作者going70 (心靜止水)
看板IA
標題[轉錄]Re: [討論] 替緬甸風災的災民集氣吧
時間Wed May 14 09:06:13 2008
※ [本文轉錄自 Gossiping 看板]
作者: Morbert () 站內: Gossiping
標題: Re: [討論] 替緬甸風災的災民集氣吧
時間: Wed May 14 06:22:04 2008
真的要集氣了....
凌晨兩點北印度洋有新熱帶低壓(96B)形成，
而且有機會快速增強為今年北印度洋第二個氣旋(氣旋=颱風，地區不同稱號也不一樣)
不過，這個編號９６Ｂ的熱帶低壓目前中心剛登陸伊洛瓦底江三角洲，
沒錯，就是上一個氣旋釀災的地點.....
所以那邊現在應該正在狂風暴雨＠＠
以下附上JTWC的預報...
http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/atcf_web/image_archives/2008/io962008.08051318.gif
路徑圖..
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT//RMKS/
1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN
150 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16.5N 96.1E TO 19.4N 92.1E
WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY
ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME.
WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IM-
AGERY AT 131800Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED
NEAR 16.7N 95.7E. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 06
KNOTS.
2. REMARKS:
RECENT ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 121210Z SSMI
MICROWAVE IMAGE INDICATE PRONOUNCED LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC TURNING
OF CONVECTION AT THE WESTERN END OF THE MONSOON TROUGH. HOWEVER,
MORE RECENTLY, CONVECTION HAS WANED SOMEWHAT IN RESPONSE TO LAND
INTERACTION.
THE CIRCULATION CENTER IS CURRENTLY TRANSITING
GENERALLY NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS THE YANGON DELTA REGION OF MYANMAR.
OBSERVATIONS FROM YANGON AS OF 131300Z, SUPPORT A 25 TO 30 KNOT
CIRCULATION WITH SEA LEVEL PRESSURES NEAR 1000 MB (3 MB PRESSURE
FALLS OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS) AND SUSTAINED WINDS AT 10 KNOTS
GUSTING TO 20 KNOTS OUT OF THE NORTHEAST. A PARTIAL 130301Z ASCAT
IMAGE ALSO INDICATES STRONG WESTERLIES TO THE SOUTH OF THE
CENTER WITH SUSTAINED EASTERLIES TO THE NORTH, FURTHER PROOF OF
CYCLONIC TURNING. THE CENTER CURRENTLY LIES UNDER LOW VERTICAL
WIND SHEAR JUST SOUTH OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS WITH FAVOR-
ABLE SOUTHWESTERLY DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. THOUGH
THE DISTURBANCE IS
CURRENTLY OVER LAND, MINIMAL DEGRADATION OF THE LOW LEVEL IS
EXPECTED DUE TO THE LOW LYING TOPOGRAPHY AND FAIRLY QUICK TRANSIT
OVER THE LOW-LYING COASTAL REGION OF SOUTHERN MYANMAR. EMERGENCE
INTO THE BAY OF BENGAL IS EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 18 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS.
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1000 MB. THE
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD WITH THE ONLY LIMITATION BEING
TEMPORARY LAND INTERACTION.
3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED
BY 142030Z.//
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◆ From: 140.122.150.245
1F：推 manphage:天啊 05/14 06:22
※ 編輯: Morbert 來自: 140.122.150.245 (05/14 06:23)
2F：推 liberating:囧 05/14 06:24
3F：推 littlexian:囧.... 吹翻軍政府!!! 05/14 06:29
4F：推 Darius1979:拜託.. 去吹暴虐的政府吧 幹嘛對人民動手 05/14 06:42
5F：推 Jasy:風應該不大 可是雨呢? 05/14 06:46
6F：推 kidd0601:祈禱 05/14 06:51
7F：→ clouddff7:不知道軍政府那批人的房子在哪裡...快去吹爆他們 05/14 07:01
8F：推 kuwawa:希望去救難的人不要出事 05/14 07:02
9F：推 KYOUKA:囧！吹倒軍政府！！！ 05/14 07:13
10F：推 doyourselff:囧 祈福吧> < 05/14 07:30
11F：推 waternoer:祈福吧 05/14 07:33
12F：推 mikey2:鼓勵美帝進攻緬甸，救助苦難的人民 05/14 07:33
13F：推 jadelin:天啊…緬甸現在已經很慘了…… 05/14 07:41
14F：推 clouddff7:軍政府竟然還以公投要脅災民,不投就不給救援物資,缺德 05/14 07:44
15F：推 JSD:地球反撲了 05/14 07:50
16F：推 wangchunyen:進攻緬甸吧!!! 05/14 07:54
17F：→ hyde2002:可不可以跳過災民的住家,直接去把軍政府吹走啊...冏 05/14 07:54
18F：→ rave760422:天災不斷 美帝快消耗過期飛彈吧 05/14 07:54
19F：推 Kamelie:賽! 05/14 07:54
20F：→ yuri533:我只想說 人類真的很渺小 05/14 08:00
21F：推 kalabecha:我開始希望真有藍波部隊出現了@@ 05/14 08:11
22F：推 YTsungL:不把軍政府幹爆捐再多物資都一樣...快點出手啊, 世界警察 05/14 08:12
23F：→ login: 美軍該出場啦 殺爆軍政府 05/14 08:19
24F：推 AGIknight:! 05/14 08:25
25F：推 smalltwo:混蛋軍政府.現在不打垮更待何時 05/14 08:26
26F：推 fireflyyen:災民快革命吧 囧 橫豎都是死路一條… 05/14 08:31
27F：推 clouddff7:美帝:有批藍波好便宜的,有需要打這個電話 05/14 08:34
28F：推 tomwdc:吹倒軍政府！ 05/14 08:34
29F：推 searoar:這不會是最後一個... 05/14 08:42
30F：推 tokyo730714:可憐 如果四川是人間煉獄 緬甸就是超級人間煉獄 05/14 08:45
31F：→ query:祈福吧 Orz 05/14 08:45
32F：推 foreveru:我猜 其實現在北韓應該也有一些天災才對 05/14 09:05
33F：推 going70:借我轉IA 05/14 09:06
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◆ From: 60.248.194.238
34F：推 NPLNT:不... 希望不要再擴大災情了 05/14 09:07
35F：推 OmegaWind:媽呀...再來一個就太糟了 05/14 09:14
36F：推 simmon989:推改變路徑 吹翻軍政府 05/14 13:49