作者lwei781 (bikebike)
看板Astros
標題Re: Astros likely to regret Oswalt's 5-year deal
時間Sat Jan 6 00:10:37 2007
現在再來看這篇
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※ 引述《Berkman (味全龍迷)》之銘言：
: Astros likely to regret Oswalt's 5-year deal
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: Ken Rosenthal / FOXSports.com
: Posted: 2 days ago
: It's easy to understand why the Astros felt compelled to sign right-hander
: Roy Oswalt to a five-year, $73 million extension. But chances are, it is a
: move they will regret.
: Good as Oswalt is, five-year deals for pitchers stink.
: The Astros likely view the contract as a necessary evil — either they met
: Oswalt's demands or risked losing him as a free agent after next season when
: some other club surely would have met his price.
: Oswalt, 29, is eight months younger than right-hander A.J. Burnet, a much
: lesser pitcher who received a five-year, $55 million free-agent contract from
: the Blue Jays last off-season.
: What's more, Oswalt might be the Astros' only accomplished starting pitcher
: next season if right-hander Roger Clemens and left-hander Andy Pettitte
: retire or depart as free agents.
: The moment a team parts with an Oswalt, it begins scrambling for a
: replacement. And while young Astros pitchers such as Jason Hirsh, Fernando
: Nieve and Troy Patton show promise, they'll face less pressure with Oswalt
: signed long-term.
: Here's the problem: Oswalt, 6 feet and 185 pounds, could be the next Tim
: Hudson, another smallish right-handed power pitcher who hasn't been less
: effective with the Braves than he was with the A's.
: Oswalt shows no overt signs of wear-and-tear — he's headed for his third
: straight season of 30-plus starts despite missing time earlier this season
: with a back strain. He also has worked nearly 50 innings in the past two
: post-seasons.
: But, like Hudson, Oswalt exerts a significant amount of energy in his
: delivery. He made three trips to the D.L. in 2003 due to a recurring groin
: problem. And as he gets older, his chances of injury will increase.
: Only a month ago, the Astros were ready to trade Oswalt, shortstop Adam
: Everett and a third player to the Orioles for shortstop Miguel Tejada.
: Why?
: Because they feared giving Oswalt this type of contract. Tejada, 30, offered
: more certainty — he's a durable everyday player who is signed for three more
: years.
: Very few pitchers prove worthy of a five-year investment — left-hander Randy
: Johnson did with the Diamondbacks after signing a four-year deal with a club
: option, and right-hander Mike Mussina has been consistently good if not
: spectacular for the Yankees during his six-year, $88.5 million deal.
: Mussina, 6-2 and 185 pounds, is somewhat similar to Oswalt, though even in
: his prime, he was less reliant on power stuff.
: David Cone, 6-1 and 190, also enjoyed a long career with a relatively small
: build, but like Mussina, he developed into more of a craftsman than Oswalt is
: right now.
: Perhaps Oswalt will make that transition in the coming years; all great
: pitchers reinvent themselves, producing different phases to their careers.
: This much seems certain:
: One way or another, Oswalt will be a different pitcher in five years.
: Ken Rosenthal is FOXSports.com's senior baseball writer.
: http://msn.foxsports.com/mlb/story/5918768
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