作者jason050117 ()
看板Baseball
標題[新聞] Acuña成為首位代言預測市場的大聯盟球星
時間Fri Oct 9 16:31:33 2026
本篇新聞來自The Athletic 因為台媒只有TSNA寫
但又不能貼TSNA新聞 所以轉外媒
以下claude翻譯
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https://reurl.cc/qa2xgp By Andrew Baggarly
羅納德·阿庫尼亞二世(Ronald Acuña Jr.)與 Kalshi 合作,成為首位代言預測市場的
大聯盟球星
亞特蘭大勇士隊外野手阿庫尼亞與預測市場平台 Kalshi 合作,成為第一位踏入預測市場
這片潛藏爭議領域的美國職棒大聯盟(MLB)球員。
這片荊棘叢仍在持續擴大。就在不到兩個月前,Kalshi 才宣布與五支大聯盟球隊合作,
包括波士頓紅襪、洛杉磯道奇、聖地牙哥教士、舊金山巨人與勇士隊。在此之前,紐約大
都會(與 Novig)和紐約洋基(與 Polymarket)已率先宣布與金融交易平台合作。據報
導,Kalshi 也正與大聯盟洽談全聯盟層級的合作。
阿庫尼亞並非第一位與預測市場合作的現役職業運動員。高爾夫球手布萊森·德尚波(
Bryson DeChambeau)今年稍早率先與 Kalshi 結盟,隨後是 NBA 球星安戴托昆波(
Giannis Antetokounmpo)與足球巨星梅西(Lionel Messi)。不過,鑑於大聯盟過去在
賭博問題上的歷史,以及長期以來極力讓球員遠離賭博爭議與操縱比賽的作為,這項消息
恐怕會受到更嚴格的檢視。
週三晚間,勇士隊與道奇隊的國聯分區系列賽第四戰期間,播出了一支由阿庫尼亞擔綱
的 Kalshi 廣告。
雖然 Kalshi 等預測市場的運作方式與涉及金錢往來的賭博服務相近,但這些業者在全美
都屬合法,且不受各州博弈管理委員會的監管。紐約州檢察總長目前正對 Kalshi 與
Polymarket 提起訴訟,指控兩家公司經營「非法賭博業務」。
然而,各大職業運動聯盟與球隊似乎願意接受這片灰色地帶,積極攀附這個可能帶來豐厚
收益的新財源。把合作對象延伸到球員身上,可能會讓界線更加模糊,即使這些合作僅限
於以品牌大使身分拍攝廣告。今年 2 月 Kalshi 宣布與安戴托昆波合作時,聲明中明確
表示,他被禁止交易與 NBA 相關的市場,因為「Kalshi 的嚴格服務條款禁止內線交易與
操縱市場」。
大聯盟球員同樣被禁止參與與「棒球事件合約」相關的預測市場交易。2025 年球季後段
,聯盟聯盟主席曼佛瑞(Rob Manfred)辦公室與大聯盟球員工會曾聯名發出備忘錄,要
求球員不得就任何與棒球比賽或賽事相關的結果下注。
2025 年 7 月,克里夫蘭守護者隊投手克拉斯(Emmanuel Clase)與路易斯·奧提茲(
Luis Ortiz)在聯盟調查他們涉嫌操縱投球賭注期間,被安排非懲處性質的有薪休假。同
年 11 月,兩人遭聯邦起訴並被逮捕。
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原文:
Ronald Acuña Jr. partners with Kalshi, becoming first MLB star to promote
prediction market
Atlanta Braves star outfielder Ronald Acuña Jr. has partnered with Kalshi,
making him the first Major League Baseball player to venture into the
potentially thorny area of prediction markets.
It’s a thicket that continues to grow. Kalshi’s first deal with an MLB
player comes less than two months after the company announced it had
partnered with five major-league teams: the Boston Red Sox, Los Angeles
Dodgers, San Diego Padres, San Francisco Giants and Braves. They followed the
New York Mets (Novig) and New York Yankees (Polymarket), who were the first
MLB teams to announce deals with financial trading platforms.
Kalshi is also reportedly in talks with MLB for a leaguewide deal.
Acuña is not the first active professional athlete to form a partnership with
a prediction market — golfer Bryson DeChambeau was the first to align with
Kalshi earlier this year, followed by NBA star Giannis Antetokounmpo and
soccer star Lionel Messi — but the announcement is likely to be met with
greater scrutiny given MLB’s history with gambling and strenuous past
efforts to keep its players away from wagering controversies or game fixing.
A Kalshi commercial featuring Acuña aired Wednesday night during Game 4 of
the Braves’ National League Division Series with the Dodgers.
Although Kalshi and other prediction markets operate similarly to a gambling
service in which money changes hands, the businesses are legal nationwide and
not subject to individual state gaming commission regulations. New York’s
attorney general has litigation pending against Kalshi and Polymarket,
accusing the companies of running “an illegal gambling operation.”
But major sports leagues and teams have shown a willingness to accept the
gray area while cozying up to what are likely to become lucrative revenue
streams.
Extending partnerships to players could blur the lines further, even if those
relationships are limited to appearing in commercials as brand ambassadors.
When Kalshi announced its deal with Antetokounmpo in February, its statement
made clear that he was forbidden from trading on markets related to the NBA,
“per Kalshi’s strict terms of service that ban insider trading and market
manipulation.”
MLB players are also prohibited from engaging with prediction markets on “
baseball event contracts.” Commissioner Rob Manfred’s office and the Major
League Baseball Players Association sent a joint memo to players late in the
2025 season instructing them against risking money on any outcome related to
baseball games or events.
In July 2025, Cleveland Guardians pitchers Emmanuel Clase and Luis Ortiz were
placed on non-disciplinary paid leave while the league investigated their
involvement in a scheme to rig wagers on pitches thrown in games. In November
2025, Clase and Ortiz were served with a federal indictment and arrested.
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也有國外YT討論到這件事:
https://youtu.be/WGXSNDdeDdg
reddit:
https://reurl.cc/aEgo1G
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※ 文章網址: https://webptt.com/m.aspx?n=bbs/Baseball/M.1791534696.A.AF0.html
※ 編輯: jason050117 (1.173.142.194 臺灣), 10/09/2026 16:33:14
1F:噓 huaiken: 酸LBJ的記得酸一下這篇 10/09 16:33
2F:→ k33536: 阿庫尼亞.悔 10/09 16:33
※ jason050117:轉錄至看板 MLB 10/09 16:35
3F:→ Mikufans: 之前就有不少球團合作了 10/09 16:35
4F:噓 Edison1174: 又一個跟山羌看齊的人 10/09 16:39
5F:推 Sabaurila: 季後賽打那麼爛還敢代言這個阿 10/09 16:41
6F:噓 wang7752: LBJ那個是在美國布合法好嗎 10/09 16:46
7F:→ cvvbcvvb: 淘汰馬上轉行 10/09 18:02
8F:→ waitla: LBJ那個問題不是違法嗎? 10/09 18:43
9F:→ sunnyyoung: 有這麼缺錢嗎 10/09 18:53
10F:噓 nomosa: 好的,猩猩詹下去 10/09 20:53
11F:推 TinyGiant: 美國職業運動都向賭博靠攏了 10/10 05:38