作者jdtrue (練習微笑每一次)
看板FBaseball
標題[文章] Mauer Power
時間Sat May 23 21:44:40 2009
Mauer Power
by Dave Cameron - 5/22/2009 (from fangraph,有興趣可以自己去找來源)
Joe Mauer has been one of the best hitters in the game for years. He owns a
career .321 batting average and has walked more than he has struck out each
year since 2006. His remarkable bat control has made him one of the game's
most valuable players, but questions about his lack of power have always
followed him. Listed at 6'5 and 230 pounds, Mauer has the frame of a guy who
should be able to drive the ball, but he's never hit more than 13 home runs
in a season. A compact, level swing and an opposite field approach have led
him to develop into a really good singles hitter with gap power - until this
year, anyway.
Since returning from the disabled list, Mauer has slugged eight home runs in
86 plate appearances. His next home run will tie his 2008 season total, and
he's 547 plate appearances away from matching his opportunities from last
year. When you see a 26-year-old show a huge power spike like this, the
natural assumption is that he's finally learned to turn on the ball, and is
starting to tap into his natural pull power.
The problem, however, is that it's not true. Here's his home run chart for
2009, via Hit Tracker Online:
http://0rz.tw/qmL04
Of the seven home runs that Hit Tracker has the data for (they're still
working on last night's shot, I'm sure), five of them have been to the
opposite field and two have been to dead center. The grand slam he hit
yesterday against the White Sox was to nearly the same spot where he has hit
all his other home runs. He has yet to pull the ball over the wall this
season.
Now, opposite field home runs are great. Having a guy who can take a pitch on
the outer half of the plate and deposit it over the wall drives pitchers
nuts, and there's no good way to pitch to a guy like Mauer. However, if we
were looking for evidence that Mauer's power surge in May has been caused by
a significant shift in his abilities, we'd be more apt to give credence to
the long ball barrage if it hadn't been built on series of just enough shots
to left center field.
Mauer's a great hitter, and he's having a great month. There's probably some
real power growth being displayed as he's muscling balls over the wall in
left field, but if he ever wants to be a 30+ home run guy, he's going to have
to pull the ball with some authority, and he's not doing that right now.
I love Joe Mauer as a player, but if you were thinking that he's showing
signs of becoming one of the game's elite sluggers, I don't think it's in the
cards. He's a fantastic hitter, but I wouldn't count on seeing too many more
months like this any time soon.
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1F:推 OoyaoO:不管怎麼打 鐵定超過去年了 我很樂觀的 15支UP 05/23 21:50
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