other.
We're a great team. We pull for each other. No. 1 through 25 on this
roster contributes every night. Even if you're not in the game, we
have guys on the bench helping us out, picking us up.
----Kevin Millar
--
※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc)
◆ From: 140.113.93.6
※ 編輯: test123 來自: 140.113.93.6 (03/06 14:34)