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課程名稱︰機率導論 課程性質︰必修 課程教師︰張志中 開課學院:理學院 開課系所︰數學系 考試日期(年月日)︰108/5/2 考試時限(分鐘):110分鐘 試題 : 1.(5+10+5=20 points) Let S and T be independent and absolutely continuous random variables with density functions f and f , respectively. Let Z = S+T. S T (a) Show that f (z|s)=f (z-s). Z|S T (b) Assume that S and T are exponentially distributed with parameter λ>0. Find/Recognize the conditional density f (s|z) of S, given Z=z. S|Z (c) Evaluate E[S|Z]. 2.(8+6+6=20 points) Let X, Y be independent random variables having exponential distribution with common parameter λ>0. Put U=X+y, V=X/(X+Y). (a) Find the joint density f of(U, V). U,V (b) Find/Recognize the individual probability laws of U and V, respectively. Use the Table in Question 5 if necessary. Determine if U and V independent or not. (c)Evaluate E[X|V], and then E[Y|V]. X Hint: First consider E[X|V=v]=v E[—|V=v]. Use the Table in Question 5 if v necessary. 3. (10+8+12=30 points) Let R , ..., R be independent absolutely continuous 1 n random variables with common distribution function F and density f. Let T , ..., 1 T be the order statistics of R , ..., R such that T <T <...<T a.s. 1 n 1 2 n (a) Find the joint distribution and density functions of (T , T -T ). n-1 n n-1 (b)Find the (individual) density functions of T and T -T , respectively. n-1 n n-1 *註1 (c)Now suppose that R , R , ..., R are independent exponentially distributed 1 2 n random variables with parameter λ>0. (i) Write the answers of (a) and (b) explicitly, and determine if T and n-1 T -T are independent or not. n n-1 (ii)Evaluate E[T |T ]. n n-1 *註2 4.(10*3=30 points) Fix a random variable R defined on a probability space (Ω, F, P) and a Borel set A∈B(E) which has positive Lebesgue measure. Let 1 (R) A be the random function that 1 (R)(ω)∈A, and 0 otherwise. Here E is the set A of real numbers. Assume that P{ω:R(ω)∈A}=α > 0. (a) Explain why 1 (R) is a random variable, and describe the σ-field σ(1 (R)) A A generated by 1 (R). A (b) Let R , R , ... be a sequence of independent and identically distributed 1 2 random variables such that each R has the same distribution as R. j Let Y =exp(1 (R )), j=1, 2, .... It is clear that Y , Y , ... are random j A j 1 2 variables, and are independent and identically distributed. Prove, by 1 direct computation, that —(Y +...+Y ) converges to some limit m∈E in L as n 2 n→∞. Determine the limit m. (c) Apply appropriate inequalities to conclude from (b) that the convergence also holds in L and in probability as n→∞. 1 5.(2*10=20 points)填表題,要填常見的distribution的density function、mean和 variance。印象中有exponential、Normal、Binomial、Poisson,然後Gamma直接給了。 *註1:解答裡沒有把積分展開 *註2:(c)的(ii),原題為「Evaluate E[T |T ]」,所以送了6分 n-1 n --



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