0-for-7: Which new NFL coach will break through in Week 2? https://es.pn/2NPimou 原文作者︰ESPN Seven head coaches were fired last season and seven new ones took their places in 2018. What are they learning? It’s not easy to win in the National Football League. Matt Nagy, Mike Vrabel, Jon Gruden, Frank Reich, Pat Shurmur, Matt Patricia and Steve Wilks all lost their debuts. 上週NFL有一個受到圈內人士與不少球迷會關注的話題，那就是七支更換總教練的球隊， 在開幕戰全部吃了敗仗，這其中還包括Jon Gruden這樣的明星級教練。 ESPN編輯組甚至用一句帶玩笑的口吻帶出引言︰這些教練應該從開幕周學到了一件事 —要在NFL贏球並不是一件容易的事情。 According to Elias Sports Bureau research, it was only the fourth time since the 1970 AFL-NFL merger that no team with a new head coach won its first game: 0-4 in 1974, 0-4 in 1986, 0-6 in 2001. 根據知名體育數據公司艾利亞斯(Elias)體育調查局的資料顯示︰今年只是NFL與AFL合 併後，第四次發生這種新上任教練首戰全吃敗仗的狀況，前三次分別為1974年(4位)、 1986年(也是4位)，以及2001年(這次比較多，有6位)。 Will we see a winner in Week 2? Here’s a closer look. 我們能在今天從這七人中看到球賽的贏家嗎？以下是ESPN記者群的分析 註︰由於文章長度關係，以下文章只簡單列出摘要版，文章詳情請點選原文 段落的第一行(有上黃字)為教練的姓名與球隊，第二行是開幕周輸球的球隊與比數， 第三行是第二周將面對的對手(包括上週戰績)， 第四行是ESPN研發式足實力指數(Football Power Index)推估的贏球比例 Jon Gruden, Oakland Raiders Week 1: Lost 33-13 to Rams Week 2 opponent: at Denver (1-0) FPI chance to win: 36.2 percent Matt Nagy, Chicago Bears Week 1: Lost 24-23 to Packers Week 2 opponent: vs. Seattle (0-1) FPI chance to win: 57.8 percent Matt Patricia, Detroit Lions Week 1: Lost 48-17 to Jets Week 2 opponent: at San Francisco (0-1) FPI chance to win: 25.4 percent Frank Reich, Indianapolis Colts Week 1: Lost 34-23 to Bengals Week 2 opponent: at Washington (1-0) FPI chance to win: 29.8 percent Pat Shurmur, New York Giants Week 1: Lost 20-15 to Jaguars Week 2 opponent: at Dallas (0-1) FPI chance to win: 28.5 percent Mike Vrabel, Tennessee Titans Week 1: Lost 27-20 to Dolphins Week 2 opponent: vs. Houston (0-1) FPI chance to win: 50.4 percent Steve Wilks, Arizona Cardinals Week 1: Lost 24-6 to Redskins Week 2 opponent: at L.A. Rams (1-0) FPI chance to win: 14.4 percent ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 心得︰感覺巨人被偏低估，阿熊與泰坦有偏高估的嫌疑 泰坦是因為本身有不少傷兵，而且德州人實力也不會跟泰坦差太多， 至於阿熊那一塊也要考量海鷹的狀況，海鷹是氣勢不如往年沒錯， 但畢竟還有Pete Carroll與Russell Wilsony在，而且海鷹上一場也只輸三分 雖然不是完全同意記者的預測，但還是貼上來跟大家分享帶來後續的討論 --

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