作者zeroinfany (zeroinfany)
看板Cardinals
標題[農場]Cardinals Top 20 Prospects for 2012
時間Thu Oct 20 12:54:47 2011
St. Louis Cardinals Top 20 Prospects for 2012 http://0rz.tw/po2Ms
1) Shelby Miller, RHP, Grade A:
Has everything needed to be a number one,
rotation-anchor starter. Just needs to stay healthy and sharpen up his command
a bit more.
2) Carlos Martinez, RHP, Grade B+: Outstanding arm, but needs some command
refinements and a return to High-A is necessary in my view. Like Miller, he
could become a number one starter if all goes well. Keep in mind that he's just
19. You can make a case for an
A-.
3) Tyrell Jenkins, RHP, Grade B+: Another outstanding arm that needs innings
and experience and good health. Pitching skills seem more polished than
anticipate, and he's a terrific athlete. Like Martinez, you can make a case for
an
A-. This is one helluva troika the Cardinals have here.
4) Kolten Wong, 2B, Grade B+. Pure hitter with few weaknesses and won't need
long in the minors. Possible outcome: Todd Walker with a much better glove.
5) Oscar Taveras, OF, Grade B+: Another pure hitter, main question is how much
home run power he will develop. I lean optimistic. Keep in mind that he's only
19 years old.
6) Lance Lynn, RHP, Grade B: Took to bullpen role with ease, still under the
rookie innings limit. What he did in the majors doesn't look like a fluke to
me. I might end up going with a B+.
7) Zack Cox, 3B, Grade B: I've had some negative intuitive vibes about him, but
he hit well enough in Double-A to ease some of those doubts. I still wonder
about his home run power, which keeps him from a higher grade.
8) Eduardo Sanchez, RHP, Grade B: Like Lynn, he's under the rookie innings
limit so I can list him here. Performance was no fluke, he just needs to stay
healthy.
9) Jordan Swagerty, RHP, Grade B: Another very live arm, could reach the majors
sometime in 2012 and help in the bullpen. Has the stuff and personality to
close.
10) Trevor Rosenthal, RHP, Grade B: Well-kept secret, only Cardinals fans seem
to be aware of how good he can be. Very good stuff, great component ratios,
4.11 ERA in low-A had a lot of bad luck in it and could easily have been a full
run lower.
11) Matt Adams, 1B, Grade B: Could get a crack at first base job if Pujols
leaves town. Power is real, but we'll have to see about the batting average and
OBP.
12) Matt Carpenter, 3B, Grade B-: Only real negative is age, 26 entering ‘12.
He hits for average, gets on base, shows moderate power, and always puts up
excellent defensive stats despite mediocre reviews about his physical tools
from scouts.
13) John Gast, LHP, Grade B-: Live-armed lefty needs to polish up his command.
Has stuff of a number three starter, or could dominate in the pen.
14) Maikel Cleto, RHP, Grade C+: Upper-90s/100 MPH fastball. Still working the
kinks out of his command and secondary stuff, but terrific upside.
15) Ryan Jackson, SS, Grade C+: Scouts have always been impressed with his
glove, but he is starting to show something with the bat now, showing more pop.
A larger-scale breakthrough is plausible.
16) Charlie Tilson, OF, Grade C+: Part of a large group of toolsy high
schoolers picked up by the Cardinals in '11 draft. Will need a lot of
development work, but could develop into leadoff force.
17) Joe Kelly, RHP, Grade C+: ERA was ugly in Double-A, but I like his sinking
power stuff, and even a marginal improvement with his command (and his luck)
could push him forward.
18) Brandon Dickson, RHP, Grade C+: You probably won't see him this high on
other lists, as an older prospect without first-class stuff. But he throws
strikes, and could surprise us with a surprising run of success if given a
little luck and defensive support. There are many guys with higher upside in
the system that you could list here instead, but I wanted to draw notice to
Dickson.
19) Cody Stanley, C, Grade C+. I think he has more in the bat than he showed in
the Midwest League.
20) Tommy Pham, OF, Grade C+ : Has always had the tools and was putting them
together in Double-A before stopped by injury. Career .314/.398/.527 hitter in
264 Double-A at-bats.
OTHERS: Seth Blair, RHP; Adron Chambers, OF; Tony Cruz, C; Roberto De La Cruz,
3B; Victor De Leon, RHP; Anthony Garcia, OF (sleeper); Sam Gaviglio, RHP; Kyle
Hald, LHP; Mark Hamilton, OF; Hector Hernandez, LHP; Deryk Hooker, RHP; Lance
Jeffries, OF; Pete Kozma, SS; Seth Maness, RHP; C.J. McElroy, OF; Daniel
Miranda, LHP; Kenny Peoples, SS; Adam Reifer, RHP (could rank as high as 15);
Jonathan Rodriguez, 1B-3B; Robert Stock, C; Breyvic Valera, INF; Boone Whiting,
RHP; Matt Williams, SS.
You have to love this system. You have three possible ace starting pitchers in
Miller, Martinez, and Jenkins, and Rosenthal isn't far behind. You have
pitchers who are ready to help right now with Lynn and Sanchez, and additional
strong bullpen arms behind them. There is a nice mixture of the obvious power
pitchers along with pitchability guys like Dickson, Maness, and other college
products I don't have room to mention.
The offense is thinner but still has potential, with Wong, Cox, and Taveras all
looking like big-league regulars eventually. Wong could be truly excellent if
he develops to his maximal extent. Then you have guys who look like they could
be strong role players at least. . .Carpenter, Adams, Pham, Jackson, etc.
Several of the players in the "other" category have high upsides and could
vault forward on the list next year.
Overall, this looks like a very strong farm system to me.
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1F:推 ColbyRasmus:Lynn和Sanchez在大聯盟的天數好像已經超過資格了 10/20 13:13
2F:→ ColbyRasmus:JS的結語跟去年的差不多嘛... 10/20 13:13
3F:推 chiwalking:Three possible ace starting pitchers 真的假的?!! 10/20 16:51
4F:推 Pujols5:原來Miller有這麼威 10/20 20:30
5F:推 adagiox:Matinez感覺變低 10/20 21:12
6F:→ adagiox:大物都是投手 打者 科科科.. 10/20 21:13