Philadelphia Phillies Top 20 Prospects for 2011 by John Sickels on Jan 2, 2011 12:00 AM EST 1) Domonic Brown, OF, Grade A: He may have some adjustment pains, but I believe in him. He's come a long way from being unable to hit rookie ball pitching. 2) Jonathan Singleton, 1B, Grade B+: Concern over poor second half splits kept me from going with the A-, but I do like him a lot. Can he adjust to the outfield? How will bat play in Florida State League? 3) Brody Colvin, RHP, Grade B+: Best of the hard-throwing high school pitcher cadre the Phillies have gathered recently. 4) Jarred Cosart, RHP, Grade B: Borderline B+, would get the higher grade but I'm concerned about his durability given elbow soreness. 5) Trevor May, RHP, Grade B: Like Cosart, I considered higher grade due to his incredible dominance potential, but in his case command issues cost him a notch. 6) Jesse Biddle, LHP, Grade B: One of my favorite players from the '10 draft class, power-armed lefty and a local talent to boot. 7) Sebastian Valle, C, Grade C+: He has intriguing defense and power combination, but strike zone judgment needs a lot of work. 8) Domingo Santana, OF, Grade C+: Very, very young for his levels last year. Quite toolsy, will need more development time. 9) Vance Worley, RHP, Grade C+: Should be a competent fourth starter. Doesn't have the ceiling of some of the guys below, but a much safer bet to make it. 10) Julio Rodriguez, RHP, Grade C+: Sleeper prospect, great numbers and late season scouting reports indicate velocity increase. 11) Cesar Hernandez, 2B, Grade C+: Excellent speed and defense in the difficult-to-hit-in New York-Penn League. I think he is overlooked. 12) Justin De Fratus, RHP, Grade C+: At worst a very good reliever, and I think there is a chance he could close eventually. 13) Josh Zeid, RHP, Grade C+: Was a bit old for the Sally League, but numbers are excellent, scouting reports are good, and he pitched well in Arizona Fall League. I think he is underrated by other sources. 14) J.C. Ramirez, RHP, Grade C+: Great arm, still working on learning how to pitch. 15) Perci Garner, RHP, Grade C+: Raw for a college pitcher, but I like his ceiling. 16) Austin Hyatt, RHP, Grade C+: Borderline C, Changeup artist could be fifth starter or useful bullpen asset within the next year. 17) Jiwan James, OF, Grade C: Borderline C+, Yes, Yes, I know all about his tools, and I actually like him. But he didn't make much progress turning those tools into skills in 2010. On upside-only he would rank in the top ten, but I don't grade just on upside. Performance counts too. 18) Aaron Altherr, OF, Grade C: Borderline C+, Like James, he's got excellent tools, and like James he would in the top ten on tools alone. But my ratings are a combination of tools and skills, and his skills are still quite raw. 19) Leandro Castro, OF, Grade C: See James and Altherr. 20) Matt Rizzotti, 1B, Grade C: Flipside of the last three prospects. Rizzotti can hit, but is limited defensively and blocked in Philadelphia. OTHERS OF NOTE: Phillippe Aumont, RHP; Drew Carpenter, RHP; Zach Collier, OF; Kelly Dugan, OF; Gauntlett Eldemire, OF; Freddy Galvis, SS; Harold Garcia, 2B; Tyson Gillies, OF; Mario Hollands, LHP; Bryan Morgado, LHP; Jonathan Musser, RHP; Jon Pettibone, RHP; Brian Pointer, OF; Cameron Rupp, C; Michael Schwimer, RHP; Kevin Walter, RHP; Matt Way, LHP. I expect the first six or seven slots here won't be controversial at all. There is broad industry consensus on the top levels of the Phillies system. Brown is outstanding and the perfect model of how the Phillies want their tools guys to develop. Singleton was great this year, then you have the group of impressive young pitching prospects. I think Colvin is the best of the group, but all of them have the talent to rank number one on this list a year from now. Then it gets weird. The Phillies have a large mass of raw tools guys: James, Santana, Altherr, Castro, plus Collier, Dugan, Eldemire, and Pointer. They have unrefined power arms like Ramirez and Garner. They also have several polished pitchers with excellent performance records but less praise from scouts, but who could help in the majors sooner than the raw tools guys. On tools and upside alone, the athletes would rank ahead of the skill players. But history shows that most of the raw tools guys are going to fail, or at least not live up to their potential. Domonic Brown is the exception, not the rule. I don't grade on just upside; my philosophy is that I look at both tools and skills, future potential and current performance. Sometimes my opinion will come down on one side of that divide, sometimes another. --

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