※ 引述《alwaysblue (什麼樣的生日....)》之銘言： : 　　The great debate on CMW continues 又有人爆料了 http://www.baseballthinkfactory.org/files/newsstand/discussion/lohud_abraham_the_great_debate_on_chien_ming_wang_continues/ : 　　Here is an e-mail I just received. It was, of course, anonymous: 24. Reno Posted: December 13, 2007 at 10:51 AM (#2643706) I'm the one who sent the "anonymous" e-mail (it was from my Gmail account, so not sure why it was anonymous) to Abraham, and he conveniently edited out the main reason for my e-mail. In his previous post, he argued that Wang compared favorably to Beckett because their ERA and W-L were similar last year. The first sentence in my e-mail, which he removed, was that he would be better off using K/9, BB/9, HR/9, etc. when comparing two pitchers. The rest was just to show why I didn't think they were comparable. 這應該比較算自爆吧 : 　　 : 　　Wang doesn’t strike anyone out and depends on the ridiculous number of : 　　groundballs he’s able to create being turned into outs. This is not a : 　　reliable strategy that will produce consistent results over a career. : 　　It is working in the short term, but as Bill James as pointed out in the : 　　past, no pitcher with a K/9 below the league average has gone on to have : 　　a meaningful career. He’s in no way in the same class as someone like : 　　Beckett and is most definitely not an ace. Unless he develops a legit : 　　strikeout pitch there will always be the risk that the groundballs get : 　　through and he’ll have bad starts. He can’t be counted on in the : 　　playoffs. : 　　So, the 417.1 innings Wang has pitched the last two seasons are a : 　　short-term mirage. His going 38-13 is a sign of not having a reliable : 　　strategy. But the 5.2 poor innings he had in the playoffs, those are a : 　　sign that he can’t be counted on. : 　　I think I got my first Bill James report in 1988 and I just received his : 　　2008 Handbook in the mail. His approach is endlessly fascinating. But : 　　when the statheads like my anonymous friend leave no room for humanity is : 　　where they lose me. : 　　Wang has made only 80 starts in his career, most with two pitches. I’ve : 　　stood there and watched him work on other pitches in the bullpen. I’ve : 　　talked to him at length about it. He knows people sit on his sinker. Did : 　　you know that his slider was his best pitch in college but the Yankees had : 　　him dump it when he had shoulder issues? Now he’s healthy and he’s : 　　working on it again. He also is doing a lot of work on a changeup. : 　　This guy shows up every five days, he pitches deep into games and he has : 　　handled almost every big-game assignment with aplomb. Why people insist : 　　on running him down remains a mystery to me. : 　　———— : 　　A few of my Taiwanese friends have told me that the blog is getting some : 　　play in Taiwan tonight. So hello to you guys and thanks for reading. : 　　News source：http://0rz.tw/f13ox : 　　翻譯：http://0rz.tw/833rs --

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