羅森博格：普丁與川普在一週內震撼世界 BBC： 2025年2月19日 當美國記者約翰·里德撰寫1917年俄國革命的親歷記錄時，他以《震撼世界的十天》為書名 。 但對於唐納·川普和弗拉基米爾·普丁來說，十天太長了。他們只用了一週就掀起波瀾。 這一切始於2月12日的普丁-川普通話，兩位總統承諾重啟雙邊關係。 接著是慕尼黑安全會議，歐美關係出現裂痕。 下一站是沙烏地阿拉伯，俄美官員舉行會談——這是克里姆林宮全面入侵烏克蘭以來，兩國 的首次高層面對面接觸。 這一週顛覆了傳統聯盟，讓歐洲和烏克蘭措手不及，激起對歐洲安全的擔憂，並讓俄羅斯達 成其戰略目標：無須做出任何讓步，便再次登上全球政治舞台的核心位置。 週三早晨，俄羅斯各大報紙的頭版皆刊登了一張照片：俄美高層官員在利雅德的談判桌前對 峙。 克里姆林宮希望讓俄羅斯民眾與國際社會看到，西方試圖以烏克蘭戰爭孤立俄羅斯的努力已 經失敗。 俄羅斯媒體對與華府關係回暖的可能性表示歡迎，並對歐洲領導人與基輔冷嘲熱諷。 「川普明白，他必須向俄羅斯讓步，因為他在與烏克蘭戰場上的勝利方談判，」親克里姆林 宮的小報《莫斯科共青團員報》寫道，「他會讓步，不是以美國為代價，而是以歐洲和烏克 蘭為代價。」 「歐洲長久以來自以為是文明世界的伊甸園，如今卻發現自己早已丟盔棄甲……而它的老朋 友——大西洋彼岸的美國，現在正好點破這一點……」 然而，在莫斯科街頭，人們並沒有表現出這種幸災樂禍的情緒。 相反，他們正觀望，看看川普是否真的會成為俄羅斯的新朋友，以及他是否能終結烏克蘭戰 爭。 「川普是個商人，他只關心賺錢，」納傑日達告訴我，「我不認為事情會有什麼不同，因為 改變現狀需要做的事情太多了。」 「也許這次沙烏地的會談會有所幫助，」格奧爾基說，「是時候停止敵對了。」 「川普很積極，他充滿活力，但他真的會有所行動嗎？」伊琳娜疑惑道。 「我們希望這次談判能帶來和平，這是第一步。也許這將有助於我們的經濟，因為食品和其 他商品價格一直在上漲，這部分是由於特別軍事行動（即烏克蘭戰爭）和整體國際局勢。」 普丁與川普已經通話，他們的團隊在沙烏地阿拉伯會晤，一場總統峰會即將到來。 但就在幾天前，《莫斯科共青團員報》試圖想像上週兩位領導人通話的內容，寫出了這樣一 個對話場景： 「川普打電話給普丁。 『弗拉基米爾！你有個很酷的國家，我有個很酷的國家。我們來分割世界吧？』 『我一直都這麼說！來做吧！……』」 這是幻想嗎？我們拭目以待。 原文： Rosenberg: How Putin and Trump shook up the world in a week BBC: 19 February 2025 When he penned his eyewitness account of the 1917 Russian Revolution, American j ournalist John Reed famously titled it Ten Days That Shook The World. But 10 days is too long for Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin. They've shaken thin gs up in a week. It began with the Putin-Trump telephone conversation on 12 February and their pr esidential pledges to kickstart relations. It continued with the Munich Security Conference and a schism between Europe and America. Next stop Saudi Arabia for the Russia-US talks: the first high-level in-person c ontacts between the two countries since the Kremlin's full-scale invasion of Ukr aine. It is a week that has upended traditional alliances, left Europe and Ukraine scr ambling to respond, raised fears for European security and put Russia where it w ants to be: at the top table of global politics, without having made any concess ions to get there. One image dominates Wednesday morning's Russian newspapers: senior Russian and A merican officials at the negotiating table in Riyadh. The Kremlin wants the Russian public and the international community to see that Western efforts to isolate Russia over the war in Ukraine have failed. Russian media are welcoming the prospect of warmer ties with Washington and pour ing scorn on European leaders and Kyiv. "Trump knows he will have to make concessions [to Russia] because he is negotiat ing with the side that's winning in Ukraine," writes pro-Kremlin tabloid Moskovs ky Komsomolets. "He will make concessions. Not at America's expense, but at the expense of Europe and Ukraine. "For so long Europe had gone around all puffed up, thinking of itself as the civ ilised world and as a Garden of Eden. It failed to notice it had lost its trouse rs… now its old comrade across the Atlantic has pointed that out…" On the streets of Moscow I don't detect that level of gloating. Instead, people are watching and waiting to see whether Trump will really turn o ut to be Russia's new best friend and whether he can bring an end to the war in Ukraine. "Trump is a businessman. He's only interested in making money," Nadezhda tells m e. "I don't think things will be any different. There's too much that needs to b e done to change the situation." "Perhaps those talks [in Saudi Arabia] will help," says Giorgi. "It's high time we stopped being enemies." "Trump is active. He's energetic. But will he do anything?" wonders Irina. "We dream that these negotiations will bring peace. It's a first step. And maybe this will help our economy. Food and other goods keep going up in price here. T hat's partly because of the special military operation [the war in Ukraine] and the general international situation." Putin and Trump have spoken on the phone; their two teams have met in Saudi Arab ia; a presidential summit is expected soon. But a few days ago the newspaper Moskovsky Komsomolets tried to imagine what the two leaders had said to each other during last week's phone call. They came up with this rendition: "Trump called Putin. 'Vladimir! You've got a cool country and I've got a cool country. Shall we go an d divide up the world?' 'What have I been saying all along? Let's do it!…." Make-believe? We'll see. 心得：Rosenberg是BBC駐俄記者，我很愛看Rosenberg 的分析，特別是他勇於記者會時挑戰 普丁的權威。Rosenberg 這次滿幽默的，但是假如幽默的發生了，其實是很恐怖的 --

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