http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=8633 Future Shock Organizational Rankings, Part 2 by Kevin Goldstein 1. Oakland Athletics Last Year's Ranking: 2 Why They Might Be Better Than This: Their Triple-A rotation, led by Trevor Cahill and Brett Anderson, could be better than some big-league rotations; Michael Ynoa is the best Latin American prospect of the decade; 2008 draftees Jemile Weeks and Rashun Dixon bring much-needed tools to an advanced group of hitters. Why They Might Be Worse: Ynoa has yet to pitch in a pro game; expected to be the fifth starter, lefty Gio Gonzalez might fit better in the bullpen; there is plenty of debate among scouts concerning the ceilings of hitters like Aaron Cunningham and Sean Doolittle. Outlook For 2010: Could depend as much on how well the big-league team does during the first half of the season as anything else, as the second half is either spent gunning for a post-season spot or the beginning of a rebuilding mode, which could mean that a number of players will lose their prospect status going into 2010. 2. Texas Rangers Last Year's Ranking: 3 Why They Might Be Better Than This: A collection of pitching that is borderline embarrassing-good, because beyond more advanced studs like Neftali Feliz and Derek Holland they had the best Low-A staff in baseball last season, and they will again this year with, with a new cast of characters no less; Justin Smoak could be the steal of the 2008 draft; Engel Beltre's tools rank with anyone's. Why They Might Be Worse: The position players fall a bit short, mostly due to a poor approach; Beltre, shortstop Elvis Andrus, and outfielder Julio Borbon all need to develop more patience to reach their potential; 2007 first-round pick Blake Beavan needs to rebound from a loss of velocity; catcher Taylor Teagarden's scouting reports range from big-league regular to simply "can't hit." Outlook For 2010: Much depends on the years that Feliz and Holland have, and if they lose prospect eligibility, the system will obviously slip a bit; nonetheless they have enough depth to stay near or at the top. 3. Tampa Bay Rays Last Year's Ranking: 1 Why They Might Be Better Than This: You all saw in the postseason what David Price is capable of; with the first pick in the draft, they added a possible impact shortstop in Tim Beckham; Desmond Jennings comes back from a season lost season to injury and still has one of the best packages of tools in the game; just when you thought they were running out of pitchers, along come Matt Moore and Nick Barnese, with over-slot 2008 signee Kyle Lobstein not far behind. Why They Might Be Worse: Tim Beckham's performance in his debut was significantly below expectations, and a cause for some concern; Reid Brignac's bat has gone consistently backward as he's moved up; Jeremy Hellickson's numbers are more impressive than his scouting reports. Outlook For 2010: Certainly down, as Price graduates, and after years of selecting at or near the top in every draft, they'll select 30th this coming June. 4. Atlanta Braves Last Year's Ranking: 8 Why They Might Be Better Than This: Jason Heyward and Tommy Hanson are the top hitting and pitching prospect pair in all of baseball; Jordan Schafer is looking nearly big-league ready this spring; the system has dozens of intriguing young arms. Why They Might Be Worse: Gorkys Hernandez needs to rebound following a second-half slide and a hamstring injury; after Hanson and Schafer, the remaining prospects will require patience, so there's plenty of time for things to go wrong. Outlook For 2010: Hanson and Schafer could be gone, but the Braves select seventh this June, their highest selection in the draft since 1991; they'll likely slip, but only a bit. 5. Florida Marlins Last Year's Ranking: 21 Why They Might Be Better Than This: With Cameron Maybin, Michael Stanton, and Matt Dominguez, the organization has three five-star position prospects, and many believe that Logan Morrison should be the fourth; Kyle Skipworth is unfairly downgraded by a tough pro debut; left-handed behemoth Sean West is a favorite sleeper among scouts. Why They Might Be Worse: Stanton strikes out too much, and both he and Dominguez played in excellent hitter parks last year; the pitching offers no certainty, especially as far as starting pitchers; the depth is below average. Outlook For 2010: Maybin is certainly gone, and it's hard enough to move up from fifth overall as it is; a slip is expected, but the Marlins should remain in the upper half. --

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