Rating the starter's pitches http://tinyurl.com/37sf8jc I've been too busy this week to write a lenghty post, but I have been able to classify all the Rays starters' pitches for this season. Now my handy database can easily compute metrics like run values and contact rates. Some brief notes after the jump. Pitches Number Pitch rv100 rv Whiff% Contact% OTP% Swing% SLGCON David Price 64 CH 0.36 0.23 3.1% 93.8% 51.6% 50.0% .474 David Price 304 CU 0.17 0.51 7.6% 82.6% 46.4% 43.4% .528 David Price 1039 FF -0.82 -8.48 9.8% 79.4% 47.4% 47.5% .466 David Price 297 FT -1.72 -5.12 9.1% 80.0% 46.1% 45.5% .353 David Price 126 SL -1.79 -2.25 9.5% 78.9% 39.7% 45.2% .345 James Shields 413 CH -1.81 -7.47 22.8% 62.5% 37.0% 60.8% .481 James Shields 219 CU -0.43 -0.94 10.5% 75.8% 41.1% 43.4% .333 James Shields 327 FC 0.13 0.41 5.8% 86.8% 45.9% 44.0% .429 James Shields 574 FF 0.96 5.49 3.5% 92.4% 60.3% 45.8% .720 James Shields 180 FT 5.73 10.32 2.2% 94.6% 42.2% 41.1% .975 James Shields 8 SL -6.16 -0.49 0.0% 100.0% 75.0% 75.0% .200 Jeff Niemann 217 CU 0.62 1.34 12.0% 67.5% 40.6% 36.9% .667 Jeff Niemann 196 FC 0.19 0.37 9.2% 77.5% 46.9% 40.8% .537 Jeff Niemann 507 FF -1.09 -5.55 4.3% 88.5% 50.1% 37.7% .410 Jeff Niemann 158 FS 0.40 0.63 17.1% 72.2% 36.7% 61.4% .579 Jeff Niemann 489 FT -2.57 -12.58 5.9% 89.1% 51.5% 54.6% .346 Jeff Niemann 7 SL -8.76 -0.61 14.3% 80.0% 71.4% 71.4% .000 Matt Garza 87 CH 1.58 1.37 10.3% 67.9% 34.5% 32.2% .545 Matt Garza 153 CU 0.90 1.38 6.5% 76.2% 35.9% 27.5% .529 Matt Garza 814 FF -0.87 -7.07 5.3% 88.6% 48.0% 46.2% .467 Matt Garza 414 FT 1.14 4.72 5.1% 88.3% 39.1% 43.2% .548 Matt Garza 288 SL 1.23 3.53 18.4% 65.8% 37.8% 54.9% .738 Wade Davis 64 CH 5.24 3.36 3.1% 93.1% 31.3% 45.3% .750 Wade Davis 199 CU -0.10 -0.21 5.0% 87.2% 49.7% 39.2% .419 Wade Davis 893 FF 0.19 1.74 4.7% 89.9% 49.7% 46.4% .603 Wade Davis 214 FT 0.83 1.77 7.5% 84.0% 35.5% 46.7% .571 Wade Davis 171 SL 0.54 0.92 9.9% 78.2% 35.1% 45.6% .452 *Definitions at the end of the post. **If you cannot see the full chart, click the "Wide" screen option on the right. Brief Notes: ‧Wade Davis's best pitch is his curve which he appropriately uses more than his slider. ‧Remember my article on David Price's slider for the DRB annual? Price has toned downed the usage but it has been much better than it was last season. ‧Yes, Jeff Niemann does throw a cutter, it is just a slow cutter (like Cliff Lee). But his two seamer isn't slow. Niemann can throw it harder on average than his four seam fastball. ‧Garza isn't having a good year. His slider is getting the whiffs if it isn't getting beat hard by opposing hitters (look at the SLGCON). Notice anything else interesting? Want to know something else? Comment away. 小結: *Davis最好的球種是曲球，投的數量也比滑球多。 *Price雖然把滑球的數量降低，但效果比去年更好。 *Niemann有一顆慢速卡特(FU)。他的2縫快速球(FT)不慢，可以比平常四縫速球多投點。 *Garza今年很悲情，滑球很讚，但是卻會被打出去。(其實SLGON我不太懂...) Definitions: rv100 (run values per 100 pitches, negative good). rv (run values, negative good), whiff% (swinging strikes divided by total pitches, the higher the better), contact% (fouls and fair balls divided by total swings), OTP% (pitches over a 20 inch wide plate divided by total pitches), swing% (swings divided by total pitches), SLGCON (total bases divided by fair balls). P.S. Shields的變速真是極品。 --

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