作者gorhow (☑一日牛迷)
看板Dodgers
標題Re: [外電] Maddux交易的評論...
時間Mon Aug 25 13:00:34 2008
※ 引述《tunababy (相信妳自己,真的....)》之銘言:
: 原文從6-4-2擷錄
: http://6-4-2.blogspot.com/
: Now, Maddux had given the Pads 13 quality starts in 26, a mixed bag
: certainly, about what you can get by with from a fourth or fifth starter. Can
: he continue to perform around that level, and around a level that can get the
: Dodgers past the Snakes and into the playoffs? As much as Maddux's ability to
: make things work out should be a matter of legend, I have a few nagging
: concerns. Maddux is something of a ground-ball pitcher this year (1.5
: ground-ball outs for every fly), so while you might think that means that
: leaving Petco in his past might not hurt him all that much, he's derived a
: huge benefit from pitching in San Diego this season, allowing 3.3 runs per
: nine at home for the Pads against 6.4 everywhere else. Everything goes up for
: him on the road in terms of his rates, even his strikeouts, but risking a few
: more direct challenges of hitters because he's working in less forgiving
: environments than Petco means more hard-hit balls heading towards the gaps or
: over the fence, and more extra-base hits.
: Maddux在教士投出了十三場 qs,他的加入是否有機會幫助道奇打敗小蛇進入季後賽呢?事
: 實上今年Maddux是比較像滾地球投手,所以也許你會覺得離開petco不會影響他的成績太多
: ,但事實上,他今年在petco主場打的成績跟在客打的成績差很打多.在petco,他每場掉3.3
: 分,但在客場每場平均掉6.4分.他的所有數據在客場都變高,包括他的三振,而他在客場被
: 打了很多很強勁的球在gap或被打出場,而長打也被打比較多.
在客場每場平均掉6.4分?
乍看之下會讓人覺得客場表現很糟糕
但主要因為他在客場有好幾場都是大爆炸
IP H ER
Apr 07 @SF 7 3 1
Apr 13 @LAD 5 2 0
Apr 18 @ARI 7 13 9
Apr 29 @PHI 6.1 8 3
May 04 @FLA 5.2
11 4
May 15 @CHC 4.1
11 4
May 30 @SF 6 5 2
Jun 15 @CLE 6 8 2
Jun 30 @COL 4.2 8 8 (前一場先發對MIN IP 5.2 7H 6ER)
Jul 18 @STL 4.0 8 6
Jul 23 @CIN 5.1 7 2
Aug 09 @COL 6.0 6 2
不過從數據來看在客場的被安打數的確偏高
但如果從自責分來看 Maddux 其實壓制力並不差
我也覺得這個交易有點莫名其妙
以 Maddux 現在的狀況對道奇能有多少幫助
恐怕是一個很大的問號
雖然他每年都能吃兩百局
但還是把他設想成一場只能吃六局的投手會比較穩當點
運氣差一點爆炸就...
--
<< 薪水小偷 >>
Who's that fucking guy we took last yesr we had to release
because he robbed a bank?
from Money Ball
--
※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc)
◆ From: 140.116.80.33
1F:推 adam323:把Lee爆掉的幾場扣掉現在他的ERA<1 08/25 13:12
2F:→ gorhow:average 本來就很容易會誤導人阿 08/25 13:17
3F:推 tunababy:看原文第一段其實是有提到把他當四五號投手.... 08/25 13:46
4F:→ tunababy:我沒有翻出來.... 08/25 13:46
5F:推 tunababy:他的問題是他取代的人是penny..so..很糟... 08/25 13:57
6F:推 Delcarmen:把他想成他取代的是明星賽後的Brad Penny 大概會好點 08/25 20:15
7F:推 Davidwang983:明星賽後的Penny XD 08/26 00:25